The kick off for the match between Vasco da Gama and São Paulo will take place at 00:30 (UK time) - Monday, 11/03 - at the Estádio Vasco da Gama (São Januário). This clash of the 2025 Brazil Serie A looks very promising!
Before placing your bets on this match, check out the full analysis including predictions for Vasco da Gama vs São Paulo. We also highlight the most interesting odds and markets with a high chance of winning. Providing today’s best free tip to help you make informed and profitable betting decisions.
APWin predictions for Vasco da Gama vs São Paulo
With odds already released by major bookmakers, our experts have crunched the numbers and dissected the key match data. Find our value-packed prediction for this encounter below:
Under 2.5 Goals
After a thorough assessment of the primary betting markets, APWin analysts have identified bets with strong value potential.
Vasco da Gama preview
Vasco da Gama has played 30 matches in the Brazil Serie A so far, with 12 wins, 6 draws, and 12 losses. This results in an average of 1.4 points per match.
In the 2025 season, the team has recorded 23 wins, 22 draws, and 22 losses. Vasco da Gama's attack has scored 94 goals, 49 of them in the league, which gives an average of 1.63 goals per league match and 1.4 goals per match across the entire season.
Pablo Ezequiel Vegetti Pfaffen is the team’s top scorer with 15 goals, while Paulo Henrique de Oliveira Alves leads the team in assists with 6. Defensively, Vasco da Gama has conceded 41 goals in the league (an average of 1.37) and 84 goals throughout the entire season (an average of 1.25 over 67 matches).
São Paulo preview
In 30 Brazil Serie A matches, São Paulo has recorded 11 wins, 8 draws, and 11 losses, with an average of 1.37 points per game.
In the 2025 season, the team has 28 wins in 67 matches. The team has scored 80 goals, 33 of them in the Brazil Serie A (an average of 1.1 goals per match), with Luciano da Rocha Neves being the team's top scorer with 7 goals and Enzo Hernán Díaz providing 5 assists.
Defensively, São Paulo has conceded 33 goals in the league and 66 in the 2025 season overall, resulting in an average of 0.99 goals conceded per match.
Head to head: Vasco da Gama vs São Paulo
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Home Team
Vasco da Gama
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W W W W L |
1.4 |
| Home | W W W W D |
1.67 |
| Away | W W L D W |
1.13 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 47% | 33% |
| Goals | 3 | 2.87 | 3.13 |
| Scored | 1.63 | 1.67 | 1.6 |
| Conceded | 1.37 | 1.2 | 1.53 |
| Both Teams to Score | 53% | 53% | 53% |
| Without Conceding | 23% | 27% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 27% | 27% |
| 1st to Score | 50% | 47% | 53% |
|
xG
|
1.44 | 1.55 | 1.33 |
|
xGA
|
1.43 | 1.41 | 1.45 |
Away Team
São Paulo
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W L L L W |
1.37 |
| Home | W L L W W |
1.8 |
| Away | L L W L L |
0.93 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 37% | 53% | 20% |
| Goals | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.2 |
| Scored | 1.1 | 1.33 | 0.87 |
| Conceded | 1.1 | 0.87 | 1.33 |
| Both Teams to Score | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Without Conceding | 33% | 47% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 37% | 27% | 47% |
| 1st to Score | 50% | 60% | 33% |
|
xG
|
1.31 | 1.39 | 1.22 |
|
xGA
|
1.35 | 1.03 | 1.68 |
Access all match stats for Vasco da Gama vs São Paulo
Where to watch Vasco da Gama vs São Paulo live?
Check out the live stream of Vasco da Gama vs São Paulo below and follow the match in real time.
