The kick off for the match between Atlético-MG and Santos will take place at 23:00 (UK time) - Wednesday, 09/16 - at the Estádio do Galo (Arena MRV). This clash of the 2026 Copa Sudamericana looks very promising!
Before placing your bets on this match, check out the full analysis, including predictions for Clube Atlético Mineiro vs Santos Futebol Clube. We also highlight the most interesting odds and markets with a high chance of winning. Providing today’s best free tip to help you make informed and profitable betting decisions.
APWin predictions for Atlético-MG vs Santos
With odds already released by major bookmakers, our experts have crunched the numbers and dissected the key match data. Find our value-packed prediction for this encounter below:
Double Chance: Atlético-MG or Draw
After a thorough assessment of the primary betting markets, APWin analysts have identified bets with strong value potential.
Atlético-MG Preview
Atlético-MG has played 9 matches in the Copa Sudamericana so far, with 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses. This results in an average of 1.56 points per match.
In the 2026 season, the team has recorded 21 wins, 17 draws, and 14 losses. Atlético-MG's attack has scored 70 goals, 11 of them in the league, which gives an average of 1.22 goals per league match and 1.35 goals per match across the entire season.
Hulk is the team’s top scorer with 5 goals, while Gustavo Scarpa leads the team in assists with 4. Defensively, Galo has conceded 10 goals in the league (an average of 1.11) and 56 goals throughout the entire season (an average of 1.08 over 52 matches).
Santos preview
In 11 Copa Sudamericana matches, Santos has recorded 5 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses, with an average of 1.82 points per game.
In the 2026 season, the team has 19 wins in 52 matches. The team has scored 75 goals, 20 of them in the Copa Sudamericana (an average of 1.82 goals per match), with Gabriel Barbosa Almeida being the team's top scorer with 10 goals and Gabriel Barbosa Almeida providing 5 assists.
Defensively, Peixe has conceded 10 goals in the league and 61 in the 2026 season overall, resulting in an average of 1.17 goals conceded per match.
Head to head: Atlético-MG vs Santos
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Atlético-MG
South America - Copa Sudamericana
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W L L W W |
1.8 |
| Home | W W W D W |
2.6 |
| Away | L L D D W |
1 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 44% | 75% | 20% |
| Goals | 2.33 | 2.5 | 2.2 |
| Scored | 1.22 | 1.75 | 0.8 |
| Conceded | 1.11 | 0.75 | 1.4 |
| Both Teams to Score | 44% | 50% | 40% |
| Without Conceding | 33% | 50% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 0% | 40% |
| 1st to Score | 56% | 75% | 40% |
|
xG
|
1.21 | 1.37 | 1.09 |
|
xGA
|
1.63 | 1.22 | 1.97 |
Santos
South America - Copa Sudamericana
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W W W D W |
2.6 |
| Home | W W D D W |
2.2 |
| Away | W W L D W |
2 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 45% | 67% | 20% |
| Goals | 2.73 | 3.33 | 2 |
| Scored | 1.82 | 2.33 | 1.2 |
| Conceded | 0.91 | 1 | 0.8 |
| Both Teams to Score | 64% | 67% | 60% |
| Without Conceding | 27% | 33% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 0% | 40% |
| 1st to Score | 56% | 67% | 40% |
|
xG
|
1.61 | 1.77 | 1.41 |
|
xGA
|
1.12 | 1.05 | 1.2 |
Access all match stats for Atlético-MG vs Santos
Where to watch Galo vs Peixe live?
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Sports betting analyst with over 15 years of experience. At APWin, he writes football predictions, reviews bookmakers and explains the reasoning behind every bet.