Bahia and Grêmio face each other in an official match of the 2026 Brazil Serie A season. The game takes place at Complexo Esportivo Cultural Octávio Mangabeira (Arena Fonte Nova) on Sunday, 17/05/2026, at 20:00 (UK Time).

Our experts have prepared predictions for Esporte Clube Bahia vs Grêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense, based on a detailed statistical review of both teams. Our goal is to assist bettors in making profitable decisions, which is why we offer the best free prediction for today.

APWin predictions for Bahia vs Grêmio

The top bookmakers have set the odds, and our team has analysed all relevant match data. See our expert match prediction below:

APWin Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

APWin experts have analysed the main betting markets and selected high-value bets.

👉 Our prediction is: Grêmio to win

While Grêmio will head into their match against Bahia as the favourite, it is still far from a sure thing to score three points away from home. Nevertheless, our betting tip is still Grêmio to win on the 1X2 market.

Our analysis of Grêmio leads us to believe that they are quite capable on their travels and can come up with the away win without much trouble, even against a tricky opponent like Bahia.

👉 Our prediction is: over 9.5 corners

Our top tip for Bahia vs Grêmio is to take advantage of the corners market, particularly taking the over on 9.5 corners. There is good value to be had in that bet, which is priced at 1.74.

Both teams need to combine for at least 10 corners to win the bet, which may seem like a lot. But based on their statistical profile for this season, we expect them to easily clear that mark in their upcoming matchup.

Esquadrão de Aço preview

Bahia comes into the match having played 14 games in the Brazil Serie A so far. They have recorded 6 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with an average of 1.57 points per game in the tournament.

In the 2026 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 16 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses.

Bahia's attack has scored 56 goals during this period. Out of this total, 20 goals were scored in the Brazil Serie A, averaging 1.43 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.93.

The offence system of Bahia is led by Luciano Batista da Silva Junior as the top scorer of the season. The brazilian defender has scored 7 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Éverton Ribeiro, who has contributed with 3 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 18 goals with an average of 1.29 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 37 goals conceded in 29 matches, resulting in an average of 1.28.

Imortal preview

On the other hand, Grêmio comes into the match having played 15 games in the Brazil Serie A so far. They have recorded 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, with an average of 1.13 points per game in the tournament.

In the 2026 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 13 wins, 10 draws, and 9 losses.

Grêmio's attack has scored 45 goals during this period. Out of this total, 15 goals were scored in the Brazil Serie A, averaging 1 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.41.

The offence system of Grêmio is led by Carlos Vinícius as the top scorer of the season. The brazilian forward has scored 7 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Franco Sebastián Cristaldo, who has contributed with 2 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 17 goals with an average of 1.13 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 27 goals conceded in 32 matches, resulting in an average of 0.84.

Head to head: Bahia vs Grêmio

Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.

Home Team

Bahia Team Logo

Bahia

Brazil - Serie A

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall L L D D L

0.4

Home L D L

0.33333333333333

Away L D

0.5

Away Team

Grêmio Team Logo

Grêmio

Brazil - Serie A

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall W L W D D

1.6

Home L

0

Away W W D D

2

Access all match stats for Bahia vs Grêmio

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Published on 17 May 2026, at 06:38 Last updated on 17 May 2026, at 06:38