Vitória vs Athletico-PR

Brazil - Brazil Serie A

Vitória

v.s

24 Oct 2026 15:30

Athletico-PR

Athletico-PR are creating the better shooting profile with average 5.19 overall shots and 1.49 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.58 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

37%
Vitória to win
29%
Draw
34%
Athletico-PR to win

The result market leans toward Vitória at 40%. The points profile supports that read: Vitória average 2.07 PPG and Athletico-PR average 1.4 PPG in the comparable split.

Head-to-Head
Vitória
3
wins
1
draws
Athletico-PR
7
wins
64%
BTTS
7/11
100%
OVER 0.5
11/11
91%
OVER 1.5
10/11
73%
OVER 2.5
8/11

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Average

    2.60

    League 2.66

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Average

    47%

    League 51%

  • Both Teams Score

    Well below avg

    40%

    League 59%

  • Cards

    Below average

    4.53

    League 4.93

  • Corners

    Below average

    8.40

    League 10.45

Based on 309 completed matches this season.

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Athletico-PR average 10.34 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 10.45, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    100%
    UNDER
    0%

  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    90%
    UNDER
    10%

  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    60%
    UNDER
    40%

  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    45%
    UNDER
    55%

Based on the whole season for both teams combined

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 100% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Vitória

Home

DLWLD
VS

Athletico-PR

Away

LWDWD

Points & Results

  • 1.19
    PPG
    1.71
  • 32%
    Wins
    48%
  • 45%
    First to Score
    55%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.10
    Scored/game
    1.58
  • 1.45
    Conceded/game
    1.19
  • 1.31
    xG
    1.49
  • 1.71
    xGA
    1.39

Trends

  • 42%
    Both Score
    58%
  • 35%
    Clean Sheet
    26%

Vitória vs Athletico-PR: Statistics and Analysis - Brazil Serie A 2026

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Vitória vs Athletico-PR - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Brazil Serie A match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 20:30.

The venue is Estádio Manoel Barradas.

The fixture is part of game week 32th of the Brazil Serie A season. Vitória currently sits in position 13th of the Brazil Serie A table. Athletico-PR occupies position 3rd.

Stat Probabilities for Vitória vs Athletico-PR

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Vitória vs Athletico-PR at 40%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Vitória and Athletico-PR point to a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Vitória vs Athletico-PR prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Vitória vs Athletico-PR?

According to the latest match odds, Vitória is the favorite at 2.73 an implied probability of about 36.63%. The full 1X2 market has Vitória at 2.73, the draw at 8, and Athletico-PR at 2.941.

Overall performance in the Brazil Serie A

Vitória's record so far reads 10W-7D-14L from 31 played a win rate of 32% at 1.19 points per game.

Athletico-PR stands at 15W-8D-8L from 31 played, winning 48% of their matches at 1.71 points per game.

In their last five, Vitória has gone 1W-2D-2L, averaging 1 points per game.

Athletico-PR's last five read 2W-2D-1L, at 1.6 points per game.

At home, Vitória has a 67% win rate (10W-1D-4L from 15 played).

On the road, Athletico-PR has won 40% of their matches (6W-3D-6L from 15 played).

Goal statistics for Vitória vs Athletico-PR

In attack, Vitória averages 1.1 goals scored per game in the Brazil Serie A (34 in total), while conceding 1.45 per game (45 in total).

Athletico-PR averages 1.58 goals scored per game (49 in total) and 1.19 conceded per game (37 in total).

Vitória's top scorer this season is Carlos Rene de Sousa Ferreira, with 10 goals.

For Athletico-PR, Kevin Stiven Viveros Rodallega leads the scoring charts with 21 goals this season.

Vitória's main creator is Erick de Arruda Serafim, with 6 assists.

Gastón Américo Benavídez tops the Athletico-PR assist chart with 5.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Vitória vs Athletico-PR

Vitória and Athletico-PR have met 11 times in recent years. The record:

  • Vitória wins: 3

  • Draws: 1

  • Athletico-PR wins: 7

Frequently asked questions about Vitória vs Athletico-PR

When is Vitória vs Athletico-PR?

The match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 20:30.

What is the head-to-head record between Vitória and Athletico-PR?

Across their last 11 meetings the record is 3-1-7 (Vitória wins – draws – Athletico-PR wins).

What was the last match between Vitória and Athletico-PR?

The two sides last met on 06/08/2026, and the result was Vitória 4 vs 0 Athletico-PR. Full details: Vitória vs Athletico-PR, 06/08/2026.

Who is the favorite in Vitória vs Athletico-PR?

Vitória is the favorite at odds of 2.73, an implied probability of about 36.63%. Vitória is priced at 2.73, the draw at 8 and Athletico-PR at 2.941.

Where can I find a Vitória vs Athletico-PR prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Vitória vs Athletico-PR prediction page.

Where can I find Vitória vs Athletico-PR stats?

All key statistics for Vitória vs Athletico-PR are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Vitória vs Athletico-PR?

Live streaming information is available on our Vitória vs Athletico-PR stream page.