Thun vs Lugano

Switzerland - Swiss Super League

Thun

v.s

25 Oct 2026 09:00

Lugano

Lugano are creating the better shooting profile with average 6.1 overall shots and 1.85 xG. Their season scoring average is 3.1 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

27%
Thun to win
24%
Draw
49%
Lugano to win

The result market leans toward Lugano at 52%. The points profile supports that read: Thun average 0.25 PPG and Lugano average 3 PPG in the comparable split.

Head-to-Head
Thun
4
wins
3
draws
Lugano
5
wins
50%
BTTS
6/12
92%
OVER 0.5
11/12
58%
OVER 1.5
7/12
42%
OVER 2.5
5/12

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Average

    3.63

    League 3.80

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Average

    75%

    League 77%

  • Both Teams Score

    Well below avg

    50%

    League 68%

  • Cards

    Above average

    5.50

    League 4.88

  • Corners

    Above average

    12.00

    League 10.63

Based on 60 completed matches this season.

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Thun average 11 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 10.63, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    95%
    UNDER
    5%

  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    85%
    UNDER
    15%

  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    85%
    UNDER
    15%

  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    70%
    UNDER
    30%

Based on the whole season for both teams combined

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 95% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Thun

Home

LWLLL
VS

Lugano

Away

WWWDW

Points & Results

  • 1.00
    PPG
    2.80
  • 30%
    Wins
    90%
  • 40%
    First to Score
    80%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.70
    Scored/game
    3.10
  • 2.70
    Conceded/game
    0.70
  • 1.62
    xG
    1.85
  • 1.81
    xGA
    1.34

Trends

  • 70%
    Both Score
    60%
  • 10%
    Clean Sheet
    40%

Thun vs Lugano: Statistics and Analysis - Swiss Super League 2026/2027

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Thun vs Lugano - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Swiss Super League match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 13:00.

The fixture is part of game week 11th of the Swiss Super League season. Thun currently sits in position 9th of the Swiss Super League table. Lugano occupies position 1st.

Stat Probabilities for Thun vs Lugano

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Thun vs Lugano at 50%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Thun and Lugano point to a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Thun vs Lugano prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Thun vs Lugano?

According to the latest match odds, Lugano is the favorite at 2.04 an implied probability of about 49.02%. The full 1X2 market has Thun at 3.68, the draw at 4.48, and Lugano at 2.04.

Overall performance in the Swiss Super League

Thun's record so far reads 3W-1D-6L from 10 played a win rate of 30% at 1 points per game.

Lugano stands at 9W-1D-0L from 10 played, winning 90% of their matches at 2.8 points per game.

In their last five, Thun has gone 1W-0D-4L, averaging 0.6 points per game.

Lugano's last five read 4W-1D-0L, at 2.6 points per game.

At home, Thun has a 0% win rate (0W-1D-3L from 4 played).

On the road, Lugano has won 100% of their matches (4W-0D-0L from 4 played).

Goal statistics for Thun vs Lugano

In attack, Thun averages 1.7 goals scored per game in the Swiss Super League (17 in total), while conceding 2.7 per game (27 in total).

Lugano averages 3.1 goals scored per game (31 in total) and 0.7 conceded per game (7 in total).

Thun's top scorer this season is Elmin Rastoder, with 16 goals.

For Lugano, Kevin Behrens leads the scoring charts with 13 goals this season.

Thun's main creator is Kastriot Imeri, with 8 assists.

Daniel Dos Santos Correia tops the Lugano assist chart with 9.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Thun vs Lugano

Thun and Lugano have met 12 times in recent years. The record:

  • Thun wins: 4

  • Draws: 3

  • Lugano wins: 5

Frequently asked questions about Thun vs Lugano

When is Thun vs Lugano?

The match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 13:00.

What is the head-to-head record between Thun and Lugano?

Across their last 12 meetings the record is 4-3-5 (Thun wins – draws – Lugano wins).

What was the last match between Thun and Lugano?

The two sides last met on 25/04/2026, and the result was Thun 0 vs 1 Lugano. Full details: Thun vs Lugano, 25/04/2026.

Who is the favorite in Thun vs Lugano?

Lugano is the favorite at odds of 2.04, an implied probability of about 49.02%. Thun is priced at 3.68, the draw at 4.48 and Lugano at 2.04.

Where can I find a Thun vs Lugano prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Thun vs Lugano prediction page.

Where can I find Thun vs Lugano stats?

All key statistics for Thun vs Lugano are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Thun vs Lugano?

Live streaming information is available on our Thun vs Lugano stream page.