La Equidad vs Fortaleza CEIF

Colombia - Categoria Primera A

v.s

20 Oct 2026 19:15

La Equidad are creating the better shooting profile with average 4.66 overall shots and 1.42 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.26 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

40%
La Equidad to win
30%
Draw
30%
Fortaleza CEIF to win

The result market leans toward La Equidad at 42%. The points profile supports that read: La Equidad average 1.59 PPG and Fortaleza CEIF average 0.6 PPG in the comparable split.

La Equidad
1
wins
5
draws
Fortaleza CEIF
6
wins
42%
BTTS
5/12
92%
OVER 0.5
11/12
58%
OVER 1.5
7/12
25%
OVER 2.5
3/12

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Average

    2.70

    League 2.55

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Above average

    54%

    League 48%

  • Both Teams Score

    Well above avg

    69%

    League 55%

  • Cards

    Below average

    5.07

    League 5.94

  • Corners

    Average

    8.92

    League 8.99

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. La Equidad average 9.82 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 8.99, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    80%
    UNDER
    20%
  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    80%
    UNDER
    20%
  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    55%
    UNDER
    45%
  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    45%
    UNDER
    55%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 80% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

La Equidad

Home

DDDLL
VS

Fortaleza CEIF

Away

DDDLD

Points & Results

  • 1.20
    PPG
    1.03
  • 26%
    Wins
    19%
  • 31%
    First to Score
    44%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.26
    Scored/game
    1.13
  • 1.57
    Conceded/game
    1.44
  • 1.42
    xG
    1.25
  • 1.40
    xGA
    1.28

Trends

  • 66%
    Both Score
    72%
  • 20%
    Clean Sheet
    22%

La Equidad vs Fortaleza CEIF: Statistics and Analysis - Categoria Primera A 2026

On this page you can check all the key statistics for La Equidad vs Fortaleza CEIF - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

The venue is Estadio Metropolitano de Techo.

The fixture is part of game week 15th of the Categoria Primera A season. La Equidad currently sits in position 13th of the Categoria Primera A table. Fortaleza CEIF occupies position 16th.

Stat Probabilities for La Equidad vs Fortaleza CEIF

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in La Equidad vs Fortaleza CEIF at 69%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for La Equidad and Fortaleza CEIF point to a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

Scored in both halves: La Equidad has scored in both halves in 75% of their matches in the competition.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the La Equidad vs Fortaleza CEIF prediction page.

Who is the favorite in La Equidad vs Fortaleza CEIF?

According to the latest match odds, La Equidad is the favorite at 2.46 an implied probability of about 40.65%. The full 1X2 market has La Equidad at 2.46, the draw at 3.66, and Fortaleza CEIF at 4.13.

Overall performance in the Categoria Primera A

La Equidad's record so far reads 9W-15D-11L from 35 played a win rate of 26% at 1.2 points per game.

Fortaleza CEIF stands at 6W-15D-11L from 32 played, winning 19% of their matches at 1.03 points per game.

In their last five, La Equidad has gone 0W-3D-2L, averaging 0.6 points per game.

Fortaleza CEIF's last five read 0W-4D-1L, at 0.8 points per game.

At home, La Equidad has a 41% win rate (7W-6D-4L from 17 played).

On the road, Fortaleza CEIF has won 0% of their matches (0W-9D-6L from 15 played).

Goal statistics for La Equidad vs Fortaleza CEIF

In attack, La Equidad averages 1.26 goals scored per game in the Categoria Primera A (44 in total), while conceding 1.57 per game (55 in total).

Fortaleza CEIF averages 1.13 goals scored per game (36 in total) and 1.44 conceded per game (46 in total).

La Equidad's top scorer this season is Fabricio Damián Sanguinetti Fernández, with 9 goals.

For Fortaleza CEIF, Andrés Juan Arroyo Romero leads the scoring charts with 9 goals this season.

La Equidad's main creator is Kevin Parra Atehortúa, with 7 assists.

Sebastián Navarro Otalora tops the Fortaleza CEIF assist chart with 5.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: La Equidad vs Fortaleza CEIF

La Equidad and Fortaleza CEIF have met 12 times in recent years. The record:

  • La Equidad wins: 1

  • Draws: 5

  • Fortaleza CEIF wins: 6

Frequently asked questions about La Equidad vs Fortaleza CEIF

What is the head-to-head record between La Equidad and Fortaleza CEIF?

Across their last 12 meetings the record is 1-5-6 (La Equidad wins – draws – Fortaleza CEIF wins).

What was the last match between La Equidad and Fortaleza CEIF?

The two sides last met on 03/04/2026, and the result was Fortaleza CEIF 1 vs 1 La Equidad. Full details: La Equidad vs Fortaleza CEIF, 03/04/2026.

Who is the favorite in La Equidad vs Fortaleza CEIF?

La Equidad is the favorite at odds of 2.46, an implied probability of about 40.65%. La Equidad is priced at 2.46, the draw at 3.66 and Fortaleza CEIF at 4.13.

Where can I find La Equidad vs Fortaleza CEIF stats?

All key statistics for La Equidad vs Fortaleza CEIF are on this page, updated in real time.