Ústí nad Labem vs Karviná

Czech Republic - FNL

v.s

23 Oct 2026 11:30

Ústí nad Labem are creating the better shooting profile with average 5.45 overall shots and 1.65 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.73 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

33%
Ústí nad Labem to win
26%
Draw
41%
Karviná to win

The result market leans toward Karviná at 45%. The points profile supports that read: Ústí nad Labem average 1.33 PPG and Karviná average 1.5 PPG in the comparable split.

Ústí nad Labem
3
wins
0
draws
Karviná
3
wins
50%
BTTS
3/6
100%
OVER 0.5
6/6
50%
OVER 1.5
3/6
50%
OVER 2.5
3/6

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Above average

    3.67

    League 3.09

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Above average

    75%

    League 64%

  • Both Teams Score

    Well above avg

    84%

    League 66%

  • Cards

    Well above avg

    4.50

    League 3.40

  • Corners

    Above average

    12.34

    League 10.80

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Ústí nad Labem average 12.34 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 10.8, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    95%
    UNDER
    5%
  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    80%
    UNDER
    20%
  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    60%
    UNDER
    40%
  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    35%
    UNDER
    65%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 95% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Ústí nad Labem

Home

DLWLD
VS

Karviná

Away

WWWLW

Points & Results

  • 1.73
    PPG
    2.18
  • 45%
    Wins
    73%
  • 45%
    First to Score
    82%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.73
    Scored/game
    2.09
  • 1.18
    Conceded/game
    1.09
  • 1.65
    xG
    1.58
  • 1.46
    xGA
    1.12

Trends

  • 64%
    Both Score
    45%
  • 36%
    Clean Sheet
    45%

Ústí nad Labem vs Karviná: Statistics and Analysis - FNL 2026/2027

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Ústí nad Labem vs Karviná - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This FNL match will be played on 23/10/2026 (Friday) at 16:30.

The venue is Městský stadion.

The fixture is part of game week 12th of the FNL season. Ústí nad Labem currently sits in position 4th of the FNL table. Karviná occupies position 1st.

Stat Probabilities for Ústí nad Labem vs Karviná

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Ústí nad Labem vs Karviná at 84%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Ústí nad Labem and Karviná point to a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

Over 1.5 goals at half-time: combining both sides' numbers, the likelihood of 2 or more first-half goals is 75%.

Ústí nad Labem over 4.5 corners: Ústí nad Labem has taken 5 or more corners in 73% of their matches in the competition.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Ústí nad Labem vs Karviná prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Ústí nad Labem vs Karviná?

According to the latest match odds, Karviná is the favorite at 2.36 an implied probability of about 42.37%. The full 1X2 market has Ústí nad Labem at 3.12, the draw at 3.8, and Karviná at 2.36.

Overall performance in the FNL

Ústí nad Labem's record so far reads 5W-4D-2L from 11 played a win rate of 45% at 1.73 points per game.

Karviná stands at 8W-0D-3L from 11 played, winning 73% of their matches at 2.18 points per game.

In their last five, Ústí nad Labem has gone 1W-2D-2L, averaging 1 points per game.

Karviná's last five read 4W-0D-1L, at 2.4 points per game.

At home, Ústí nad Labem has a 33% win rate (2W-2D-2L from 6 played).

On the road, Karviná has won 50% of their matches (3W-0D-3L from 6 played).

Goal statistics for Ústí nad Labem vs Karviná

In attack, Ústí nad Labem averages 1.73 goals scored per game in the FNL (19 in total), while conceding 1.18 per game (13 in total).

Karviná averages 2.09 goals scored per game (23 in total) and 1.09 conceded per game (12 in total).

Ústí nad Labem's top scorer this season is David Černý, with 9 goals.

For Karviná, Dávid Krčík leads the scoring charts with 13 goals this season.

Ústí nad Labem's main creator is Pavel Moulis, with 6 assists.

Emmanuel Ayaosi tops the Karviná assist chart with 7.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Ústí nad Labem vs Karviná

Ústí nad Labem and Karviná have met 6 times in recent years. The record:

  • Ústí nad Labem wins: 3

  • Draws: 0

  • Karviná wins: 3

Frequently asked questions about Ústí nad Labem vs Karviná

When is Ústí nad Labem vs Karviná?

The match will be played on 23/10/2026 (Friday) at 16:30.

What is the head-to-head record between Ústí nad Labem and Karviná?

Across their last 6 meetings the record is 3-0-3 (Ústí nad Labem wins – draws – Karviná wins).

What was the last match between Ústí nad Labem and Karviná?

The two sides last met on 17/05/2016, and the result was Ústí nad Labem 1 vs 3 Karviná. Full details: Ústí nad Labem vs Karviná, 17/05/2016.

Who is the favorite in Ústí nad Labem vs Karviná?

Karviná is the favorite at odds of 2.36, an implied probability of about 42.37%. Ústí nad Labem is priced at 3.12, the draw at 3.8 and Karviná at 2.36.

Where can I find a Ústí nad Labem vs Karviná prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Ústí nad Labem vs Karviná prediction page.

Where can I find Ústí nad Labem vs Karviná stats?

All key statistics for Ústí nad Labem vs Karviná are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Ústí nad Labem vs Karviná?

Live streaming information is available on our Ústí nad Labem vs Karviná stream page.