Wanderers vs Progreso
Uruguay - Primera División
Wanderers are creating the better shooting profile with average 3.85 overall shots and 1.32 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.24 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.
Result Probability
The result market leans toward Wanderers at 47%. The points profile supports that read: Wanderers average 1.69 PPG and Progreso average 0.88 PPG in the comparable split.
- 11/07/2026, 21:00Primera DivisiónWanderers2 - 0Progreso11/07/2026, 21:00Primera DivisiónWanderers
2 - 0
Progreso - 18/04/2026, 16:00Primera DivisiónProgreso2 - 1Wanderers18/04/2026, 16:00Primera DivisiónProgreso
2 - 1
Wanderers - 21/09/2025, 13:30Primera DivisiónProgreso2 - 0Wanderers21/09/2025, 13:30Primera DivisiónProgreso
2 - 0
Wanderers - 27/03/2025, 22:00Primera DivisiónWanderers1 - 1Progreso27/03/2025, 22:00Primera DivisiónWanderers
1 - 1
Progreso - 27/03/2025, 22:00Primera DivisiónWanderers1 - 1Progreso27/03/2025, 22:00Primera DivisiónWanderers
1 - 1
Progreso
Key Statistics
Avg. Goals
Average
2.48League 2.37
Over 2.5 Goals
Average
46%League 44%
Both Teams Score
Average
49%League 50%
Cards
Average
5.91League 5.91
Corners
Average
8.50League 9.02
Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Wanderers average 9.69 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 9.02, which points to sustained attacking territory.
Over / Under
0.5
1+ gol
OVER100%UNDER0%1.5
2+ gol
OVER85%UNDER15%2.5
3+ gol
OVER45%UNDER55%3.5
4+ gol
OVER20%UNDER80%
The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 100% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.
Team Performance
Wanderers
Home
Progreso
Away
Points & Results
- 1.47PPG0.97
- 41%Wins27%
- 53%First to Score33%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game1.240.91
- Conceded/game1.381.42
- xG1.321.19
- xGA1.411.51
Trends
- 53%Both Score45%
- 35%Clean Sheet15%
- 17/10/2026, 16:00Primera DivisiónRacing de Montevideo3 - 0LWanderers17/10/2026, 16:00Primera DivisiónRacing de Montevideo
3 - 0
WanderersL - 10/10/2026, 18:00Primera DivisiónWanderers1 - 3LBoston River10/10/2026, 18:00Primera DivisiónWanderers
1 - 3
Boston RiverL - 04/10/2026, 19:00Primera DivisiónCerro0 - 2WWanderers04/10/2026, 19:00Primera DivisiónCerro
0 - 2
WanderersW - 28/09/2026, 23:00Primera DivisiónWanderers2 - 1WAlbion28/09/2026, 23:00Primera DivisiónWanderers
2 - 1
AlbionW - 20/09/2026, 16:00Primera DivisiónDanubio1 - 1DWanderers20/09/2026, 16:00Primera DivisiónDanubio
1 - 1
WanderersD - 12/09/2026, 19:30Primera DivisiónWanderers1 - 1DNacional12/09/2026, 19:30Primera DivisiónWanderers
1 - 1
NacionalD - 05/09/2026, 21:00Primera DivisiónDeportivo Maldonado2 - 0LWanderers05/09/2026, 21:00Primera DivisiónDeportivo Maldonado
2 - 0
WanderersL
Wanderers scored in 5/7 recent form matches and averaged 1 goals.
- 17/10/2026, 13:00Primera DivisiónProgreso2 - 0WJuventud de Las Piedras17/10/2026, 13:00Primera DivisiónProgreso
2 - 0
Juventud de Las PiedrasW - 10/10/2026, 21:30Primera DivisiónPeñarol1 - 1DProgreso10/10/2026, 21:30Primera DivisiónPeñarol
1 - 1
ProgresoD - 03/10/2026, 14:00Primera DivisiónLiverpool de Montevideo3 - 2LProgreso03/10/2026, 14:00Primera DivisiónLiverpool de Montevideo
3 - 2
ProgresoL - 26/09/2026, 14:00Primera DivisiónProgreso2 - 1WRacing de Montevideo26/09/2026, 14:00Primera DivisiónProgreso
2 - 1
Racing de MontevideoW - 19/09/2026, 15:00Primera DivisiónBoston River1 - 2WProgreso19/09/2026, 15:00Primera DivisiónBoston River
1 - 2
ProgresoW - 13/09/2026, 13:00Primera DivisiónProgreso1 - 3LCerro13/09/2026, 13:00Primera DivisiónProgreso
1 - 3
CerroL - 07/09/2026, 18:00Primera DivisiónAlbion0 - 1WProgreso07/09/2026, 18:00Primera DivisiónAlbion
0 - 1
ProgresoW
Progreso scored in 7/7 recent form matches and averaged 1.57 goals.
Wanderers is +36% better in terms of Scored/game
Wanderers is +3% better in terms of Conceded/game
Wanderers is +11% better in terms of xG
Wanderers is +7% better in terms of xGA
Wanderers is +41% better in terms of First-Half Form
Wanderers is +5% better in terms of Offsides
Wanderers is +4% better in terms of Corners
Progreso is +7% better in terms of Cards
Wanderers is +8% better in terms of Shots on Target
Starting
Wanderers
- 33Agustín Buffa PedrouzoGoalkeeper
- 2Nicolás CabralDefender
- 13Fabricio DuarteDefender
- 15Darlin HernándezDefender
- 31Lucas CabreraDefender
- 5Nicolás QueirózMidfielder
- 16José Alberti LoyarteMidfielder
- 25Gonzalo SilvaMidfielder
- 10Luciano CosentinoForward
- 24Joaquín Zeballos MachadoForward
- 30Facundo Labandeira CastroForward
Progreso
Coach: Tabaré Abayubá Silva Aguilar
Substitutes
Wanderers
| # | Form | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Group 1 | |||||||||||
| 1 | Peñarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | +9 | 16 | ||
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 11 | ||
| 3 | Racing de Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 10 | ||
| 4 | Central Español | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 9 | ||
| 5 | Liverpool de Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 9 | ||
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 9 | ||
| 7 | Defensor Sporting | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 6 | ||
| 8 | Boston River | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 | ||
| Group 2 | |||||||||||
| 1 | Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | +8 | 15 | ||
| 2 | Nacional | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 13 | ||
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 12 | ||
| 4 | Montevideo City Torque | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 | ||
| 5 | Juventud de Las Piedras | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 | ||
| 6 | Albion | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 | ||
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 6 | ||
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 | ||
Wanderers vs Progreso: Statistics and Analysis - Primera División 2026
On this page you can check all the key statistics for Wanderers vs Progreso - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.
This Primera División match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 13:00.
The venue is Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera.
The fixture is part of game week 12th of the Primera División season. Wanderers currently sits in position 1st of the Primera División table. Progreso occupies position 7th.
Stat Probabilities for Wanderers vs Progreso
Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:
Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Wanderers vs Progreso at 49%.
Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Wanderers and Progreso point to a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.
For our tips built on these numbers, see the Wanderers vs Progreso prediction page.
Who is the favorite in Wanderers vs Progreso?
According to the latest match odds, Wanderers is the favorite at 2.28 an implied probability of about 43.86%. The full 1X2 market has Wanderers at 2.28, the draw at 3.5, and Progreso at 3.5.
Overall performance in the Primera División
Wanderers's record so far reads 14W-8D-12L from 34 played a win rate of 41% at 1.47 points per game.
Progreso stands at 9W-5D-19L from 33 played, winning 27% of their matches at 0.97 points per game.
In their last five, Wanderers has gone 2W-1D-2L, averaging 1.4 points per game.
Progreso's last five read 3W-1D-1L, at 2 points per game.
At home, Wanderers has a 44% win rate (7W-6D-3L from 16 played).
On the road, Progreso has won 24% of their matches (4W-3D-10L from 17 played).
Goal statistics for Wanderers vs Progreso
In attack, Wanderers averages 1.24 goals scored per game in the Primera División (42 in total), while conceding 1.38 per game (47 in total).
Progreso averages 0.91 goals scored per game (30 in total) and 1.42 conceded per game (47 in total).
Wanderers's top scorer this season is Luciano Cosentino, with 11 goals.
For Progreso, Elvis Nahuel López Barboza leads the scoring charts with 10 goals this season.
Wanderers's main creator is Lucas Nahuel Furtado Cabrera, with 2 assists.
Facundo de León Abate tops the Progreso assist chart with 2.
More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.
Head-to-head: Wanderers vs Progreso
Wanderers and Progreso have met 12 times in recent years. The record:
Wanderers wins: 5
Draws: 3
Progreso wins: 4
Frequently asked questions about Wanderers vs Progreso
When is Wanderers vs Progreso?
The match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 13:00.
What is the head-to-head record between Wanderers and Progreso?
Across their last 12 meetings the record is 5-3-4 (Wanderers wins – draws – Progreso wins).
What was the last match between Wanderers and Progreso?
The two sides last met on 11/07/2026, and the result was Wanderers 2 vs 0 Progreso. Full details: Wanderers vs Progreso, 11/07/2026.
Who is the favorite in Wanderers vs Progreso?
Wanderers is the favorite at odds of 2.28, an implied probability of about 43.86%. Wanderers is priced at 2.28, the draw at 3.5 and Progreso at 3.5.
Where can I find a Wanderers vs Progreso prediction?
You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Wanderers vs Progreso prediction page.
Where can I find Wanderers vs Progreso stats?
All key statistics for Wanderers vs Progreso are on this page, updated in real time.
Where can I watch Wanderers vs Progreso?
Live streaming information is available on our Wanderers vs Progreso stream page.