Ceará vs Sport Recife | Prediction | Brazil Serie B | 05/09

Brazil - Brazil Serie B

2 - 1

05 Sept 2026 17:30

Ceará and Sport Recife face each other on Saturday 09.05.2026, at 22:30 (UK Time), in a Brazil Serie B 2026 match. The game will take place at Ceará's home ground, the Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo (Arena Castelão).

Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Ceará Sporting Club and Sport Club do Recife, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.

APWin predictions for Ceará vs Sport Recife

With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:

Double Chance: Ceará or Draw

Market: Double Chance: Ceará or Draw · @ 1.33

1.33

Confidence

78%

Last updated: 06-09-2026

The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.

Our prediction is: Under 2.5 goals in the match

After analysing how the bookmakers have priced this match between Ceará and Sport Recife, we see the total going under 2.5 goals.

We don't expect this match to have too many scoring opportunities, so there shouldn't be more than a couple of goals scored overall.

Our prediction is: under 9.5 corners

We expect that corners will be hard to come by in the Ceará vs Sport Recife match. Neither team has been able to create too many corner opportunities this season with how they have played, and this figures to be another match with a low corner count.

So for this match, we recommend betting on under 9.5 corners, where 9 total corners or fewer between the two teams will win the bet.

Ceará preview

Ceará heads into the match with the following record in the Brazil Serie B: in 25 matches, Ceará Sporting Club secured 7 victories, 7 draws, and 11 losses, maintaining an average of 1.12 points per game.

Taking a broader look at Vovô's 2026 season, the team has achieved a total of 20 victories so far.

Ceará has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 67 goals, of which 25 were scored in the Brazil Serie B, resulting in an average of 1 goals per game.

Individually, the standout performer is Vinicius Goes Barbosa de Souza, who has found the back of the net 6 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Vinicius Nelson de Souza Zanocelo has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 3 assists.

On the defensive side, Ceará has conceded 32 goals in the Brazil Serie B (an average of 1.28 per game) and 48 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.02 per match in the 2026 campaign.

Sport Recife preview

Sport Recife comes into the game with 25 matches played so far in the Brazil Serie B. They have secured 9 victories, 11 draws, and 5 losses, maintaining an average of 1.52 points per game in the competition.

Across all competitions in the 2026 season, the team has recorded 26 wins, 18 draws, and 11 losses.

Sport Club do Recife's attack has been highly effective, scoring 90 goals during this period. Of that total, 33 were netted in the Brazil Serie B, with an average of 1.32 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.64.

Lion of the Island's offensive system is led by Pedro Henrique Perotti, the team's top scorer this season. The brazilian forward has found the back of the net 11 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Andre Felipe de Almeida. The defender has contributed with 3 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 24 goals with an average of 0.96 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 59 goals in 55 matches, averaging 1.07 per match.

Head to head: Ceará vs Sport Recife

Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.

Ceará

Home

LWLLW
VS

Sport Recife

Away

LWLWW

Points & Results

  • 1.12
    PPG
    1.52
  • 28%
    Wins
    36%
  • 24%
    First to Score
    52%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1
    Scored/game
    1.32
  • 1.28
    Conceded/game
    0.96
  • 1.50
    xG
    1.39
  • 1.41
    xGA
    1.51

Trends

  • 48%
    Both Score
    60%
  • 20%
    Clean Sheet
    36%
  • 40%
    Failed to Score
    16%

Access all match stats for Ceará vs Sport Recife

Where to watch Ceará vs Sport Recife live?

Check out the live stream of Ceará vs Sport Recife below and follow the match in real time.

Ceará logoVSSport Recife logo

Watch this match

Ceará vs Sport Recife

Watch now
Published: 2 Sept 2026
Updated: 20 Oct 2026
Amauri Barbosa

Amauri Barbosa

Content Manager

204

Articles

Sports betting analyst with over 15 years of experience. At APWin, he writes football predictions, reviews bookmakers and explains the reasoning behind every bet.