Maria da Fonte vs Bragança

Portugal - Campeonato de Portugal Group A

Maria da Fonte
Maria da Fonte

v.s

25 Oct 2026 12:00

Bragança
Bragança

Bragança are creating the better shooting profile with average 4.6 overall shots and 1.49 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.4 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

34%
Maria da Fonte to win
33%
Draw
33%
Bragança to win
Head-to-Head
Maria da Fonte
4
wins
2
draws
Bragança
1
wins
43%
BTTS
3/7
71%
OVER 0.5
5/7
57%
OVER 1.5
4/7
57%
OVER 2.5
4/7

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Average

    2.20

    League 2.31

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Below average

    40%

    League 46%

  • Both Teams Score

    Well below avg

    30%

    League 43%

  • Corners

    Below average

    8.00

    League 9.31

Based on 35 completed matches this season.

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Maria da Fonte average 10.5 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 9.31, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    90%
    UNDER
    10%

  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    60%
    UNDER
    40%

  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    40%
    UNDER
    60%

  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    20%
    UNDER
    80%

Based on the whole season for both teams combined

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 90% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Maria da Fonte

Home

DLLLW
VS

Bragança

Away

LWWDW

Points & Results

  • 0.80
    PPG
    2.00
  • 20%
    Wins
    60%
  • 20%
    First to Score
    60%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 0.60
    Scored/game
    1.40
  • 1.60
    Conceded/game
    0.80
  • 1.11
    xG
    1.49
  • 1.14
    xGA
    1.03

Trends

  • 40%
    Both Score
    20%
  • 20%
    Clean Sheet
    60%

Maria da Fonte vs Bragança: Statistics and Analysis - Campeonato de Portugal Group A 2026/2027

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Maria da Fonte vs Bragança - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Campeonato de Portugal Group A match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 16:00.

The venue is Estádio Moinhos Novos.

The fixture is part of game week 6th of the Campeonato de Portugal Group A season. Maria da Fonte currently sits in position 11th of the Campeonato de Portugal Group A table. Bragança occupies position 4th.

Stat Probabilities for Maria da Fonte vs Bragança

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Maria da Fonte vs Bragança at 30%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Maria da Fonte and Bragança point to a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Maria da Fonte vs Bragança prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Maria da Fonte vs Bragança?

According to the latest match odds, is the favorite at an implied probability of about 0%. The full 1X2 market has Maria da Fonte at 1.01, the draw at 1.01, and Bragança at 1.01.

Overall performance in the Campeonato de Portugal Group A

Maria da Fonte's record so far reads 1W-1D-3L from 5 played a win rate of 20% at 0.8 points per game.

Bragança stands at 3W-1D-1L from 5 played, winning 60% of their matches at 2 points per game.

In their last five, Maria da Fonte has gone 1W-1D-3L, averaging 0.8 points per game.

Bragança's last five read 3W-1D-1L, at 2 points per game.

At home, Maria da Fonte has a 0% win rate (0W-0D-2L from 2 played).

On the road, Bragança has won 100% of their matches (2W-0D-0L from 2 played).

Goal statistics for Maria da Fonte vs Bragança

In attack, Maria da Fonte averages 0.6 goals scored per game in the Campeonato de Portugal Group A (3 in total), while conceding 1.6 per game (8 in total).

Bragança averages 1.4 goals scored per game (7 in total) and 0.8 conceded per game (4 in total).

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Maria da Fonte vs Bragança

Maria da Fonte and Bragança have met 7 times in recent years. The record:

  • Maria da Fonte wins: 4

  • Draws: 2

  • Bragança wins: 1

Frequently asked questions about Maria da Fonte vs Bragança

When is Maria da Fonte vs Bragança?

The match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 16:00.

What is the head-to-head record between Maria da Fonte and Bragança?

Across their last 7 meetings the record is 4-2-1 (Maria da Fonte wins – draws – Bragança wins).

What was the last match between Maria da Fonte and Bragança?

The two sides last met on 22/01/2023, and the result was Bragança 1 vs 3 Maria da Fonte. Full details: Maria da Fonte vs Bragança, 22/01/2023.

Who is the favorite in Maria da Fonte vs Bragança?

is the favorite at odds of , an implied probability of about 0%. Maria da Fonte is priced at 1.01, the draw at 1.01 and Bragança at 1.01.

Where can I find a Maria da Fonte vs Bragança prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Maria da Fonte vs Bragança prediction page.

Where can I find Maria da Fonte vs Bragança stats?

All key statistics for Maria da Fonte vs Bragança are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Maria da Fonte vs Bragança?

Live streaming information is available on our Maria da Fonte vs Bragança stream page.