La Serena vs Concepción

Chile - Chile Primera División

v.s

24 Oct 2026 11:30

La Serena are creating the better shooting profile with average 4.54 overall shots and 1.32 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.5 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

41%
La Serena to win
27%
Draw
32%
Concepción to win

The result market leans toward La Serena at 44%. The points profile supports that read: La Serena average 1.33 PPG and Concepción average 1.18 PPG in the comparable split.

La Serena
3
wins
1
draws
Concepción
1
wins
40%
BTTS
2/5
100%
OVER 0.5
5/5
80%
OVER 1.5
4/5
60%
OVER 2.5
3/5

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Below average

    2.54

    League 2.89

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Average

    52%

    League 55%

  • Both Teams Score

    Below average

    47%

    League 53%

  • Cards

    Average

    5.47

    League 5.43

  • Corners

    Below average

    7.85

    League 9.88

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. La Serena average 9.75 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 9.88, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    100%
    UNDER
    0%
  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    80%
    UNDER
    20%
  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    40%
    UNDER
    60%
  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    20%
    UNDER
    80%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 100% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

La Serena

Home

LLWWD
VS

Concepción

Away

DDLWD

Points & Results

  • 1.25
    PPG
    1.33
  • 29%
    Wins
    38%
  • 54%
    First to Score
    54%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.50
    Scored/game
    1.08
  • 1.71
    Conceded/game
    1.13
  • 1.32
    xG
    1.39
  • 1.54
    xGA
    1.46

Trends

  • 58%
    Both Score
    38%
  • 25%
    Clean Sheet
    33%

La Serena vs Concepción: Statistics and Analysis - Chile Primera División 2026

On this page you can check all the key statistics for La Serena vs Concepción - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Chile Primera División match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 16:30.

The venue is Estadio La Portada de La Serena.

The fixture is part of game week 25th of the Chile Primera División season. La Serena currently sits in position 11th of the Chile Primera División table. Concepción occupies position 8th.

Stat Probabilities for La Serena vs Concepción

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in La Serena vs Concepción at 47%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for La Serena and Concepción point to a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

Cards for Concepción's opponents: Concepción's opponents have received 3 or more cards in 75% of their matches.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the La Serena vs Concepción prediction page.

Who is the favorite in La Serena vs Concepción?

According to the latest match odds, La Serena is the favorite at 2.469 an implied probability of about 40.50%. The full 1X2 market has La Serena at 2.469, the draw at 3.571, and Concepción at 3.226.

Overall performance in the Chile Primera División

La Serena's record so far reads 7W-9D-8L from 24 played a win rate of 29% at 1.25 points per game.

Concepción stands at 9W-5D-10L from 24 played, winning 38% of their matches at 1.33 points per game.

In their last five, La Serena has gone 2W-1D-2L, averaging 1.4 points per game.

Concepción's last five read 1W-3D-1L, at 1.2 points per game.

At home, La Serena has a 33% win rate (4W-4D-4L from 12 played).

On the road, Concepción has won 36% of their matches (4W-1D-6L from 11 played).

Goal statistics for La Serena vs Concepción

In attack, La Serena averages 1.5 goals scored per game in the Chile Primera División (36 in total), while conceding 1.71 per game (41 in total).

Concepción averages 1.08 goals scored per game (26 in total) and 1.13 conceded per game (27 in total).

La Serena's top scorer this season is Jeisson Andrés Vargas Salazar, with 7 goals.

For Concepción, Joaquín Oscar Larrivey leads the scoring charts with 7 goals this season.

La Serena's main creator is Jeisson Andrés Vargas Salazar, with 7 assists.

Leonardo Felipe Valencia Rossel tops the Concepción assist chart with 3.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: La Serena vs Concepción

La Serena and Concepción have met 5 times in recent years. The record:

  • La Serena wins: 3

  • Draws: 1

  • Concepción wins: 1

Frequently asked questions about La Serena vs Concepción

When is La Serena vs Concepción?

The match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 16:30.

What is the head-to-head record between La Serena and Concepción?

Across their last 5 meetings the record is 3-1-1 (La Serena wins – draws – Concepción wins).

What was the last match between La Serena and Concepción?

The two sides last met on 19/04/2026, and the result was Concepción 3 vs 3 La Serena. Full details: La Serena vs Concepción, 19/04/2026.

Who is the favorite in La Serena vs Concepción?

La Serena is the favorite at odds of 2.469, an implied probability of about 40.50%. La Serena is priced at 2.469, the draw at 3.571 and Concepción at 3.226.

Where can I find a La Serena vs Concepción prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the La Serena vs Concepción prediction page.

Where can I find La Serena vs Concepción stats?

All key statistics for La Serena vs Concepción are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch La Serena vs Concepción?

Live streaming information is available on our La Serena vs Concepción stream page.