Mainz 05 and St. Pauli face each other on Sunday 12.21.2025, at 14:30 (UK Time), in a Bundesliga 2025/26 match. The game will take place at Mainz 05's home ground, the MEWA Arena.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Mainz 05 and St. Pauli, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Mainz 05 vs St. Pauli
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
Mainz 05 Win
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Mainz 05 preview
Mainz 05 heads into the match with the following record in the Bundesliga: in 14 matches, Die Nullfünfer secured 1 victories, 4 draws, and 9 losses, maintaining an average of 0.5 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Mainz 05's 2025/26 season, the team has achieved a total of 21 victories so far.
Mainz 05 has been effective in the offense, scoring a total of 82 goals, of which 13 were scored in the Bundesliga, resulting in an average of 0.93 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Jonathan Burkardt, who has found the back of the net 17 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offense. Anthony Caci has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 7 assists.
On the defensive side, Mainz 05 has conceded 26 goals in the Bundesliga (an average of 1.86 per game) and 82 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.39 per match in the 2025/26 campaign.
St. Pauli preview
St. Pauli comes into the game with 14 matches played so far in the Bundesliga. They have secured 3 victories, 2 draws, and 9 losses, maintaining an average of 0.79 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 13 wins, 12 draws, and 28 losses.
Kiezkicker's attack has been highly effective, scoring 50 goals during this period. Of that total, 13 were netted in the Bundesliga, with an average of 0.93 goals per game. The overall season average is 0.94.
Freibeuter der Liga's offensive system is led by Morgan Guilavogui, the team's top scorer this season. The guinean forward has found the back of the net 6 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Jackson Irvine. The midfielder has contributed with 6 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 26 goals with an average of 1.86 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 76 goals in 53 matches, averaging 1.43 per match.
Head to head: Mainz 05 vs St. Pauli
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Mainz 05
Germany - Bundesliga
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D L L D L |
0.5 |
| Home | L D D L L |
0.29 |
| Away | D L L L L |
0.71 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 7% | 0% | 14% |
| Goals | 2.79 | 2.29 | 3.29 |
| Scored | 0.93 | 0.71 | 1.14 |
| Conceded | 1.86 | 1.57 | 2.14 |
| Both Teams to Score | 50% | 43% | 57% |
| Without Conceding | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 50% | 57% | 43% |
| 1st to Score | 21% | 14% | 29% |
|
xG
|
1.25 | 1.41 | 1.08 |
|
xGA
|
1.71 | 1.47 | 1.96 |
St. Pauli
Germany - Bundesliga
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W D L L L |
0.79 |
| Home | W L L L L |
1 |
| Away | D L L L L |
0.57 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 21% | 29% | 14% |
| Goals | 2.79 | 3.29 | 2.29 |
| Scored | 0.93 | 1.14 | 0.71 |
| Conceded | 1.86 | 2.14 | 1.57 |
| Both Teams to Score | 50% | 57% | 43% |
| Without Conceding | 7% | 0% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 43% | 43% | 43% |
| 1st to Score | 21% | 14% | 29% |
|
xG
|
1.29 | 1.48 | 1.1 |
|
xGA
|
1.4 | 1.36 | 1.44 |
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Journalist, a football lover and sports betting expert for over 7 years. In addition to being a bet world aficionado, Amauri also practices athletics, and as all good Brazilian, does not refuse a brew.