Zambia vs Burundi
International - Africa Cup of Nations Qualification
Burundi are creating the better shooting profile with average 4 overall shots and 1.45 xG. Their season scoring average is 2.5 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.
Key Statistics
Avg. Goals
Well above avg
3.13League 2.49
Over 2.5 Goals
Well above avg
63%League 47%
Both Teams Score
Below average
38%League 47%
Cards
Below average
2.75League 3.16
Corners
Well above avg
11.50League 8.72
Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Burundi average 15 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 8.72, which points to sustained attacking territory.
Over / Under
0.5
1+ gol
OVER100%UNDER0%1.5
2+ gol
OVER83%UNDER17%2.5
3+ gol
OVER66%UNDER34%3.5
4+ gol
OVER66%UNDER34%
The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 100% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.
Team Performance
Zambia
Home
Burundi
Away
Points & Results
- 1.50PPG1.75
- 50%Wins50%
- 50%First to Score75%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game1.502.50
- Conceded/game1.500.75
- xG1.141.45
- xGA1.651.44
Trends
- 50%Both Score25%
- 50%Clean Sheet50%
Zambia scored in 2/2 recent form matches and averaged 1.5 goals.
- 09/29/2026, 13:00Africa Cup of Nations QualificationBurundi2 - 2AlgeriaD09/29/2026, 13:00Africa Cup of Nations QualificationBurundi
2 - 2
AlgeriaD - 09/25/2026, 16:00Africa Cup of Nations QualificationTogo1 - 0BurundiL09/25/2026, 16:00Africa Cup of Nations QualificationTogo
1 - 0
BurundiL - 03/31/2026, 13:00Africa Cup of Nations QualificationBurundi4 - 0ChadW03/31/2026, 13:00Africa Cup of Nations QualificationBurundi
4 - 0
ChadW - 03/27/2026, 13:00Africa Cup of Nations QualificationChad0 - 4BurundiW03/27/2026, 13:00Africa Cup of Nations QualificationChad
0 - 4
BurundiW
Burundi scored in 3/4 recent form matches and averaged 2.5 goals.
Burundi is +67% better in terms of Scored/game
Burundi is +100% better in terms of Conceded/game
Burundi is +27% better in terms of xG
Burundi is +15% better in terms of xGA
Burundi is +50% better in terms of First-Half Form
Zambia is +33% better in terms of Offsides
Burundi is +5% better in terms of Corners
Zambia is +67% better in terms of Cards
Burundi is +33% better in terms of Shots on Target
- 1Willard Mwanza
Goalkeeper
- 6Ricky Chanda
Defender
- 15Mathews Banda
Defender
- 21Dominic Chanda
Defender
- 22David Hamansenya
Defender
- 3Obino Chisala
Midfielder
- 5Miguel Changa Chaiwa
Midfielder
- 28David Simukonda
Midfielder
- 7Kingstone Mutandwa
Forward
- 10Junior Fashion Sakala
Forward
- 11Albert Kangwanda
Forward
- Tinklar Sinkala
Defender
- Owen Mwamba
Midfielder
- Lameck Banda
Forward
- Wilson Chisala
Midfielder
- Given Kalusa
Midfielder
- Tresford Lawrence Mulenga
Goalkeeper
- Chanka Zimba
Forward
- Pascal Phiri
Forward
- Lungu Ghampani
Forward
- Owen Tembo
Midfielder
- Joseph Liteta
Midfielder
- Eliya Mandanji
Forward
| # | Form | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Group A | |||||||||||
| 1 | Morocco | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +4 | 6 | ||
| 2 | Gabon | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | ||
| 3 | Niger | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | ||
| 4 | Lesotho | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | ||
| Group B | |||||||||||
| 1 | Egypt | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 4 | ||
| 2 | Angola | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 4 | ||
| 3 | Malawi | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | ||
| 4 | South Sudan | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 0 | ||
| Group C | |||||||||||
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +4 | 6 | ||
| 2 | Gambia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 6 | ||
| 3 | Somalia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | ||
| 4 | Ghana | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 0 | ||
| Group D | |||||||||||
| 1 | South Africa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | +6 | 6 | ||
| 2 | Guinea | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | ||
| 3 | Kenya | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 | ||
| 4 | Eritrea | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1 | ||
| Group E | |||||||||||
| 1 | Congo DR | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 6 | ||
| 2 | Zimbabwe | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | ||
| 3 | Equatorial Guinea | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 | ||
| 4 | Sierra Leone | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 0 | ||
| Group F | |||||||||||
| 1 | Burkina Faso | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 4 | ||
| 2 | Benin | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 4 | ||
| 3 | Mauritania | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 3 | ||
| 4 | Central African Republic | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | ||
| Group G | |||||||||||
| 1 | Cameroon | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 4 | ||
| 2 | Namibia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | ||
| 3 | Comoros | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | ||
| 4 | Congo | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 | ||
| Group H | |||||||||||
| 1 | Uganda | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 4 | ||
| 2 | Tunisia | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | ||
| 3 | Botswana | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | ||
| 4 | Libya | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | ||
| Group I | |||||||||||
| 1 | Algeria | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 4 | ||
| 2 | Zambia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | ||
| 3 | Togo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 | ||
| 4 | Burundi | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | ||
| Group J | |||||||||||
| 1 | Mozambique | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 4 | ||
| 2 | Senegal | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 4 | ||
| 3 | Sudan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | ||
| 4 | Ethiopia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | ||
| Group K | |||||||||||
| 1 | Mali | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 6 | ||
| 2 | Rwanda | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 6 | ||
| 3 | Liberia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | ||
| 4 | Cape Verde | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | ||
| Group L | |||||||||||
| 1 | Guinea-Bissau | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 6 | ||
| 2 | Nigeria | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | ||
| 3 | Madagascar | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | ||
| 4 | Tanzania | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 | ||
Zambia vs Burundi: Statistics and Analysis - Africa Cup of Nations Qualification 2027
On this page you can check all the key statistics for Zambia vs Burundi - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.
This Africa Cup of Nations Qualification match will be played on 11/11/2026 (Wednesday) at 00:00.
The fixture is part of game week 3rd of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualification season. Zambia currently sits in position 2nd of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualification table. Burundi occupies position 4th.
Stat Probabilities for Zambia vs Burundi
Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:
Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Zambia vs Burundi at 38%.
Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Zambia and Burundi point to a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.
For our tips built on these numbers, see the Zambia vs Burundi prediction page.
Who is the favorite in Zambia vs Burundi?
According to the latest match odds, is the favorite at an implied probability of about 0%. The full 1X2 market has Zambia at , the draw at , and Burundi at .
Overall performance in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualification
Zambia's record so far reads 1W-0D-1L from 2 played a win rate of 50% at 1.5 points per game.
Burundi stands at 2W-1D-1L from 4 played, winning 50% of their matches at 1.75 points per game.
At home, Zambia has a 100% win rate (1W-0D-0L from 1 played).
On the road, Burundi has won 50% of their matches (1W-0D-1L from 2 played).
Goal statistics for Zambia vs Burundi
In attack, Zambia averages 1.5 goals scored per game in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualification (3 in total), while conceding 1.5 per game (3 in total).
Burundi averages 2.5 goals scored per game (10 in total) and 0.75 conceded per game (3 in total).
Zambia's top scorer this season is Patson Daka, with 3 goals.
For Burundi, Bienvenue Kanakimana leads the scoring charts with 3 goals this season.
Zambia's main creator is Kings Kangwa, with 2 assists.
Jordi Baininwa Liongola tops the Burundi assist chart with 2.
More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.
Frequently asked questions about Zambia vs Burundi
When is Zambia vs Burundi?
The match will be played on 11/11/2026 (Wednesday) at 00:00.
Who is the favorite in Zambia vs Burundi?
is the favorite at odds of , an implied probability of about 0%. Zambia is priced at , the draw at and Burundi at .
Where can I find a Zambia vs Burundi prediction?
You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Zambia vs Burundi prediction page.
Where can I find Zambia vs Burundi stats?
All key statistics for Zambia vs Burundi are on this page, updated in real time.
Where can I watch Zambia vs Burundi?
Live streaming information is available on our Zambia vs Burundi stream page.