Athletic-MG vs Vila Nova | Prediction | Brazil Serie B | 05/09
Brazil - Brazil Serie B
Athletic-MG and Vila Nova face each other on Saturday 09.05.2026, at 00:30 (UK Time), in a Brazil Serie B 2026 match. The game will take place at Athletic-MG's home ground, the Estádio Joaquim Portugal (Arena Sicredi).
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Athletic Club and Vila Nova Futebol Clube, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Athletic-MG vs Vila Nova
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
Double Chance: Athletic-MG or Draw
Market: Double Chance: Athletic-MG or Draw · @ 1.40
Confidence
79%
Last updated: 05-09-2026
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Our prediction is: Both teams don't score
Looking at the current form of both teams, betting the 'no' on the Both Teams to Score market seems like the smart way to go.
It's hard to see both teams getting goals in this match. The two defences have been quite solid, while the offences have had a hard time in front of goal. With that combination, this match could very well be a low-scoring affair with one or none of the teams finding the back of the net.
Our prediction is: Under 2.5 goals in the match
If you're expecting Athletic-MG vs Vila Nova to be a goal fest, think again.
We predict the total to remain under 2.5 goals in this match as neither side figures to have enough attacking firepower to give the opposition's defence much trouble.
Athletic-MG preview
Athletic-MG heads into the match with the following record in the Brazil Serie B: in 25 matches, Athletic Club secured 8 victories, 10 draws, and 7 losses, maintaining an average of 1.36 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Esquadrão de Aço's 2026 season, the team has achieved a total of 11 victories so far.
Athletic-MG has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 42 goals, of which 26 were scored in the Brazil Serie B, resulting in an average of 1.04 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Ronaldo Rodrigues Tavares, who has found the back of the net 5 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. João Victor Broad Moreira Guimaraes has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 3 assists.
On the defensive side, Athletic-MG has conceded 27 goals in the Brazil Serie B (an average of 1.08 per game) and 47 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.24 per match in the 2026 campaign.
- 18/10/2026AvaíAthletic-MGD0018/10/2026Serie BAvaí
v.s
Athletic-MG0 - 0D - 13/10/2026Athletic-MGLondrinaD2213/10/2026Serie BAthletic-MG
v.s
Londrina2 - 2D - 06/10/2026GoiásAthletic-MGL2106/10/2026Serie BGoiás
v.s
Athletic-MG2 - 1L - 01/10/2026Athletic-MGSport RecifeL1201/10/2026Serie BAthletic-MG
v.s
Sport Recife1 - 2L - 27/09/2026FortalezaAthletic-MGD2227/09/2026Serie BFortaleza
v.s
Athletic-MG2 - 2D
Vila Nova preview
Vila Nova comes into the game with 25 matches played so far in the Brazil Serie B. They have secured 13 victories, 5 draws, and 7 losses, maintaining an average of 1.76 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2026 season, the team has recorded 20 wins, 10 draws, and 10 losses.
Vila Nova Futebol Clube's attack has been highly effective, scoring 60 goals during this period. Of that total, 37 were netted in the Brazil Serie B, with an average of 1.48 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.5.
Tiger's offensive system is led by Guilherme Augusto Alves Dellatorre, the team's top scorer this season. The brazilian forward has found the back of the net 7 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Janderson Santos de Souza. The forward has contributed with 7 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 25 goals with an average of 1 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 38 goals in 40 matches, averaging 0.95 per match.
- 18/10/2026Vila NovaNovorizontinoD2218/10/2026Serie BVila Nova
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Novorizontino2 - 2D - 11/10/2026NáuticoVila NovaW0211/10/2026Serie BNáutico
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Vila Nova0 - 2W - 07/10/2026Vila NovaCuiabáD0007/10/2026Serie BVila Nova
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Cuiabá0 - 0D - 03/10/2026Botafogo-SPVila NovaW0103/10/2026Serie BBotafogo-SP
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Vila Nova0 - 1W - 25/09/2026Vila NovaLondrinaW2025/09/2026Serie BVila Nova
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Londrina2 - 0W
Head to head: Athletic-MG vs Vila Nova
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Athletic-MG
Home
Vila Nova
Away
Points & Results
- PPG1.361.76
- 32%Wins52%
- 44%First to Score56%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game1.041.48
- Conceded/game1.081
- xG1.211.44
- xGA1.681.23
Trends
- 60%Both Score44%
- 24%Clean Sheet32%
- 28%Failed to Score28%
Access all match stats for Athletic-MG vs Vila Nova
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Athletic-MG vs Vila Nova

Gustavo Porto
Sporting betting analyst
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Sports betting analyst with over ten years of experience in football analysis, match statistics and betting markets.