Bahia and Cruzeiro face each other on Sunday 05.10.2026, at 01:00 (UK Time), in a Brazil Serie A 2026 match. The game will take place at Bahia's home ground, the Complexo Esportivo Cultural Octávio Mangabeira (Arena Fonte Nova).
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Esporte Clube Bahia and Cruzeiro Esporte Clube, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Bahia vs Cruzeiro
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
No BTTS 2nd Half
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Bahia preview
Bahia heads into the match with the following record in the Brazil Serie A: in 13 matches, Esporte Clube Bahia secured 6 victories, 4 draws, and 3 losses, maintaining an average of 1.69 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Esquadrão de Aço's 2026 season, the team has achieved a total of 16 victories so far.
Bahia has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 54 goals, of which 19 were scored in the Brazil Serie A, resulting in an average of 1.46 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Luciano Batista da Silva Junior, who has found the back of the net 6 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Éverton Ribeiro has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 3 assists.
On the defensive side, Bahia has conceded 16 goals in the Brazil Serie A (an average of 1.23 per game) and 33 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.22 per match in the 2026 campaign.
Cruzeiro preview
Cruzeiro comes into the game with 14 matches played so far in the Brazil Serie A. They have secured 4 victories, 4 draws, and 6 losses, maintaining an average of 1.14 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2026 season, the team has recorded 14 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses.
Cruzeiro Esporte Clube's attack has been highly effective, scoring 41 goals during this period. Of that total, 18 were netted in the Brazil Serie A, with an average of 1.29 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.37.
Raposa's offensive system is led by Kaio Jorge, the team's top scorer this season. The brazilian forward has found the back of the net 7 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Matheus Fellipe Costa Pereira. The forward has contributed with 2 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 24 goals with an average of 1.71 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 36 goals in 30 matches, averaging 1.2 per match.
Head to head: Bahia vs Cruzeiro
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Bahia
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D D L L W |
1 |
| Home | D L L W W |
1.4 |
| Away | D L W L W |
1.4 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 46% | 33% | 57% |
| Goals | 2.69 | 2.67 | 2.71 |
| Scored | 1.46 | 1.67 | 1.29 |
| Conceded | 1.23 | 1 | 1.43 |
| Both Teams to Score | 62% | 67% | 57% |
| Without Conceding | 31% | 33% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 8% | 0% | 14% |
| 1st to Score | 38% | 33% | 43% |
|
xG
|
1.53 | 1.7 | 1.39 |
|
xGA
|
1.59 | 1.21 | 1.92 |
Cruzeiro
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D L W W D |
1.6 |
| Home | L W W L W |
1.8 |
| Away | D W D W L |
1.6 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 29% | 38% | 17% |
| Goals | 3 | 2.88 | 3.17 |
| Scored | 1.29 | 1.63 | 0.83 |
| Conceded | 1.71 | 1.25 | 2.33 |
| Both Teams to Score | 57% | 63% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 29% | 38% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 13% | 33% |
| 1st to Score | 38% | 63% | 33% |
|
xG
|
1.46 | 1.55 | 1.34 |
|
xGA
|
1.18 | 0.93 | 1.52 |
Access all match stats for Bahia vs Cruzeiro
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Sports betting analyst with over 15 years of experience. At APWin, he writes football predictions, reviews bookmakers and explains the reasoning behind every bet.