Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia

Portugal - Liga Portugal

v.s

24 Oct 2026 10:30

Estrela Amadora are creating the better shooting profile with average 4.13 overall shots and 1.4 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.75 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

55%
Estrela Amadora to win
26%
Draw
19%
Casa Pia to win

The result market leans toward Estrela Amadora at 59%. The points profile supports that read: Estrela Amadora average 1.25 PPG and Casa Pia average 1 PPG in the comparable split.

Estrela Amadora
5
wins
0
draws
Casa Pia
3
wins
25%
BTTS
2/8
100%
OVER 0.5
8/8
50%
OVER 1.5
4/8
50%
OVER 2.5
4/8

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Below average

    2.38

    League 2.75

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Below average

    50%

    League 56%

  • Both Teams Score

    Average

    50%

    League 51%

  • Cards

    Below average

    4.00

    League 4.60

  • Corners

    Above average

    9.50

    League 8.79

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Casa Pia average 11.75 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 8.79, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    93%
    UNDER
    7%
  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    68%
    UNDER
    32%
  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    56%
    UNDER
    44%
  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    43%
    UNDER
    57%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 93% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Estrela Amadora

Home

LLDWD
VS

Casa Pia

Away

LWLDL

Points & Results

  • 1.25
    PPG
    0.50
  • 25%
    Wins
    13%
  • 25%
    First to Score
    13%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.75
    Scored/game
    0.38
  • 1.88
    Conceded/game
    2.13
  • 1.40
    xG
    1.11
  • 1.30
    xGA
    1.69

Trends

  • 75%
    Both Score
    25%
  • 0%
    Clean Sheet
    13%

Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia: Statistics and Analysis - Liga Portugal 2026/2027

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Liga Portugal match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 15:30.

The venue is Estádio José Gomes.

The fixture is part of game week 9th of the Liga Portugal season. Estrela Amadora currently sits in position 10th of the Liga Portugal table. Casa Pia occupies position 17th.

Stat Probabilities for Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia at 50%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Estrela Amadora and Casa Pia point to a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia?

According to the latest match odds, Estrela Amadora is the favorite at 1.88 an implied probability of about 53.19%. The full 1X2 market has Estrela Amadora at 1.88, the draw at 3.93, and Casa Pia at 5.22.

Overall performance in the Liga Portugal

Estrela Amadora's record so far reads 2W-4D-2L from 8 played a win rate of 25% at 1.25 points per game.

Casa Pia stands at 1W-1D-6L from 8 played, winning 13% of their matches at 0.5 points per game.

In their last five, Estrela Amadora has gone 1W-2D-2L, averaging 1 points per game.

Casa Pia's last five read 1W-1D-3L, at 0.8 points per game.

At home, Estrela Amadora has a 25% win rate (1W-2D-1L from 4 played).

On the road, Casa Pia has won 25% of their matches (1W-1D-2L from 4 played).

Goal statistics for Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia

In attack, Estrela Amadora averages 1.75 goals scored per game in the Liga Portugal (14 in total), while conceding 1.88 per game (15 in total).

Casa Pia averages 0.38 goals scored per game (3 in total) and 2.13 conceded per game (17 in total).

Estrela Amadora's top scorer this season is Jovane Cabral, with 7 goals.

For Casa Pia, Cassiano Dias Moreira leads the scoring charts with 6 goals this season.

Estrela Amadora's main creator is Sidny Lopes Cabral, with 5 assists.

Jérémy Livolant tops the Casa Pia assist chart with 8.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia

Estrela Amadora and Casa Pia have met 8 times in recent years. The record:

  • Estrela Amadora wins: 5

  • Draws: 0

  • Casa Pia wins: 3

Frequently asked questions about Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia

When is Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia?

The match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 15:30.

What is the head-to-head record between Estrela Amadora and Casa Pia?

Across their last 8 meetings the record is 5-0-3 (Estrela Amadora wins – draws – Casa Pia wins).

What was the last match between Estrela Amadora and Casa Pia?

The two sides last met on 20/03/2026, and the result was Estrela Amadora 4 vs 0 Casa Pia. Full details: Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia, 20/03/2026.

Who is the favorite in Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia?

Estrela Amadora is the favorite at odds of 1.88, an implied probability of about 53.19%. Estrela Amadora is priced at 1.88, the draw at 3.93 and Casa Pia at 5.22.

Where can I find a Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia prediction page.

Where can I find Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia stats?

All key statistics for Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia?

Live streaming information is available on our Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia stream page.