Chapecoense vs Fluminense

Brazil - Brazil Serie A

v.s

24 Oct 2026 18:30

Fluminense are creating the better shooting profile with average 5.61 overall shots and 1.66 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.58 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

23%
Chapecoense to win
27%
Draw
50%
Fluminense to win

The result market leans toward Fluminense at 55%. The points profile supports that read: Chapecoense average 0.79 PPG and Fluminense average 1 PPG in the comparable split.

Chapecoense
2
wins
4
draws
Fluminense
5
wins
73%
BTTS
8/11
91%
OVER 0.5
10/11
91%
OVER 1.5
10/11
64%
OVER 2.5
7/11

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Above average

    3.29

    League 2.66

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Above average

    56%

    League 51%

  • Both Teams Score

    Above average

    72%

    League 59%

  • Cards

    Average

    4.67

    League 4.93

  • Corners

    Below average

    9.47

    League 10.45

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Fluminense average 10.27 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 10.45, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    100%
    UNDER
    0%
  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    80%
    UNDER
    20%
  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    70%
    UNDER
    30%
  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    45%
    UNDER
    55%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 100% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Chapecoense

Home

LLLDL
VS

Fluminense

Away

LLWWL

Points & Results

  • 0.60
    PPG
    1.65
  • 10%
    Wins
    45%
  • 23%
    First to Score
    55%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.00
    Scored/game
    1.58
  • 2.07
    Conceded/game
    1.26
  • 1.31
    xG
    1.66
  • 1.88
    xGA
    1.46

Trends

  • 63%
    Both Score
    71%
  • 7%
    Clean Sheet
    19%

Chapecoense vs Fluminense: Statistics and Analysis - Brazil Serie A 2026

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Chapecoense vs Fluminense - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Brazil Serie A match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 23:30.

The venue is Arena Condá.

The fixture is part of game week 32th of the Brazil Serie A season. Chapecoense currently sits in position 20th of the Brazil Serie A table. Fluminense occupies position 4th.

Stat Probabilities for Chapecoense vs Fluminense

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Chapecoense vs Fluminense at 72%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Chapecoense and Fluminense point to a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Chapecoense vs Fluminense prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Chapecoense vs Fluminense?

According to the latest match odds, Fluminense is the favorite at 2.01 an implied probability of about 49.75%. The full 1X2 market has Chapecoense at 4.598, the draw at 8, and Fluminense at 2.01.

Overall performance in the Brazil Serie A

Chapecoense's record so far reads 3W-9D-18L from 30 played a win rate of 10% at 0.6 points per game.

Fluminense stands at 14W-9D-8L from 31 played, winning 45% of their matches at 1.65 points per game.

In their last five, Chapecoense has gone 0W-1D-4L, averaging 0.2 points per game.

Fluminense's last five read 2W-0D-3L, at 1.2 points per game.

At home, Chapecoense has a 14% win rate (2W-5D-7L from 14 played).

On the road, Fluminense has won 20% of their matches (3W-6D-6L from 15 played).

Goal statistics for Chapecoense vs Fluminense

In attack, Chapecoense averages 1 goals scored per game in the Brazil Serie A (30 in total), while conceding 2.07 per game (62 in total).

Fluminense averages 1.58 goals scored per game (49 in total) and 1.26 conceded per game (39 in total).

Chapecoense's top scorer this season is Marcio Antonio de Sousa Junior, with 5 goals.

For Fluminense, John Kennedy leads the scoring charts with 9 goals this season.

Chapecoense's main creator is Giovanni Augusto Oliveira Cardoso, with 5 assists.

Luciano Acosta tops the Fluminense assist chart with 5.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Chapecoense vs Fluminense

Chapecoense and Fluminense have met 11 times in recent years. The record:

  • Chapecoense wins: 2

  • Draws: 4

  • Fluminense wins: 5

Frequently asked questions about Chapecoense vs Fluminense

When is Chapecoense vs Fluminense?

The match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 23:30.

What is the head-to-head record between Chapecoense and Fluminense?

Across their last 11 meetings the record is 2-4-5 (Chapecoense wins – draws – Fluminense wins).

What was the last match between Chapecoense and Fluminense?

The two sides last met on 26/04/2026, and the result was Fluminense 2 vs 1 Chapecoense. Full details: Chapecoense vs Fluminense, 26/04/2026.

Who is the favorite in Chapecoense vs Fluminense?

Fluminense is the favorite at odds of 2.01, an implied probability of about 49.75%. Chapecoense is priced at 4.598, the draw at 8 and Fluminense at 2.01.

Where can I find a Chapecoense vs Fluminense prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Chapecoense vs Fluminense prediction page.

Where can I find Chapecoense vs Fluminense stats?

All key statistics for Chapecoense vs Fluminense are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Chapecoense vs Fluminense?

Live streaming information is available on our Chapecoense vs Fluminense stream page.