Atlético MG and Corinthians face each other in an official match of the 2025 Serie A season. The game takes place at Arena MRV on Sunday, 25/05/2025, at 01:00 (UK Time).

Our experts have prepared prediction for Atlético MG vs Corinthians, based on in-depth study and analysis of both teams' probabilities. Our goal is to assist bettors in making profitable decisions, which is why we offer the best free predictions for today. Find more Serie A predictions by clicking the link.

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APWin's prediction for Atlético MG vs Corinthians

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👉 Our prediction is: Atlético MG to win

Atlético MG vs Corinthians has all the makings of a competitive battle between two sides that are both eyeing an important win. But we are ever so slightly leaning toward Atlético MG to win on the 1X2 market.

Atlético MG will enjoy home advantage, which they have capitalised on with their strong form at home. They remain good value to win with their odds, and we expect them to pay out those odds with all three points at home.

👉 Our prediction is: Under 2.5 goals in the match

Based on our analysis, Atlético MG vs Corinthians looks like going to fall safely under 2.5 goals.

The statistics point to the match being more of a defensive struggle, with the two teams more likely to play cautiously than they are to go out and attack.

How Atlético MG arrives for the match

Atlético MG comes into the match having played 9 games in the Serie A so far. They have recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with an average of 1.44 points per game in the tournament.

In the 2025 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 15 wins, 11 draws, and 4 losses.

Atlético MG's attack has scored 49 goals during this period. Out of this total, 10 goals were scored in the Serie A, averaging 1.11 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.63.

The offense system of Atlético MG is led by Hulk as the top scorer of the season. The Brazilian Forward has scored 7 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Gustavo Scarpa, who has contributed with 3 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 10 goals with an average of 1.11 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 21 goals conceded in 30 matches, resulting in an average of 0.7.

How Corinthians arrives for the match

On the other hand, Corinthians comes into the match having played 9 games in the Serie A so far. They have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, with an average of 1.44 points per game in the tournament.

In the 2025 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 21 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses.

Corinthians's attack has scored 50 goals during this period. Out of this total, 12 goals were scored in the Serie A, averaging 1.33 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.39.

The offense system of Corinthians is led by Talles Magno as the top scorer of the season. The Brazilian Forward has scored 5 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Memphis Depay, who has contributed with 5 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 14 goals with an average of 1.56 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 38 goals conceded in 36 matches, resulting in an average of 1.06.

Both Teams in the Standings

To provide context on how both teams are coming into this match, we present here the current campaigns of the two clubs at this moment.

# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts PPG
10
Corinthians Team Logo

Corinthians

29 9 9 11 31 35 -4 36 1.24
15
Atlético MG Team Logo

Atlético MG

28 8 9 11 26 32 -6 33 1.18
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Data and Statistics for Atlético MG vs Corinthians

Check out the summary of team statistics with various relevant information to support your football prediction.

Home Team

Atlético MG Team Logo

Atlético MG

Brazil - Serie A

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall D W W D W

1.44

Home W W D D

2

Away D W D L L

1

Away Team

Corinthians Team Logo

Corinthians

Brazil - Serie A

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall W L W L W

1.44

Home W W W L W

2.4

Away L L L D

0.25

You can check all the statistics for Atlético MG vs Corinthians below.

Corinthians vs Atlético MG stats, standings and H2H | APWin

Corinthians vs Atlético MG stats, standings and H2H | APWin

On APWin, you can also check all the statistics for the Serie A.

Where to watch Atlético MG vs Corinthians live?

See below where to watch the match.

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Facts and Curiosities for Atlético MG vs Corinthians

The bookmakers place Atlético MG as the favorite to win the match, with a 51% chance of victory. During the analysis of this prediction, the average odds were as follows:

  • Atlético MG - 1.96.

  • Draw - 3.74.

  • Corinthians - 4.95.

The last match between the teams took place on 28/07/2024, in the Serie A, and Atlético MG won the match. The final score was 2-1.