Molde vs Fredrikstad

Norway - Eliteserien

v.s

25 Oct 2026 14:15

Molde are creating the better shooting profile with average 6.35 overall shots and 1.87 xG. Their season scoring average is 2.26 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

61%
Molde to win
22%
Draw
17%
Fredrikstad to win

The result market leans toward Molde at 66%. The points profile supports that read: Molde average 2.08 PPG and Fredrikstad average 0.92 PPG in the comparable split.

Molde
1
wins
1
draws
Fredrikstad
4
wins
83%
BTTS
5/6
83%
OVER 0.5
5/6
83%
OVER 1.5
5/6
83%
OVER 2.5
5/6

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Average

    3.42

    League 3.21

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Average

    63%

    League 62%

  • Both Teams Score

    Average

    63%

    League 60%

  • Cards

    Average

    3.75

    League 3.58

  • Corners

    Below average

    8.59

    League 10.84

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Fredrikstad average 10.59 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 10.84, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    100%
    UNDER
    0%
  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    85%
    UNDER
    15%
  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    65%
    UNDER
    35%
  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    50%
    UNDER
    50%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 100% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Molde

Home

WDLWW
VS

Fredrikstad

Away

LDDDL

Points & Results

  • 1.74
    PPG
    1.26
  • 52%
    Wins
    35%
  • 61%
    First to Score
    39%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 2.26
    Scored/game
    1.22
  • 1.52
    Conceded/game
    1.57
  • 1.87
    xG
    1.35
  • 1.36
    xGA
    1.63

Trends

  • 74%
    Both Score
    65%
  • 17%
    Clean Sheet
    13%

Molde vs Fredrikstad: Statistics and Analysis - Eliteserien 2026

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Molde vs Fredrikstad - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Eliteserien match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 18:15.

The venue is Aker Stadion.

The fixture is part of game week 12th of the Eliteserien season. Molde currently sits in position 3rd of the Eliteserien table. Fredrikstad occupies position 8th.

Stat Probabilities for Molde vs Fredrikstad

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Molde vs Fredrikstad at 63%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Molde and Fredrikstad point to a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Molde vs Fredrikstad prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Molde vs Fredrikstad?

According to the latest match odds, Molde is the favorite at 1.6 an implied probability of about 62.50%. The full 1X2 market has Molde at 1.6, the draw at 5, and Fredrikstad at 6.15.

Overall performance in the Eliteserien

Molde's record so far reads 12W-4D-7L from 23 played a win rate of 52% at 1.74 points per game.

Fredrikstad stands at 8W-5D-10L from 23 played, winning 35% of their matches at 1.26 points per game.

In their last five, Molde has gone 3W-1D-1L, averaging 2 points per game.

Fredrikstad's last five read 0W-3D-2L, at 0.6 points per game.

At home, Molde has a 67% win rate (8W-1D-3L from 12 played).

On the road, Fredrikstad has won 25% of their matches (3W-2D-7L from 12 played).

Goal statistics for Molde vs Fredrikstad

In attack, Molde averages 2.26 goals scored per game in the Eliteserien (52 in total), while conceding 1.52 per game (35 in total).

Fredrikstad averages 1.22 goals scored per game (28 in total) and 1.57 conceded per game (36 in total).

Molde's top scorer this season is Emil Breivik, with 9 goals.

For Fredrikstad, Fredrik Holmé leads the scoring charts with 3 goals this season.

Molde's main creator is Emil Breivik, with 9 assists.

Daniel Eid tops the Fredrikstad assist chart with 4.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Molde vs Fredrikstad

Molde and Fredrikstad have met 6 times in recent years. The record:

  • Molde wins: 1

  • Draws: 1

  • Fredrikstad wins: 4

Frequently asked questions about Molde vs Fredrikstad

When is Molde vs Fredrikstad?

The match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 18:15.

What is the head-to-head record between Molde and Fredrikstad?

Across their last 6 meetings the record is 1-1-4 (Molde wins – draws – Fredrikstad wins).

What was the last match between Molde and Fredrikstad?

The two sides last met on 13/09/2025, and the result was Molde 1 vs 2 Fredrikstad. Full details: Molde vs Fredrikstad, 13/09/2025.

Who is the favorite in Molde vs Fredrikstad?

Molde is the favorite at odds of 1.6, an implied probability of about 62.50%. Molde is priced at 1.6, the draw at 5 and Fredrikstad at 6.15.

Where can I find a Molde vs Fredrikstad prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Molde vs Fredrikstad prediction page.

Where can I find Molde vs Fredrikstad stats?

All key statistics for Molde vs Fredrikstad are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Molde vs Fredrikstad?

Live streaming information is available on our Molde vs Fredrikstad stream page.