Ceará and Sport Recife face each other on Saturday 09.05.2026, at 22:30 (UK Time), in a Brazil Serie B 2026 match. The game will take place at Ceará's home ground, the Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo (Arena Castelão).
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Ceará Sporting Club and Sport Club do Recife, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Ceará vs Sport Recife
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
Double Chance: Ceará or Draw
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Ceará preview
Ceará heads into the match with the following record in the Brazil Serie B: in 25 matches, Ceará Sporting Club secured 7 victories, 7 draws, and 11 losses, maintaining an average of 1.12 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Vovô's 2026 season, the team has achieved a total of 20 victories so far.
Ceará has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 67 goals, of which 25 were scored in the Brazil Serie B, resulting in an average of 1 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Vinicius Goes Barbosa de Souza, who has found the back of the net 6 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Vinicius Nelson de Souza Zanocelo has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 3 assists.
On the defensive side, Ceará has conceded 32 goals in the Brazil Serie B (an average of 1.28 per game) and 48 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.02 per match in the 2026 campaign.
Sport Recife preview
Sport Recife comes into the game with 25 matches played so far in the Brazil Serie B. They have secured 9 victories, 11 draws, and 5 losses, maintaining an average of 1.52 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2026 season, the team has recorded 26 wins, 18 draws, and 11 losses.
Sport Club do Recife's attack has been highly effective, scoring 90 goals during this period. Of that total, 33 were netted in the Brazil Serie B, with an average of 1.32 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.64.
Lion of the Island's offensive system is led by Pedro Henrique Perotti, the team's top scorer this season. The brazilian forward has found the back of the net 11 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Andre Felipe de Almeida. The defender has contributed with 3 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 24 goals with an average of 0.96 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 59 goals in 55 matches, averaging 1.07 per match.
Head to head: Ceará vs Sport Recife
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Ceará
Brazil - Serie B
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L W L L W |
1.2 |
| Home | W L W L D |
1.4 |
| Away | L L W D L |
0.8 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 28% | 38% | 17% |
| Goals | 2.28 | 2.31 | 2.25 |
| Scored | 1 | 1.15 | 0.83 |
| Conceded | 1.28 | 1.15 | 1.42 |
| Both Teams to Score | 48% | 54% | 42% |
| Without Conceding | 20% | 23% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 40% | 31% | 50% |
| 1st to Score | 24% | 38% | 8% |
|
xG
|
1.5 | 1.73 | 1.24 |
|
xGA
|
1.41 | 1.14 | 1.69 |
Sport Recife
Brazil - Serie B
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L W L W W |
1.8 |
| Home | W W D D D |
1.8 |
| Away | L L W D L |
0.8 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 36% | 38% | 33% |
| Goals | 2.28 | 2.77 | 1.75 |
| Scored | 1.32 | 1.69 | 0.92 |
| Conceded | 0.96 | 1.08 | 0.83 |
| Both Teams to Score | 60% | 69% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 36% | 31% | 42% |
| Failed To Score | 16% | 0% | 33% |
| 1st to Score | 24% | 69% | 33% |
|
xG
|
1.39 | 1.58 | 1.19 |
|
xGA
|
1.51 | 1.42 | 1.61 |
Access all match stats for Ceará vs Sport Recife
Where to watch Ceará vs Sport Recife live?
Check out the live stream of Ceará vs Sport Recife below and follow the match in real time.
Sports betting analyst with over 15 years of experience. At APWin, he writes football predictions, reviews bookmakers and explains the reasoning behind every bet.