Ayr United vs Stenhousemuir prediction
Scotland - Scottish Championship
Ayr United and Stenhousemuir face each other on Friday 09.25.2026, at 19:45 (UK Time), in a Scottish Championship 2026/27 match. The game will take place at Ayr United's home ground, the Somerset Park.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Ayr United and Stenhousemuir, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Ayr United vs Stenhousemuir
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
Under 2.5 Goals
Market: Under 2.5 Goals · @ 1.61
Confidence
61%
Last updated: 21-09-2026
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Our prediction is: Draw
Ayr United vs Stenhousemuir is a matchup that is as close as they come, with our analysis finding hardly anything to separate the two sides. And so, our betting tip is to take the draw on the 1X2 market.
The 2.9 odds for a draw are quite favourable and would result in a substantial payout if the match does end in a stalemate.
Our prediction is: under 9.5 corners
After analysing the odds in the different markets, our best betting tip for this match is on the corners market and taking the total to go under 9.5 corners.
We anticipate Ayr United vs Stenhousemuir to be quite a controlled match with the main action concentrated in the middle of the pitch. That should limit the number of opportunities for corners, and so the odds of 2.05 for 9 corners or fewer looks quite attractive.
Ayr United preview
Ayr United heads into the match with the following record in the Scottish Championship: in 7 matches, Ayr United secured 2 victories, 2 draws, and 3 losses, maintaining an average of 1.14 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Ayr United's 2026/27 season, the team has achieved a total of 11 victories so far.
Ayr United has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 48 goals, of which 7 were scored in the Scottish Championship, resulting in an average of 1 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Mark McKenzie, who has found the back of the net 7 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Marco Rus has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 6 assists.
On the defensive side, Ayr United has conceded 8 goals in the Scottish Championship (an average of 1.14 per game) and 57 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.27 per match in the 2026/27 campaign.
- 18 Sept 2026Queen's ParkAyr UnitedW0218 Sept 2026ChampionshipQueen's Park
v.s
Ayr United0 - 2W - 12 Sept 2026Ayr UnitedInverness CTL1312 Sept 2026ChampionshipAyr United
v.s
Inverness CT1 - 3L - 05 Sept 2026Partick ThistleAyr UnitedL1005 Sept 2026ChampionshipPartick Thistle
v.s
Ayr United1 - 0L - 29 Aug 2026Ayr UnitedGreenock MortonD1129 Aug 2026ChampionshipAyr United
v.s
Greenock Morton1 - 1D - 22 Aug 2026Raith RoversAyr UnitedL2022 Aug 2026ChampionshipRaith Rovers
v.s
Ayr United2 - 0L
Stenhousemuir preview
Stenhousemuir comes into the game with 7 matches played so far in the Scottish Championship. They have secured 6 victories, 1 draws, and 0 losses, maintaining an average of 2.71 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2026/27 season, the team has recorded 26 wins, 14 draws, and 6 losses.
Stenhousemuir's attack has been highly effective, scoring 68 goals during this period. Of that total, 11 were netted in the Scottish Championship, with an average of 1.57 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.48.
Stenhousemuir's offensive system is led by Matthew Aitken, the team's top scorer this season. The scottish forward has found the back of the net 9 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Ross Meechan. The defender has contributed with 2 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 2 goals with an average of 0.29 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 32 goals in 46 matches, averaging 0.7 per match.
- 19 Sept 2026StenhousemuirArbroathW1019 Sept 2026ChampionshipStenhousemuir
v.s
Arbroath1 - 0W - 15 Sept 2026StenhousemuirPartick ThistleW1015 Sept 2026ChampionshipStenhousemuir
v.s
Partick Thistle1 - 0W - 04 Sept 2026LivingstonStenhousemuirW0104 Sept 2026ChampionshipLivingston
v.s
Stenhousemuir0 - 1W - 29 Aug 2026StenhousemuirInverness CTW3129 Aug 2026ChampionshipStenhousemuir
v.s
Inverness CT3 - 1W - 22 Aug 2026Queen's ParkStenhousemuirW0222 Aug 2026ChampionshipQueen's Park
v.s
Stenhousemuir0 - 2W
Head to head: Ayr United vs Stenhousemuir
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Ayr United
Home
Stenhousemuir
Away
Points & Results
- PPG1.142.71
- 29%Wins86%
- 43%First to Score86%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game11.57
- Conceded/game1.140.29
- xG0.991.08
- xGA1.261.19
Trends
- 43%Both Score29%
- 29%Clean Sheet71%
- 29%Failed to Score0%
Access all match stats for Ayr United vs Stenhousemuir
Where to watch Ayr United vs Stenhousemuir live?
Check out the live stream of Ayr United vs Stenhousemuir below and follow the match in real time.
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Ayr United vs Stenhousemuir
Likely Scores
| # | Score | Probability | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 - 1 | 0.15% | |
| 2 | 0 - 0 | 0.13% | |
| 3 | 0 - 1 | 0.11% | |
| 4 | 1 - 0 | 0.11% | |
| 5 | 1 - 2 | 0.07% | |
| 6 | 2 - 1 | 0.07% | |
| 7 | 0 - 2 | 0.07% | |
| 8 | 2 - 0 | 0.07% | |
| 9 | 2 - 2 | 0.04% | |
| 10 | 1 - 3 | 0.03% | |
| 11 | 3 - 1 | 0.03% | |
| 12 | 0 - 3 | 0.02% |