Ayr United vs Dunfermline Athletic prediction
Scotland - Scottish Championship
Under 2.5 Goals
Market: Under 2.5 Goals · @ 1.69
Confidence
63%
Last updated: 06-10-2026
Ayr United and Dunfermline Athletic face each other on Saturday 10.10.2026, at 15:00 (UK Time), in a Scottish Championship 2026/27 match. The game will take place at Ayr United's home ground, the Somerset Park.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Ayr United and Dunfermline Athletic, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
Ayr United preview
Ayr United heads into the match with the following record in the Scottish Championship: in 9 matches, Ayr United secured 3 victories, 2 draws, and 4 losses, maintaining an average of 1.22 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Ayr United's 2026/27 season, the team has achieved a total of 12 victories so far.
Ayr United has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 50 goals, of which 9 were scored in the Scottish Championship, resulting in an average of 1 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Mark McKenzie, who has found the back of the net 7 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Marco Rus has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 6 assists.
On the defensive side, Ayr United has conceded 10 goals in the Scottish Championship (an average of 1.11 per game) and 59 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.26 per match in the 2026/27 campaign.
- 03 Oct 2026LivingstonAyr UnitedW1203 Oct 2026ChampionshipLivingston
v.s
Ayr United1 - 2W - 25 Sept 2026Ayr UnitedStenhousemuirL0125 Sept 2026ChampionshipAyr United
v.s
Stenhousemuir0 - 1L - 18 Sept 2026Queen's ParkAyr UnitedW0218 Sept 2026ChampionshipQueen's Park
v.s
Ayr United0 - 2W - 12 Sept 2026Ayr UnitedInverness CTL1312 Sept 2026ChampionshipAyr United
v.s
Inverness CT1 - 3L - 05 Sept 2026Partick ThistleAyr UnitedL1005 Sept 2026ChampionshipPartick Thistle
v.s
Ayr United1 - 0L
Dunfermline Athletic preview
Dunfermline Athletic comes into the game with 7 matches played so far in the Scottish Championship. They have secured 3 victories, 3 draws, and 1 losses, maintaining an average of 1.71 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2026/27 season, the team has recorded 21 wins, 13 draws, and 15 losses.
Dunfermline Athletic's attack has been highly effective, scoring 67 goals during this period. Of that total, 6 were netted in the Scottish Championship, with an average of 0.86 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.37.
Dunfermline Athletic's offensive system is led by Andrew Tod, the team's top scorer this season. The scottish midfielder has found the back of the net 13 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Matty Todd. The midfielder has contributed with 8 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 4 goals with an average of 0.57 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 49 goals in 49 matches, averaging 1 per match.
- 19 Sept 2026Greenock MortonDunfermline AthleticW0119 Sept 2026ChampionshipGreenock Morton
v.s
Dunfermline Athletic0 - 1W - 12 Sept 2026Dunfermline AthleticQueen's ParkW2012 Sept 2026ChampionshipDunfermline Athletic
v.s
Queen's Park2 - 0W - 05 Sept 2026ArbroathDunfermline AthleticD1105 Sept 2026ChampionshipArbroath
v.s
Dunfermline Athletic1 - 1D - 28 Aug 2026Dunfermline AthleticRaith RoversW1028 Aug 2026ChampionshipDunfermline Athletic
v.s
Raith Rovers1 - 0W - 22 Aug 2026LivingstonDunfermline AthleticL2022 Aug 2026ChampionshipLivingston
v.s
Dunfermline Athletic2 - 0L
Head to head: Ayr United vs Dunfermline Athletic
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Ayr United
Home
Dunfermline Athletic
Away
Points & Results
- PPG1.221.71
- 33%Wins43%
- 44%First to Score57%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game10.86
- Conceded/game1.110.57
- xG0.991.47
- xGA1.350.93
Trends
- 44%Both Score29%
- 22%Clean Sheet57%
- 33%Failed to Score29%
Access all match stats for Ayr United vs Dunfermline Athletic
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Ayr United vs Dunfermline Athletic
Likely Scores
| # | Score | Probability | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 - 1 | 0.15% | |
| 2 | 0 - 0 | 0.12% | |
| 3 | 0 - 1 | 0.12% | |
| 4 | 1 - 0 | 0.10% | |
| 5 | 1 - 2 | 0.08% | |
| 6 | 0 - 2 | 0.08% | |
| 7 | 2 - 1 | 0.07% | |
| 8 | 2 - 0 | 0.06% | |
| 9 | 2 - 2 | 0.04% | |
| 10 | 1 - 3 | 0.03% | |
| 11 | 0 - 3 | 0.03% | |
| 12 | 3 - 1 | 0.02% |