Mozambique vs Ethiopia
International - Africa Cup of Nations Qualification
Mozambique are creating the better shooting profile with average 3.5 overall shots and 0.59 xG. Their season scoring average is 2.5 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.
Key Statistics
Avg. Goals
Average
2.50League 2.49
Over 2.5 Goals
Below average
38%League 47%
Both Teams Score
Average
50%League 47%
Cards
Below average
2.75League 3.16
Corners
Well below avg
6.50League 8.72
Over / Under
0.5
1+ gol
OVER100%UNDER0%1.5
2+ gol
OVER50%UNDER50%2.5
3+ gol
OVER33%UNDER67%3.5
4+ gol
OVER16%UNDER84%
The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 100% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.
Team Performance
Mozambique
Home
Ethiopia
Away
Points & Results
- 2.00PPG1.50
- 50%Wins50%
- 50%First to Score50%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game2.501.00
- Conceded/game1.000.50
- xG0.590.63
- xGA0.890.24
Trends
- 100%Both Score0%
- 0%Clean Sheet50%
Mozambique scored in 2/2 recent form matches and averaged 2.5 goals.
- 09/29/2026, 13:00Africa Cup of Nations QualificationEthiopia0 - 1SenegalL09/29/2026, 13:00Africa Cup of Nations QualificationEthiopia
0 - 1
SenegalL - 09/25/2026, 13:00Africa Cup of Nations QualificationSudan1 - 0EthiopiaL09/25/2026, 13:00Africa Cup of Nations QualificationSudan
1 - 0
EthiopiaL - 03/31/2026, 13:00Africa Cup of Nations QualificationEthiopia1 - 0São Tomé and PríncipeW03/31/2026, 13:00Africa Cup of Nations QualificationEthiopia
1 - 0
São Tomé and PríncipeW - 03/27/2026, 16:00Africa Cup of Nations QualificationSão Tomé and Príncipe0 - 3EthiopiaW03/27/2026, 16:00Africa Cup of Nations QualificationSão Tomé and Príncipe
0 - 3
EthiopiaW
Ethiopia scored in 2/4 recent form matches and averaged 1 goals.
Mozambique is +150% better in terms of Scored/game
Ethiopia is +100% better in terms of Conceded/game
Ethiopia is +7% better in terms of xG
Ethiopia is +271% better in terms of xGA
Mozambique is +14% better in terms of First-Half Form
Ethiopia is +8% better in terms of Offsides
Mozambique is +54% better in terms of Corners
Mozambique is +67% better in terms of Cards
Mozambique is +17% better in terms of Shots on Target
| # | Form | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Group A | |||||||||||
| 1 | Morocco | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +4 | 6 | ||
| 2 | Gabon | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | ||
| 3 | Niger | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | ||
| 4 | Lesotho | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | ||
| Group B | |||||||||||
| 1 | Egypt | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 4 | ||
| 2 | Angola | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 4 | ||
| 3 | Malawi | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | ||
| 4 | South Sudan | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 0 | ||
| Group C | |||||||||||
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +4 | 6 | ||
| 2 | Gambia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 6 | ||
| 3 | Somalia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | ||
| 4 | Ghana | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 0 | ||
| Group D | |||||||||||
| 1 | South Africa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | +6 | 6 | ||
| 2 | Guinea | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | ||
| 3 | Kenya | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 | ||
| 4 | Eritrea | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1 | ||
| Group E | |||||||||||
| 1 | Congo DR | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 6 | ||
| 2 | Zimbabwe | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | ||
| 3 | Equatorial Guinea | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 | ||
| 4 | Sierra Leone | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 0 | ||
| Group F | |||||||||||
| 1 | Burkina Faso | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 4 | ||
| 2 | Benin | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 4 | ||
| 3 | Mauritania | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 3 | ||
| 4 | Central African Republic | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | ||
| Group G | |||||||||||
| 1 | Cameroon | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 4 | ||
| 2 | Namibia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | ||
| 3 | Comoros | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | ||
| 4 | Congo | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 | ||
| Group H | |||||||||||
| 1 | Uganda | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 4 | ||
| 2 | Tunisia | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | ||
| 3 | Botswana | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | ||
| 4 | Libya | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | ||
| Group I | |||||||||||
| 1 | Algeria | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 4 | ||
| 2 | Zambia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | ||
| 3 | Togo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 | ||
| 4 | Burundi | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | ||
| Group J | |||||||||||
| 1 | Mozambique | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 4 | ||
| 2 | Senegal | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 4 | ||
| 3 | Sudan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | ||
| 4 | Ethiopia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | ||
| Group K | |||||||||||
| 1 | Mali | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 6 | ||
| 2 | Rwanda | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 6 | ||
| 3 | Liberia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | ||
| 4 | Cape Verde | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | ||
| Group L | |||||||||||
| 1 | Guinea-Bissau | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 6 | ||
| 2 | Nigeria | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | ||
| 3 | Madagascar | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | ||
| 4 | Tanzania | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 | ||
Mozambique vs Ethiopia: Statistics and Analysis - Africa Cup of Nations Qualification 2027
On this page you can check all the key statistics for Mozambique vs Ethiopia - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.
This Africa Cup of Nations Qualification match will be played on 11/11/2026 (Wednesday) at 00:00.
The fixture is part of game week 3rd of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualification season. Mozambique currently sits in position 1st of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualification table. Ethiopia occupies position 4th.
Stat Probabilities for Mozambique vs Ethiopia
Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:
Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Mozambique vs Ethiopia at 50%.
Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Mozambique and Ethiopia point to a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.
For our tips built on these numbers, see the Mozambique vs Ethiopia prediction page.
Who is the favorite in Mozambique vs Ethiopia?
According to the latest match odds, is the favorite at an implied probability of about 0%. The full 1X2 market has Mozambique at , the draw at , and Ethiopia at .
Overall performance in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualification
Mozambique's record so far reads 1W-1D-0L from 2 played a win rate of 50% at 2 points per game.
Ethiopia stands at 2W-0D-2L from 4 played, winning 50% of their matches at 1.5 points per game.
At home, Mozambique has a 50% win rate (1W-1D-0L from 2 played).
On the road, Ethiopia has won 50% of their matches (1W-0D-1L from 2 played).
Goal statistics for Mozambique vs Ethiopia
In attack, Mozambique averages 2.5 goals scored per game in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualification (5 in total), while conceding 1 per game (2 in total).
Ethiopia averages 1 goals scored per game (4 in total) and 0.5 conceded per game (2 in total).
Mozambique's top scorer this season is Stanley Ratifo, with 3 goals.
For Ethiopia, Bereket Desta Dana leads the scoring charts with 3 goals this season.
Mozambique's main creator is Stanley Ratifo, with 2 assists.
Abdulkarim Worku tops the Ethiopia assist chart with 2.
More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.
Frequently asked questions about Mozambique vs Ethiopia
When is Mozambique vs Ethiopia?
The match will be played on 11/11/2026 (Wednesday) at 00:00.
Who is the favorite in Mozambique vs Ethiopia?
is the favorite at odds of , an implied probability of about 0%. Mozambique is priced at , the draw at and Ethiopia at .
Where can I find a Mozambique vs Ethiopia prediction?
You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Mozambique vs Ethiopia prediction page.
Where can I find Mozambique vs Ethiopia stats?
All key statistics for Mozambique vs Ethiopia are on this page, updated in real time.
Where can I watch Mozambique vs Ethiopia?
Live streaming information is available on our Mozambique vs Ethiopia stream page.