The kick off for the match between Atlético-MG and Bahia will take place at 00:00 (UK time) - Thursday, 11/06 - at the Estádio do Galo (Arena MRV). This clash of the 2025 Brazil Serie A looks very promising!
Before placing your bets on this match, check out the full analysis including predictions for Atlético-MG vs Bahia. We also highlight the most interesting odds and markets with a high chance of winning. Providing today’s best free tip to help you make informed and profitable betting decisions.
APWin predictions for Atlético-MG vs Bahia
With odds already released by major bookmakers, our experts have crunched the numbers and dissected the key match data. Find our value-packed prediction for this encounter below:
Bahia Clean Sheet: No
After a thorough assessment of the primary betting markets, APWin analysts have identified bets with strong value potential.
Atlético-MG preview
Atlético-MG has played 30 matches in the Brazil Serie A so far, with 9 wins, 10 draws, and 11 losses. This results in an average of 1.23 points per match.
In the 2025 season, the team has recorded 32 wins, 24 draws, and 19 losses. Atlético-MG's attack has scored 96 goals, 27 of them in the league, which gives an average of 0.9 goals per league match and 1.28 goals per match across the entire season.
Hulk is the team’s top scorer with 7 goals, while Gustavo Scarpa leads the team in assists with 4. Defensively, Atlético-MG has conceded 32 goals in the league (an average of 1.07) and 65 goals throughout the entire season (an average of 0.87 over 75 matches).
Bahia preview
In 31 Brazil Serie A matches, Bahia has recorded 15 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses, with an average of 1.68 points per game.
In the 2025 season, the team has 43 wins in 85 matches. The team has scored 124 goals, 42 of them in the Brazil Serie A (an average of 1.35 goals per match), with Willian José being the team's top scorer with 9 goals and Willian José providing 5 assists.
Defensively, Bahia has conceded 35 goals in the league and 74 in the 2025 season overall, resulting in an average of 0.87 goals conceded per match.
Head to head: Atlético-MG vs Bahia
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Home Team
Atlético-MG
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D W L D W |
1.23 |
| Home | W D W D W |
1.93 |
| Away | D L L L L |
0.63 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% | 13% |
| Goals | 1.97 | 2.07 | 1.88 |
| Scored | 0.9 | 1.29 | 0.56 |
| Conceded | 1.07 | 0.79 | 1.31 |
| Both Teams to Score | 40% | 50% | 31% |
| Without Conceding | 37% | 50% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 40% | 21% | 56% |
| 1st to Score | 37% | 57% | 19% |
|
xG
|
1.53 | 1.76 | 1.33 |
|
xGA
|
1.34 | 1.09 | 1.56 |
Away Team
Bahia
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W L W W L |
1.68 |
| Home | W W W W W |
2.44 |
| Away | L L L L D |
0.87 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 48% | 75% | 20% |
| Goals | 2.48 | 2.44 | 2.53 |
| Scored | 1.35 | 1.75 | 0.93 |
| Conceded | 1.13 | 0.69 | 1.6 |
| Both Teams to Score | 52% | 50% | 53% |
| Without Conceding | 35% | 50% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 16% | 0% | 33% |
| 1st to Score | 37% | 81% | 33% |
|
xG
|
1.45 | 1.62 | 1.27 |
|
xGA
|
1.35 | 1.13 | 1.6 |
Access all match stats for Atlético-MG vs Bahia
Where to watch Atlético-MG vs Bahia live?
Check out the live stream of Atlético-MG vs Bahia below and follow the match in real time.
