Paderborn vs Hamburger SV

Germany - Bundesliga

Paderborn

v.s

24 Oct 2026 09:30

Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV are creating the better shooting profile with average 3.67 overall shots and 1.2 xG. Their season scoring average is 1 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

43%
Paderborn to win
25%
Draw
32%
Hamburger SV to win

The result market leans toward Paderborn at 45%. The points profile supports that read: Paderborn average 1 PPG and Hamburger SV average 1 PPG in the comparable split.

Head-to-Head
Paderborn
5
wins
2
draws
Hamburger SV
5
wins
75%
BTTS
9/12
100%
OVER 0.5
12/12
83%
OVER 1.5
10/12
75%
OVER 2.5
9/12

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Below average

    3.17

    League 3.69

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Well below avg

    50%

    League 74%

  • Both Teams Score

    Well below avg

    33%

    League 59%

  • Cards

    Well below avg

    2.33

    League 3.59

  • Corners

    Below average

    9.67

    League 10.72

Based on 54 completed matches this season.

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Paderborn average 10.67 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 10.72, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    91%
    UNDER
    9%

  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    75%
    UNDER
    25%

  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    58%
    UNDER
    42%

  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    41%
    UNDER
    59%

Based on the whole season for both teams combined

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 91% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Paderborn

Home

DLWLL
VS

Hamburger SV

Away

WWWLL

Points & Results

  • 0.83
    PPG
    1.50
  • 17%
    Wins
    50%
  • 33%
    First to Score
    50%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 0.83
    Scored/game
    1.00
  • 1.50
    Conceded/game
    2.50
  • 1.41
    xG
    1.20
  • 2.05
    xGA
    2.00

Trends

  • 33%
    Both Score
    33%
  • 17%
    Clean Sheet
    17%

Paderborn vs Hamburger SV: Statistics and Analysis - Bundesliga 2026/2027

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Paderborn vs Hamburger SV - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Bundesliga match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 14:30.

The venue is Home Deluxe Arena.

The fixture is part of game week 7th of the Bundesliga season. Paderborn currently sits in position 16th of the Bundesliga table. Hamburger SV occupies position 9th.

Stat Probabilities for Paderborn vs Hamburger SV

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Paderborn vs Hamburger SV at 33%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Paderborn and Hamburger SV point to a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Paderborn vs Hamburger SV prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Paderborn vs Hamburger SV?

According to the latest match odds, Paderborn is the favorite at 2.41 an implied probability of about 41.49%. The full 1X2 market has Paderborn at 2.41, the draw at 4.11, and Hamburger SV at 3.18.

Overall performance in the Bundesliga

Paderborn's record so far reads 1W-2D-3L from 6 played a win rate of 17% at 0.83 points per game.

Hamburger SV stands at 3W-0D-3L from 6 played, winning 50% of their matches at 1.5 points per game.

In their last five, Paderborn has gone 1W-1D-3L, averaging 0.8 points per game.

Hamburger SV's last five read 3W-0D-2L, at 1.8 points per game.

At home, Paderborn has a 33% win rate (1W-0D-2L from 3 played).

On the road, Hamburger SV has won 33% of their matches (1W-0D-2L from 3 played).

Goal statistics for Paderborn vs Hamburger SV

In attack, Paderborn averages 0.83 goals scored per game in the Bundesliga (5 in total), while conceding 1.5 per game (9 in total).

Hamburger SV averages 1 goals scored per game (6 in total) and 2.5 conceded per game (15 in total).

Paderborn's top scorer this season is Filip Bilbija, with 15 goals.

For Hamburger SV, Luka Vušković leads the scoring charts with 6 goals this season.

Paderborn's main creator is Raphael Obermair, with 8 assists.

Fábio Vieira tops the Hamburger SV assist chart with 5.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Paderborn vs Hamburger SV

Paderborn and Hamburger SV have met 12 times in recent years. The record:

  • Paderborn wins: 5

  • Draws: 2

  • Hamburger SV wins: 5

Frequently asked questions about Paderborn vs Hamburger SV

When is Paderborn vs Hamburger SV?

The match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 14:30.

What is the head-to-head record between Paderborn and Hamburger SV?

Across their last 12 meetings the record is 5-2-5 (Paderborn wins – draws – Hamburger SV wins).

What was the last match between Paderborn and Hamburger SV?

The two sides last met on 02/03/2025, and the result was Paderborn 2 vs 0 Hamburger SV. Full details: Paderborn vs Hamburger SV, 02/03/2025.

Who is the favorite in Paderborn vs Hamburger SV?

Paderborn is the favorite at odds of 2.41, an implied probability of about 41.49%. Paderborn is priced at 2.41, the draw at 4.11 and Hamburger SV at 3.18.

Where can I find a Paderborn vs Hamburger SV prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Paderborn vs Hamburger SV prediction page.

Where can I find Paderborn vs Hamburger SV stats?

All key statistics for Paderborn vs Hamburger SV are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Paderborn vs Hamburger SV?

Live streaming information is available on our Paderborn vs Hamburger SV stream page.