Venados and Leones Negros face each other in an official match of the 2025/26 Liga de Expansão MX season. The game takes place at Estadio Olímpico Carlos Iturralde Rivero on Sunday, 12/04/2026, at 02:00 (UK Time).

Our experts have prepared predictions for Venados vs Leones Negros, based on a detailed statistical review of both teams. Our goal is to assist bettors in making profitable decisions, which is why we offer the best free prediction for today.

APWin predictions for Venados vs Leones Negros

The top bookmakers have set the odds, and our team has analysed all relevant match data. See our expert match prediction below:

APWin Prediction

No BTTS 2nd Half

APWin experts have analysed the main betting markets and selected high-value bets.

👉 Our prediction is: Leones Negros to win

Venados vs Leones Negros is a tough match to call, with both teams looking so comparable in our evaluations. But despite the disadvantage of being the away side, we are picking Leones Negros to win on the 1X2 market.

We find Leones Negros's odds to win outright to be quite good value as the away side. Their away numbers suggest they have the ability to pull off a surprise at Estadio Olímpico Carlos Iturralde Rivero.

👉 Our prediction is: Over 2.5 goals in the match

Venados vs Leones Negros has all the makings of a high-scoring affair, and we anticipate this game going over 2.5 goals.

Online bookmakers have given good 1.34 odds for over 2.5 goals, and we fancy the chances of that bet paying off thanks to the tremendous attacking ability of the two teams.

Venados preview

Venados comes into the match having played 26 games in the Liga de Expansão MX so far. They have recorded 8 wins, 6 draws, and 12 losses, with an average of 1.15 points per game in the tournament.

In the 2025/26 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 9 wins, 6 draws, and 12 losses.

Venados's attack has scored 52 goals during this period. Out of this total, 50 goals were scored in the Liga de Expansão MX, averaging 1.92 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.93.

The offence system of Venados is led by Juan José Calero Sierra as the top scorer of the season. The colombian forward has scored 21 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Wiliam Oswaldo Guzmán Aguilar, who has contributed with 8 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 52 goals with an average of 2 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 53 goals conceded in 27 matches, resulting in an average of 1.96.

Leones Negros preview

On the other hand, Leones Negros comes into the match having played 28 games in the Liga de Expansão MX so far. They have recorded 9 wins, 8 draws, and 11 losses, with an average of 1.25 points per game in the tournament.

In the 2025/26 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 9 wins, 8 draws, and 12 losses.

Leones Negros's attack has scored 35 goals during this period. Out of this total, 34 goals were scored in the Liga de Expansão MX, averaging 1.21 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.21.

The offence system of Leones Negros is led by Alejandro de Jesús Bravo Santiago as the top scorer of the season. The mexican midfielder has scored 9 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Alejandro de Jesús Bravo Santiago, who has contributed with 4 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 42 goals with an average of 1.5 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 44 goals conceded in 29 matches, resulting in an average of 1.52.

Head to head: Venados vs Leones Negros

Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.

Home Team

Venados Team Logo

Venados

Mexico - Ascenso MX

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall D W L L L

0.8

Home W L W D D

1.6

Away D L L L L

0.2

Away Team

Leones Negros Team Logo

Leones Negros

Mexico - Ascenso MX

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall W D L D L

1

Home W L D D D

1.2

Away D D L L L

0.4

Access all match stats for Venados vs Leones Negros

Where to watch Venados vs Leones Negros live?

Check out the live stream of Venados vs Leones Negros below and follow the match in real time.

Watch this match

Venados logo
X
Leones Negros logo
Where to Watch

Published on 12 April 2026, at 04:27 Last updated on 14 June 2026, at 20:04
Author: Gustavo Porto

Sports betting analyst with over ten years of experience in football analysis, match statistics and betting markets.