Atlético MG and Grêmio face each other on Sunday 08.17.2025, at 20:00 (UK Time), in a Serie A 2025 match. The game will take place at Atlético MG's home ground, the Arena MRV.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Atlético MG and Grêmio, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Atlético MG vs Grêmio
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Atlético MG preview
Atlético MG heads into the match with the following record in the Serie A: in 17 matches, Atlético MG secured 6 victories, 6 draws, and 5 losses, maintaining an average of 1.41 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Atlético MG's 2025 season, the team has achieved a total of 20 victories so far.
Atlético MG has been effective in the offense, scoring a total of 61 goals, of which 19 were scored in the Serie A, resulting in an average of 1.12 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Hulk, who has found the back of the net 7 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offense. Gustavo Scarpa has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 3 assists.
On the defensive side, Atlético MG has conceded 18 goals in the Serie A (an average of 1.06 per game) and 32 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 0.74 per match in the 2025 campaign.
Grêmio preview
Grêmio comes into the game with 18 matches played so far in the Serie A. They have secured 5 victories, 5 draws, and 8 losses, maintaining an average of 1.11 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2025 season, the team has recorded 14 wins, 15 draws, and 13 losses.
Grêmio's attack has been highly effective, scoring 54 goals during this period. Of that total, 16 were netted in the Serie A, with an average of 0.89 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.29.
Grêmio's offensive system is led by Martin Braithwaite, the team's top scorer this season. The danish forward has found the back of the net 6 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Edenilson. The midfielder has contributed with 6 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 24 goals with an average of 1.33 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 47 goals in 42 matches, averaging 1.12 per match.
Head to head: Atlético MG vs Grêmio
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Home Team
Atlético MG
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D W L L L |
1.41 |
| Home | W W D W W |
2.14 |
| Away | D L L L W |
0.9 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 35% | 57% | 20% |
| Goals | 2.18 | 2.14 | 2.2 |
| Scored | 1.12 | 1.43 | 0.9 |
| Conceded | 1.06 | 0.71 | 1.3 |
| Both Teams to Score | 47% | 43% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 41% | 57% | 30% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 29% | 30% |
| 1st to Score | 35% | 43% | 30% |
|
xG
|
1.75 | 2.07 | 1.52 |
|
xGA
|
1.28 | 0.82 | 1.6 |
Away Team
Grêmio
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L L W L D |
1.11 |
| Home | L W D W D |
1.67 |
| Away | L L D L W |
0.56 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 28% | 44% | 11% |
| Goals | 2.22 | 1.89 | 2.56 |
| Scored | 0.89 | 1 | 0.78 |
| Conceded | 1.33 | 0.89 | 1.78 |
| Both Teams to Score | 56% | 56% | 56% |
| Without Conceding | 17% | 22% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 28% | 22% | 33% |
| 1st to Score | 35% | 78% | 33% |
|
xG
|
1.22 | 1.25 | 1.2 |
|
xGA
|
1.51 | 1.48 | 1.54 |
Access all match stats for Atlético MG vs Grêmio
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