Vasco da Gama and São Paulo face each other on Monday 11.03.2025, at 00:30 (UK Time), in a Brazil Serie A 2025 match. The game will take place at Vasco da Gama's home ground, the Estádio Vasco da Gama (São Januário).
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Vasco da Gama and São Paulo, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Vasco da Gama vs São Paulo
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
Under 2.5 Goals
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Vasco da Gama preview
Vasco da Gama heads into the match with the following record in the Brazil Serie A: in 30 matches, Vasco da Gama secured 12 victories, 6 draws, and 12 losses, maintaining an average of 1.4 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Vasco da Gama's 2025 season, the team has achieved a total of 23 victories so far.
Vasco da Gama has been effective in the offense, scoring a total of 94 goals, of which 49 were scored in the Brazil Serie A, resulting in an average of 1.63 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Pablo Ezequiel Vegetti Pfaffen, who has found the back of the net 15 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offense. Paulo Henrique de Oliveira Alves has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 6 assists.
On the defensive side, Vasco da Gama has conceded 41 goals in the Brazil Serie A (an average of 1.37 per game) and 84 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.25 per match in the 2025 campaign.
São Paulo preview
São Paulo comes into the game with 30 matches played so far in the Brazil Serie A. They have secured 11 victories, 8 draws, and 11 losses, maintaining an average of 1.37 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2025 season, the team has recorded 28 wins, 20 draws, and 19 losses.
São Paulo's attack has been highly effective, scoring 80 goals during this period. Of that total, 33 were netted in the Brazil Serie A, with an average of 1.1 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.19.
São Paulo's offensive system is led by Luciano da Rocha Neves, the team's top scorer this season. The brazilian forward has found the back of the net 7 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Enzo Hernán Díaz. The defender has contributed with 5 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 33 goals with an average of 1.1 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 66 goals in 67 matches, averaging 0.99 per match.
Head to head: Vasco da Gama vs São Paulo
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Vasco
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W W W W L |
1.4 |
| Home | W W W W D |
1.67 |
| Away | W W L D W |
1.13 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 47% | 33% |
| Goals | 3 | 2.87 | 3.13 |
| Scored | 1.63 | 1.67 | 1.6 |
| Conceded | 1.37 | 1.2 | 1.53 |
| Both Teams to Score | 53% | 53% | 53% |
| Without Conceding | 23% | 27% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 27% | 27% |
| 1st to Score | 50% | 47% | 53% |
|
xG
|
1.44 | 1.55 | 1.33 |
|
xGA
|
1.43 | 1.41 | 1.45 |
São Paulo
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W L L L W |
1.37 |
| Home | W L L W W |
1.8 |
| Away | L L W L L |
0.93 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 37% | 53% | 20% |
| Goals | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.2 |
| Scored | 1.1 | 1.33 | 0.87 |
| Conceded | 1.1 | 0.87 | 1.33 |
| Both Teams to Score | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Without Conceding | 33% | 47% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 37% | 27% | 47% |
| 1st to Score | 50% | 60% | 33% |
|
xG
|
1.31 | 1.39 | 1.22 |
|
xGA
|
1.35 | 1.03 | 1.68 |
Access all match stats for Vasco da Gama vs São Paulo
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Journalist, a football lover and sports betting expert for over 7 years. In addition to being a bet world aficionado, Amauri also practices athletics, and as all good Brazilian, does not refuse a brew.