Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire

USA - MLS

Atlanta United FC
Atlanta United FC

v.s

24 Oct 2026 19:30

Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire

Chicago Fire are creating the better shooting profile with average 5.17 overall shots and 1.59 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.79 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

36%
Atlanta United FC to win
24%
Draw
40%
Chicago Fire to win

The result market leans toward Chicago Fire at 43%. The points profile supports that read: Atlanta United FC average 1 PPG and Chicago Fire average 1.43 PPG in the comparable split.

Head-to-Head
Atlanta United FC
4
wins
4
draws
Chicago Fire
4
wins
50%
BTTS
6/12
83%
OVER 0.5
10/12
75%
OVER 1.5
9/12
67%
OVER 2.5
8/12

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Average

    3.30

    League 3.26

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Above average

    74%

    League 64%

  • Both Teams Score

    Above average

    74%

    League 64%

  • Cards

    Average

    4.40

    League 4.24

  • Corners

    Below average

    8.87

    League 10.09

Based on 453 completed matches this season.

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Atlanta United FC average 9.72 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 10.09, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    95%
    UNDER
    5%

  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    80%
    UNDER
    20%

  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    70%
    UNDER
    30%

  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    45%
    UNDER
    55%

Based on the whole season for both teams combined

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 95% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Atlanta United FC

Home

LWLDW
VS

Chicago Fire

Away

LLWWW

Points & Results

  • 1.03
    PPG
    1.66
  • 28%
    Wins
    48%
  • 34%
    First to Score
    66%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.24
    Scored/game
    1.79
  • 1.66
    Conceded/game
    1.48
  • 1.41
    xG
    1.59
  • 1.40
    xGA
    1.45

Trends

  • 62%
    Both Score
    72%
  • 14%
    Clean Sheet
    24%

Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire: Statistics and Analysis - MLS 2026

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This MLS match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 00:30.

The venue is Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

The fixture is part of game week N/A of the MLS season. Atlanta United FC currently sits in position 28th of the MLS table. Chicago Fire occupies position 7th.

Stat Probabilities for Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire at 74%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Atlanta United FC and Chicago Fire point to a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire?

According to the latest match odds, Chicago Fire is the favorite at 2.5 an implied probability of about 40.00%. The full 1X2 market has Atlanta United FC at 2.817, the draw at 8, and Chicago Fire at 2.5.

Overall performance in the MLS

Atlanta United FC's record so far reads 8W-6D-15L from 29 played a win rate of 28% at 1.03 points per game.

Chicago Fire stands at 14W-6D-9L from 29 played, winning 48% of their matches at 1.66 points per game.

In their last five, Atlanta United FC has gone 2W-2D-1L, averaging 1.6 points per game.

Chicago Fire's last five read 3W-0D-2L, at 1.8 points per game.

At home, Atlanta United FC has a 43% win rate (6W-7D-2L from 14 played).

On the road, Chicago Fire has won 36% of their matches (5W-5D-4L from 14 played).

Goal statistics for Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire

In attack, Atlanta United FC averages 1.24 goals scored per game in the MLS (41 in total), while conceding 1.66 per game (26 in total).

Chicago Fire averages 1.79 goals scored per game (24 in total) and 1.48 conceded per game (24 in total).

Atlanta United FC's top scorer this season is Miguel Almirón, with 6 goals.

For Chicago Fire, Hugo Cuypers leads the scoring charts with 13 goals this season.

Atlanta United FC's main creator is Aleksey Miranchuk, with 6 assists.

Philip Zinckernagel tops the Chicago Fire assist chart with 9.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire

Atlanta United FC and Chicago Fire have met 12 times in recent years. The record:

  • Atlanta United FC wins: 4

  • Draws: 4

  • Chicago Fire wins: 4

Frequently asked questions about Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire

When is Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire?

The match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 00:30.

What is the head-to-head record between Atlanta United FC and Chicago Fire?

Across their last 12 meetings the record is 4-4-4 (Atlanta United FC wins – draws – Chicago Fire wins).

What was the last match between Atlanta United FC and Chicago Fire?

The two sides last met on 12/04/2026, and the result was Chicago Fire 1 vs 0 Atlanta United FC. Full details: Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire, 12/04/2026.

Who is the favorite in Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire?

Chicago Fire is the favorite at odds of 2.5, an implied probability of about 40.00%. Atlanta United FC is priced at 2.817, the draw at 8 and Chicago Fire at 2.5.

Where can I find a Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire prediction page.

Where can I find Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire stats?

All key statistics for Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire?

Live streaming information is available on our Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire stream page.