Chornomorets vs Karpaty

Ukraine - Ukrainian Premier League

Chornomorets

v.s

25 Oct 2026 07:00

Karpaty

Karpaty are creating the better shooting profile with average 3.89 overall shots and 1.12 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.89 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

18%
Chornomorets to win
24%
Draw
58%
Karpaty to win

The result market leans toward Karpaty at 64%. The points profile supports that read: Chornomorets average 1 PPG and Karpaty average 1.75 PPG in the comparable split.

Head-to-Head
Chornomorets
2
wins
5
draws
Karpaty
5
wins
33%
BTTS
4/12
75%
OVER 0.5
9/12
50%
OVER 1.5
6/12
33%
OVER 2.5
4/12

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Below average

    2.15

    League 2.50

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Well below avg

    33%

    League 53%

  • Both Teams Score

    Above average

    55%

    League 46%

  • Cards

    Above average

    5.15

    League 4.21

  • Corners

    Above average

    11.05

    League 9.16

Based on 68 completed matches this season.

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Karpaty average 12 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 9.16, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    94%
    UNDER
    6%

  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    82%
    UNDER
    18%

  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    47%
    UNDER
    53%

  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    11%
    UNDER
    89%

Based on the whole season for both teams combined

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 94% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Chornomorets

Home

LLDLD
VS

Karpaty

Away

DLDWL

Points & Results

  • 0.63
    PPG
    1.67
  • 13%
    Wins
    44%
  • 38%
    First to Score
    67%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 0.63
    Scored/game
    1.89
  • 1.38
    Conceded/game
    0.89
  • 0.70
    xG
    1.12
  • 1.50
    xGA
    1.09

Trends

  • 50%
    Both Score
    56%
  • 25%
    Clean Sheet
    33%

Chornomorets vs Karpaty: Statistics and Analysis - Ukrainian Premier League 2026/2027

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Chornomorets vs Karpaty - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Ukrainian Premier League match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 11:00.

The fixture is part of game week 10th of the Ukrainian Premier League season. Chornomorets currently sits in position 14th of the Ukrainian Premier League table. Karpaty occupies position 5th.

Stat Probabilities for Chornomorets vs Karpaty

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Chornomorets vs Karpaty at 55%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Chornomorets and Karpaty point to a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Chornomorets vs Karpaty prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Chornomorets vs Karpaty?

According to the latest match odds, Karpaty is the favorite at 1.7 an implied probability of about 58.82%. The full 1X2 market has Chornomorets at 5.72, the draw at 4.25, and Karpaty at 1.7.

Overall performance in the Ukrainian Premier League

Chornomorets's record so far reads 1W-2D-5L from 8 played a win rate of 13% at 0.63 points per game.

Karpaty stands at 4W-3D-2L from 9 played, winning 44% of their matches at 1.67 points per game.

In their last five, Chornomorets has gone 0W-2D-3L, averaging 0.4 points per game.

Karpaty's last five read 1W-2D-2L, at 1 points per game.

At home, Chornomorets has a 20% win rate (1W-2D-2L from 5 played).

On the road, Karpaty has won 50% of their matches (2W-1D-1L from 4 played).

Goal statistics for Chornomorets vs Karpaty

In attack, Chornomorets averages 0.63 goals scored per game in the Ukrainian Premier League (5 in total), while conceding 1.38 per game (11 in total).

Karpaty averages 1.89 goals scored per game (17 in total) and 0.89 conceded per game (8 in total).

Chornomorets's top scorer this season is Kyrylo Popov, with 2 goals.

For Karpaty, Bruno Roberto Pereira da Silva leads the scoring charts with 8 goals this season.

Denis Miroshnichenko tops the Karpaty assist chart with 4.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Chornomorets vs Karpaty

Chornomorets and Karpaty have met 12 times in recent years. The record:

  • Chornomorets wins: 2

  • Draws: 5

  • Karpaty wins: 5

Frequently asked questions about Chornomorets vs Karpaty

When is Chornomorets vs Karpaty?

The match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 11:00.

What is the head-to-head record between Chornomorets and Karpaty?

Across their last 12 meetings the record is 2-5-5 (Chornomorets wins – draws – Karpaty wins).

What was the last match between Chornomorets and Karpaty?

The two sides last met on 30/03/2025, and the result was Karpaty 4 vs 0 Chornomorets. Full details: Chornomorets vs Karpaty, 30/03/2025.

Who is the favorite in Chornomorets vs Karpaty?

Karpaty is the favorite at odds of 1.7, an implied probability of about 58.82%. Chornomorets is priced at 5.72, the draw at 4.25 and Karpaty at 1.7.

Where can I find a Chornomorets vs Karpaty prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Chornomorets vs Karpaty prediction page.

Where can I find Chornomorets vs Karpaty stats?

All key statistics for Chornomorets vs Karpaty are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Chornomorets vs Karpaty?

Live streaming information is available on our Chornomorets vs Karpaty stream page.