Sarpsborg 08 vs Aalesund

Norway - Eliteserien

v.s

25 Oct 2026 12:00

Aalesund are creating the better shooting profile with average 5.3 overall shots and 1.71 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.7 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

50%
Sarpsborg 08 to win
24%
Draw
26%
Aalesund to win

The result market leans toward Sarpsborg 08 at 54%. The points profile supports that read: Sarpsborg 08 average 1.36 PPG and Aalesund average 1.09 PPG in the comparable split.

Sarpsborg 08
8
wins
1
draws
Aalesund
2
wins
64%
BTTS
7/11
100%
OVER 0.5
11/11
73%
OVER 1.5
8/11
73%
OVER 2.5
8/11

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Below average

    2.86

    League 3.21

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Average

    60%

    League 62%

  • Both Teams Score

    Above average

    73%

    League 60%

  • Cards

    Above average

    4.00

    League 3.58

  • Corners

    Average

    10.54

    League 10.84

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Aalesund average 13 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 10.84, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    95%
    UNDER
    5%
  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    90%
    UNDER
    10%
  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    70%
    UNDER
    30%
  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    40%
    UNDER
    60%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 95% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Sarpsborg 08

Home

LWLDD
VS

Aalesund

Away

WLWLW

Points & Results

  • 1.22
    PPG
    1.04
  • 30%
    Wins
    22%
  • 35%
    First to Score
    48%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.22
    Scored/game
    1.70
  • 1.48
    Conceded/game
    2.22
  • 1.53
    xG
    1.71
  • 1.69
    xGA
    1.93

Trends

  • 61%
    Both Score
    87%
  • 22%
    Clean Sheet
    4%

Sarpsborg 08 vs Aalesund: Statistics and Analysis - Eliteserien 2026

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Sarpsborg 08 vs Aalesund - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Eliteserien match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 16:00.

The venue is Sarpsborg Stadion.

The fixture is part of game week 12th of the Eliteserien season. Sarpsborg 08 currently sits in position 10th of the Eliteserien table. Aalesund occupies position 14th.

Stat Probabilities for Sarpsborg 08 vs Aalesund

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Sarpsborg 08 vs Aalesund at 73%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Sarpsborg 08 and Aalesund point to a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Sarpsborg 08 vs Aalesund prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Sarpsborg 08 vs Aalesund?

According to the latest match odds, Sarpsborg 08 is the favorite at 1.97 an implied probability of about 50.76%. The full 1X2 market has Sarpsborg 08 at 1.97, the draw at 4.29, and Aalesund at 3.95.

Overall performance in the Eliteserien

Sarpsborg 08's record so far reads 7W-7D-9L from 23 played a win rate of 30% at 1.22 points per game.

Aalesund stands at 5W-9D-9L from 23 played, winning 22% of their matches at 1.04 points per game.

In their last five, Sarpsborg 08 has gone 1W-2D-2L, averaging 1 points per game.

Aalesund's last five read 3W-0D-2L, at 1.8 points per game.

At home, Sarpsborg 08 has a 36% win rate (4W-3D-4L from 11 played).

On the road, Aalesund has won 27% of their matches (3W-3D-5L from 11 played).

Goal statistics for Sarpsborg 08 vs Aalesund

In attack, Sarpsborg 08 averages 1.22 goals scored per game in the Eliteserien (28 in total), while conceding 1.48 per game (34 in total).

Aalesund averages 1.7 goals scored per game (39 in total) and 2.22 conceded per game (51 in total).

Sarpsborg 08's top scorer this season is Daniel Seland Karlsbakk, with 7 goals.

For Aalesund, Mathias Christensen leads the scoring charts with 9 goals this season.

Sarpsborg 08's main creator is Sondre Sørli, with 5 assists.

Mathias Christensen tops the Aalesund assist chart with 4.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Sarpsborg 08 vs Aalesund

Sarpsborg 08 and Aalesund have met 11 times in recent years. The record:

  • Sarpsborg 08 wins: 8

  • Draws: 1

  • Aalesund wins: 2

Frequently asked questions about Sarpsborg 08 vs Aalesund

When is Sarpsborg 08 vs Aalesund?

The match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 16:00.

What is the head-to-head record between Sarpsborg 08 and Aalesund?

Across their last 11 meetings the record is 8-1-2 (Sarpsborg 08 wins – draws – Aalesund wins).

What was the last match between Sarpsborg 08 and Aalesund?

The two sides last met on 11/10/2026, and the result was Aalesund 2 vs 4 Sarpsborg 08. Full details: Sarpsborg 08 vs Aalesund, 11/10/2026.

Who is the favorite in Sarpsborg 08 vs Aalesund?

Sarpsborg 08 is the favorite at odds of 1.97, an implied probability of about 50.76%. Sarpsborg 08 is priced at 1.97, the draw at 4.29 and Aalesund at 3.95.

Where can I find a Sarpsborg 08 vs Aalesund prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Sarpsborg 08 vs Aalesund prediction page.

Where can I find Sarpsborg 08 vs Aalesund stats?

All key statistics for Sarpsborg 08 vs Aalesund are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Sarpsborg 08 vs Aalesund?

Live streaming information is available on our Sarpsborg 08 vs Aalesund stream page.