Santos vs Palmeiras

Brazil - Brazil Serie A

v.s

28 Oct 2026 18:30

Palmeiras are creating the better shooting profile with average 5.1 overall shots and 1.64 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.74 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

32%
Santos to win
28%
Draw
40%
Palmeiras to win

The result market leans toward Palmeiras at 41%. The points profile supports that read: Santos average 1.53 PPG and Palmeiras average 1.88 PPG in the comparable split.

Santos
3
wins
3
draws
Palmeiras
6
wins
33%
BTTS
4/12
83%
OVER 0.5
10/12
58%
OVER 1.5
7/12
33%
OVER 2.5
4/12

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Average

    2.59

    League 2.66

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Average

    52%

    League 51%

  • Both Teams Score

    Average

    59%

    League 59%

  • Cards

    Well above avg

    6.35

    League 4.93

  • Corners

    Above average

    11.97

    League 10.45

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Palmeiras average 12.69 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 10.45, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    85%
    UNDER
    15%
  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    75%
    UNDER
    25%
  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    55%
    UNDER
    45%
  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    25%
    UNDER
    75%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 85% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Santos

Home

WLDWW
VS

Palmeiras

Away

WWWDW

Points & Results

  • 1.45
    PPG
    2.13
  • 39%
    Wins
    61%
  • 58%
    First to Score
    71%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.55
    Scored/game
    1.74
  • 1.48
    Conceded/game
    0.71
  • 1.44
    xG
    1.64
  • 1.47
    xGA
    1.44

Trends

  • 74%
    Both Score
    55%
  • 19%
    Clean Sheet
    45%

Santos vs Palmeiras: Statistics and Analysis - Brazil Serie A 2026

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Santos vs Palmeiras - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Brazil Serie A match will be played on 28/10/2026 (Wednesday) at 22:30.

The fixture is part of game week 33th of the Brazil Serie A season. Santos currently sits in position 8th of the Brazil Serie A table. Palmeiras occupies position 2nd.

Stat Probabilities for Santos vs Palmeiras

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Santos vs Palmeiras at 59%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Santos and Palmeiras point to a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Santos vs Palmeiras prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Santos vs Palmeiras?

According to the latest match odds, Palmeiras is the favorite at 2.53 an implied probability of about 39.53%. The full 1X2 market has Santos at 3.13, the draw at 3.6, and Palmeiras at 2.53.

Overall performance in the Brazil Serie A

Santos's record so far reads 12W-9D-10L from 31 played a win rate of 39% at 1.45 points per game.

Palmeiras stands at 19W-9D-3L from 31 played, winning 61% of their matches at 2.13 points per game.

In their last five, Santos has gone 3W-1D-1L, averaging 2 points per game.

Palmeiras's last five read 4W-1D-0L, at 2.6 points per game.

At home, Santos has a 40% win rate (6W-5D-4L from 15 played).

On the road, Palmeiras has won 50% of their matches (8W-6D-2L from 16 played).

Goal statistics for Santos vs Palmeiras

In attack, Santos averages 1.55 goals scored per game in the Brazil Serie A (48 in total), while conceding 1.48 per game (46 in total).

Palmeiras averages 1.74 goals scored per game (54 in total) and 0.71 conceded per game (22 in total).

Santos's top scorer this season is Gabriel Barbosa Almeida, with 15 goals.

For Palmeiras, José Manuel López leads the scoring charts with 9 goals this season.

Santos's main creator is Gabriel Barbosa Almeida, with 5 assists.

Andreas Pereira tops the Palmeiras assist chart with 11.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Santos vs Palmeiras

Santos and Palmeiras have met 12 times in recent years. The record:

  • Santos wins: 3

  • Draws: 3

  • Palmeiras wins: 6

Frequently asked questions about Santos vs Palmeiras

When is Santos vs Palmeiras?

The match will be played on 28/10/2026 (Wednesday) at 22:30.

What is the head-to-head record between Santos and Palmeiras?

Across their last 12 meetings the record is 3-3-6 (Santos wins – draws – Palmeiras wins).

What was the last match between Santos and Palmeiras?

The two sides last met on 03/09/2026, and the result was Santos 0 vs 0 Palmeiras. Full details: Santos vs Palmeiras, 03/09/2026.

Who is the favorite in Santos vs Palmeiras?

Palmeiras is the favorite at odds of 2.53, an implied probability of about 39.53%. Santos is priced at 3.13, the draw at 3.6 and Palmeiras at 2.53.

Where can I find a Santos vs Palmeiras prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Santos vs Palmeiras prediction page.

Where can I find Santos vs Palmeiras stats?

All key statistics for Santos vs Palmeiras are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Santos vs Palmeiras?

Live streaming information is available on our Santos vs Palmeiras stream page.