Aarau vs Étoile Carouge

Switzerland - Challenge League

Aarau

v.s

24 Oct 2026 12:00

Étoile Carouge

Aarau are creating the better shooting profile with average 5.7 overall shots and 1.9 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.5 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

54%
Aarau to win
23%
Draw
23%
Étoile Carouge to win

The result market leans toward Aarau at 58%. The points profile supports that read: Aarau average 2.2 PPG and Étoile Carouge average 0.5 PPG in the comparable split.

Head-to-Head
Aarau
4
wins
1
draws
Étoile Carouge
2
wins
71%
BTTS
5/7
100%
OVER 0.5
7/7
100%
OVER 1.5
7/7
100%
OVER 2.5
7/7

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Average

    2.95

    League 2.98

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Above average

    65%

    League 60%

  • Both Teams Score

    Well above avg

    75%

    League 54%

  • Cards

    Above average

    4.55

    League 4.00

  • Corners

    Well above avg

    12.85

    League 9.58

Based on 50 completed matches this season.

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Aarau average 10.4 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 9.58, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    95%
    UNDER
    5%

  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    85%
    UNDER
    15%

  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    65%
    UNDER
    35%

  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    20%
    UNDER
    80%

Based on the whole season for both teams combined

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 95% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Aarau

Home

LLDWD
VS

Étoile Carouge

Away

LLLDL

Points & Results

  • 1.20
    PPG
    0.90
  • 30%
    Wins
    20%
  • 40%
    First to Score
    20%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.50
    Scored/game
    0.80
  • 1.80
    Conceded/game
    1.40
  • 1.90
    xG
    1.83
  • 1.49
    xGA
    1.45

Trends

  • 90%
    Both Score
    40%
  • 0%
    Clean Sheet
    20%

Aarau vs Étoile Carouge: Statistics and Analysis - Challenge League 2026/2027

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Aarau vs Étoile Carouge - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Challenge League match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 17:00.

The venue is Stadion Brügglifeld.

The fixture is part of game week 11th of the Challenge League season. Aarau currently sits in position 6th of the Challenge League table. Étoile Carouge occupies position 9th.

Stat Probabilities for Aarau vs Étoile Carouge

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Aarau vs Étoile Carouge at 75%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Aarau and Étoile Carouge point to a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Aarau vs Étoile Carouge prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Aarau vs Étoile Carouge?

According to the latest match odds, Aarau is the favorite at 1.81 an implied probability of about 55.25%. The full 1X2 market has Aarau at 1.81, the draw at 4.18, and Étoile Carouge at 4.32.

Overall performance in the Challenge League

Aarau's record so far reads 3W-3D-4L from 10 played a win rate of 30% at 1.2 points per game.

Étoile Carouge stands at 2W-3D-5L from 10 played, winning 20% of their matches at 0.9 points per game.

In their last five, Aarau has gone 1W-2D-2L, averaging 1 points per game.

Étoile Carouge's last five read 0W-1D-4L, at 0.2 points per game.

At home, Aarau has a 60% win rate (3W-2D-0L from 5 played).

On the road, Étoile Carouge has won 0% of their matches (0W-2D-2L from 4 played).

Goal statistics for Aarau vs Étoile Carouge

In attack, Aarau averages 1.5 goals scored per game in the Challenge League (15 in total), while conceding 1.8 per game (18 in total).

Étoile Carouge averages 0.8 goals scored per game (8 in total) and 1.4 conceded per game (14 in total).

Aarau's top scorer this season is Elias Filet, with 20 goals.

For Étoile Carouge, Cleilton Monteiro da Costa leads the scoring charts with 13 goals this season.

Aarau's main creator is Valon Fazliu, with 11 assists.

Ricardo Azevedo Alves tops the Étoile Carouge assist chart with 5.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Aarau vs Étoile Carouge

Aarau and Étoile Carouge have met 7 times in recent years. The record:

  • Aarau wins: 4

  • Draws: 1

  • Étoile Carouge wins: 2

Frequently asked questions about Aarau vs Étoile Carouge

When is Aarau vs Étoile Carouge?

The match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 17:00.

What is the head-to-head record between Aarau and Étoile Carouge?

Across their last 7 meetings the record is 4-1-2 (Aarau wins – draws – Étoile Carouge wins).

What was the last match between Aarau and Étoile Carouge?

The two sides last met on 24/07/2026, and the result was Étoile Carouge 3 vs 0 Aarau. Full details: Aarau vs Étoile Carouge, 24/07/2026.

Who is the favorite in Aarau vs Étoile Carouge?

Aarau is the favorite at odds of 1.81, an implied probability of about 55.25%. Aarau is priced at 1.81, the draw at 4.18 and Étoile Carouge at 4.32.

Where can I find a Aarau vs Étoile Carouge prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Aarau vs Étoile Carouge prediction page.

Where can I find Aarau vs Étoile Carouge stats?

All key statistics for Aarau vs Étoile Carouge are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Aarau vs Étoile Carouge?

Live streaming information is available on our Aarau vs Étoile Carouge stream page.