Motherwell vs Hearts

Scotland - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
Motherwell

v.s

25 Oct 2026 10:00

Hearts
Hearts

Hearts are creating the better shooting profile with average 5.33 overall shots and 1.77 xG. Their season scoring average is 2.22 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

30%
Motherwell to win
26%
Draw
44%
Hearts to win

The result market leans toward Hearts at 47%. The points profile supports that read: Motherwell average 1 PPG and Hearts average 0.8 PPG in the comparable split.

Head-to-Head
Motherwell
2
wins
4
draws
Hearts
6
wins
42%
BTTS
5/12
83%
OVER 0.5
10/12
67%
OVER 1.5
8/12
42%
OVER 2.5
5/12

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Well above avg

    3.45

    League 2.76

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Well above avg

    78%

    League 56%

  • Both Teams Score

    Above average

    61%

    League 56%

  • Cards

    Below average

    3.00

    League 3.74

  • Corners

    Average

    11.78

    League 11.41

Based on 54 completed matches this season.

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Hearts average 9.8 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 11.41, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    94%
    UNDER
    6%

  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    88%
    UNDER
    12%

  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    77%
    UNDER
    23%

  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    38%
    UNDER
    62%

Based on the whole season for both teams combined

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 94% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Motherwell

Home

LLLLL
VS

Hearts

Away

LWDLW

Points & Results

  • 0.89
    PPG
    1.78
  • 22%
    Wins
    56%
  • 33%
    First to Score
    56%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.22
    Scored/game
    2.22
  • 1.78
    Conceded/game
    1.67
  • 1.55
    xG
    1.77
  • 1.79
    xGA
    1.14

Trends

  • 44%
    Both Score
    78%
  • 22%
    Clean Sheet
    22%

Motherwell vs Hearts: Statistics and Analysis - Scottish Premiership 2026/2027

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Motherwell vs Hearts - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Scottish Premiership match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 14:00.

The venue is Fir Park.

The fixture is part of game week 10th of the Scottish Premiership season. Motherwell currently sits in position 10th of the Scottish Premiership table. Hearts occupies position 3rd.

Stat Probabilities for Motherwell vs Hearts

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Motherwell vs Hearts at 61%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Motherwell and Hearts point to a 78% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

Hearts over 4.5 corners: Hearts has taken 5 or more corners in 78% of their matches in the competition.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Motherwell vs Hearts prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Motherwell vs Hearts?

According to the latest match odds, Hearts is the favorite at 2.3 an implied probability of about 43.48%. The full 1X2 market has Motherwell at 3.333, the draw at 7.5, and Hearts at 2.3.

Overall performance in the Scottish Premiership

Motherwell's record so far reads 2W-2D-5L from 9 played a win rate of 22% at 0.89 points per game.

Hearts stands at 5W-1D-3L from 9 played, winning 56% of their matches at 1.78 points per game.

In their last five, Motherwell has gone 0W-0D-5L, averaging 0 points per game.

Hearts's last five read 2W-1D-2L, at 1.4 points per game.

At home, Motherwell has a 25% win rate (1W-1D-2L from 4 played).

On the road, Hearts has won 20% of their matches (1W-1D-3L from 5 played).

Goal statistics for Motherwell vs Hearts

In attack, Motherwell averages 1.22 goals scored per game in the Scottish Premiership (11 in total), while conceding 1.78 per game (16 in total).

Hearts averages 2.22 goals scored per game (20 in total) and 1.67 conceded per game (15 in total).

Motherwell's top scorer this season is Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise, with 17 goals.

For Hearts, Lawrence Shankland leads the scoring charts with 16 goals this season.

Motherwell's main creator is Callum Slattery, with 8 assists.

Alexandros Kyziridis tops the Hearts assist chart with 8.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Motherwell vs Hearts

Motherwell and Hearts have met 12 times in recent years. The record:

  • Motherwell wins: 2

  • Draws: 4

  • Hearts wins: 6

Frequently asked questions about Motherwell vs Hearts

When is Motherwell vs Hearts?

The match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 14:00.

What is the head-to-head record between Motherwell and Hearts?

Across their last 12 meetings the record is 2-4-6 (Motherwell wins – draws – Hearts wins).

What was the last match between Motherwell and Hearts?

The two sides last met on 09/05/2026, and the result was Motherwell 1 vs 1 Hearts. Full details: Motherwell vs Hearts, 09/05/2026.

Who is the favorite in Motherwell vs Hearts?

Hearts is the favorite at odds of 2.3, an implied probability of about 43.48%. Motherwell is priced at 3.333, the draw at 7.5 and Hearts at 2.3.

Where can I find a Motherwell vs Hearts prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Motherwell vs Hearts prediction page.

Where can I find Motherwell vs Hearts stats?

All key statistics for Motherwell vs Hearts are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Motherwell vs Hearts?

Live streaming information is available on our Motherwell vs Hearts stream page.