Cerro and Nacional face each other on Saturday 11.01.2025, at 23:00 (UK Time), in a Primera División 2025 match. The game will take place at Cerro's home ground, the Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Cerro and Nacional, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Cerro vs Nacional
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
Under 2.5 Goals
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Cerro preview
Cerro heads into the match with the following record in the Primera División: in 35 matches, Cerro secured 12 victories, 9 draws, and 14 losses, maintaining an average of 1.29 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Cerro's 2025 season, the team has achieved a total of 15 victories so far.
Cerro has been effective in the offense, scoring a total of 42 goals, of which 33 were scored in the Primera División, resulting in an average of 0.94 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Enzo Miguel Larrosa Martínez, who has found the back of the net 9 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offense. Sebastián Cáceres Carranza has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 3 assists.
On the defensive side, Cerro has conceded 42 goals in the Primera División (an average of 1.2 per game) and 50 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.11 per match in the 2025 campaign.
Nacional preview
Nacional comes into the game with 36 matches played so far in the Primera División. They have secured 24 victories, 9 draws, and 3 losses, maintaining an average of 2.25 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2025 season, the team has recorded 32 wins, 15 draws, and 11 losses.
Nacional's attack has been highly effective, scoring 110 goals during this period. Of that total, 75 were netted in the Primera División, with an average of 2.08 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.9.
Nacional's offensive system is led by Nicolás Federico López Alonso, the team's top scorer this season. The uruguayan forward has found the back of the net 20 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Luciano Boggio Albín. The midfielder has contributed with 7 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 32 goals with an average of 0.89 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 65 goals in 58 matches, averaging 1.12 per match.
Head to head: Cerro vs Nacional
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Home Team
Cerro
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W W W L W |
1.29 |
| Home | W W W L W |
1.69 |
| Away | W L W L L |
0.95 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 34% | 50% | 21% |
| Goals | 2.14 | 2 | 2.26 |
| Scored | 0.94 | 1.13 | 0.79 |
| Conceded | 1.2 | 0.88 | 1.47 |
| Both Teams to Score | 49% | 56% | 42% |
| Without Conceding | 34% | 31% | 37% |
| Failed To Score | 31% | 19% | 42% |
| 1st to Score | 46% | 56% | 37% |
|
xG
|
0.95 | 0.92 | 0.97 |
|
xGA
|
1.42 | 1.3 | 1.52 |
Away Team
Nacional
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D W D W D |
2.25 |
| Home | W W W W D |
2.35 |
| Away | D D D W W |
2.13 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 67% | 70% | 63% |
| Goals | 2.97 | 3.25 | 2.63 |
| Scored | 2.08 | 2.3 | 1.81 |
| Conceded | 0.89 | 0.95 | 0.81 |
| Both Teams to Score | 58% | 70% | 44% |
| Without Conceding | 36% | 30% | 44% |
| Failed To Score | 19% | 10% | 31% |
| 1st to Score | 46% | 60% | 50% |
|
xG
|
1.65 | 1.66 | 1.63 |
|
xGA
|
1.17 | 1.17 | 1.17 |
Access all match stats for Cerro vs Nacional
Where to watch Cerro vs Nacional live?
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