Atlético-MG and Bahia face each other on Thursday 11.06.2025, at 00:00 (UK Time), in a Brazil Serie A 2025 match. The game will take place at Atlético-MG's home ground, the Estádio do Galo (Arena MRV).
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Atlético-MG and Bahia, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Atlético-MG vs Bahia
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
Bahia Clean Sheet: No
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Atlético-MG preview
Atlético-MG heads into the match with the following record in the Brazil Serie A: in 30 matches, Atlético-MG secured 9 victories, 10 draws, and 11 losses, maintaining an average of 1.23 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Atlético-MG's 2025 season, the team has achieved a total of 32 victories so far.
Atlético-MG has been effective in the offense, scoring a total of 96 goals, of which 27 were scored in the Brazil Serie A, resulting in an average of 0.9 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Hulk, who has found the back of the net 7 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offense. Gustavo Scarpa has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 4 assists.
On the defensive side, Atlético-MG has conceded 32 goals in the Brazil Serie A (an average of 1.07 per game) and 65 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 0.87 per match in the 2025 campaign.
Bahia preview
Bahia comes into the game with 31 matches played so far in the Brazil Serie A. They have secured 15 victories, 7 draws, and 9 losses, maintaining an average of 1.68 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2025 season, the team has recorded 43 wins, 21 draws, and 21 losses.
Bahia's attack has been highly effective, scoring 124 goals during this period. Of that total, 42 were netted in the Brazil Serie A, with an average of 1.35 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.46.
Bahia's offensive system is led by Willian José, the team's top scorer this season. The brazilian forward has found the back of the net 9 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Willian José. The forward has contributed with 5 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 35 goals with an average of 1.13 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 74 goals in 85 matches, averaging 0.87 per match.
Head to head: Atlético-MG vs Bahia
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Atlético-MG
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D W L D W |
1.23 |
| Home | W D W D W |
1.93 |
| Away | D L L L L |
0.63 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% | 13% |
| Goals | 1.97 | 2.07 | 1.88 |
| Scored | 0.9 | 1.29 | 0.56 |
| Conceded | 1.07 | 0.79 | 1.31 |
| Both Teams to Score | 40% | 50% | 31% |
| Without Conceding | 37% | 50% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 40% | 21% | 56% |
| 1st to Score | 37% | 57% | 19% |
|
xG
|
1.53 | 1.76 | 1.33 |
|
xGA
|
1.34 | 1.09 | 1.56 |
Bahia
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W L W W L |
1.68 |
| Home | W W W W W |
2.44 |
| Away | L L L L D |
0.87 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 48% | 75% | 20% |
| Goals | 2.48 | 2.44 | 2.53 |
| Scored | 1.35 | 1.75 | 0.93 |
| Conceded | 1.13 | 0.69 | 1.6 |
| Both Teams to Score | 52% | 50% | 53% |
| Without Conceding | 35% | 50% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 16% | 0% | 33% |
| 1st to Score | 37% | 81% | 33% |
|
xG
|
1.45 | 1.62 | 1.27 |
|
xGA
|
1.35 | 1.13 | 1.6 |
Access all match stats for Atlético-MG vs Bahia
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