The United States kick off their FIFA World Cup 2026 campaign on Friday as they take on Paraguay in the opening Group D fixture at SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles. With the tournament being played on home soil, expectations are high for the Americans to start with a positive result in front of their supporters.

Led by Mauricio Pochettino, the USA are widely viewed as favourites to advance from the group and will be aiming to make an early statement. However, Paraguay should not be underestimated, with Gustavo Alfaro's side arriving at the World Cup in impressive form and ready to challenge one of the tournament hosts.

Go through our USA vs Paraguay prediction before locking in your betting picks.

USA vs Paraguay prediction for the 2026 World Cup

Both sides are kicking off their 2026 World Cup campaign in this tie. We weighed up the history, squad depth and current form of each nation before settling on our prediction.

Here is the bet we recommend:

APWin Prediction

BTTS - No

Who are the favourites?

Based on the leading UK-licensed bookmakers, the USA is tipped to come out on top, with 25% of the odds leaning towards their win.

Looking for more? Browse all the World Cup odds and dig into this and other ties from the planet's biggest football tournament.

USA vs Paraguay head-to-head record

These two nations have met only a handful of times of late — 2 match(es) in all, which only adds to the unpredictability of this 2026 World Cup tie.

  • USA: 2 win(s)

  • Paraguay: 0 win(s)

  • Draws: 0

USA: opening the 2026 World Cup

USA make their FIFA World Cup bow having already logged 4 match(es) in 2026 in the build-up. Here is how they have fared:

  • 1 win(s), 0 draw(s) and 3 loss(es)

  • 6 goals scored (1.5 per game)

  • 11 goals conceded (2.75 per game)

Players to watch for EUA National Team

  • Leading scorer: Antonee Robinson with 1 goal(s)

  • Most assists: Ricardo Pepi with 2

Paraguay: opening the 2026 World Cup

Paraguay step out at the FIFA World Cup for the first time this edition after 21 match(es) in 2026.

Here is the Paraguay National Team record:

This year so far

  • 9 win(s), 7 draw(s) and 5 loss(es)

  • 20 goals scored (0.95 per game)

  • 12 goals conceded (0.57 per game)

Players to watch for Paraguay National Team

  • Leading scorer: Antonio Sanabria with 4 goal(s)

  • Most assists: Diego Gómez with 2

USA vs Paraguay statistics at the 2026 FIFA World Cup

Before you stake anything, look over the side-by-side comparison that sheds light on each nation's current form for this World Cup tie:

Home Team

USA Team Logo

USA

International - World Cup

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall L W L L W

1.2

Home L W L L W

1.2

Away L

0

Away Team

Paraguay Team Logo

Paraguay

International - World Cup

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall W L W W L

1.8

Home W D W W W

2.6

Away L W W L L

1.2

USA vs Paraguay probable lineups

See the likely starting eleven below for our USA vs Paraguay prediction at the 2026 World Cup.

USA: Matt Freese, Sergiño Dest, Mark McKenzie, Tim Ream, Antonee Robinson, Tyler Adams, Weston McKennie, Malik Tillman, Christian Pulisic, Alex Freeman, Folarin Balogun

Paraguay: Gatito Fernández, Juan José Cáceres, Omar Alderete, Gustavo Gómez, Júnior Alonso, Diego Gómez, Kaku, Andrés Cubas, Mauricio, Antonio Sanabria, Miguel Almirón.

How to watch USA vs Paraguay live in the UK

Find out below where you can catch USA vs Paraguay live during the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

Just remember, kick-off is at 02:00 UK time.

For the full schedule, check our our World Cup live streaming page.

More betting tips for this match

Alongside the main tip given at the top of this article, here are some other strong bets for USA vs Paraguay:

👉 Our prediction is: Under 2.5 goals in the match

After analysing how the bookmakers have priced this match between USA and Paraguay, we see the total going under 2.5 goals.

We don't expect this match to have too many scoring opportunities, so there shouldn't be more than a couple of goals scored overall.

👉 Our prediction is: Paraguay to win

While Paraguay will head into their match against USA as the favourite, it is still far from a sure thing to score three points away from home. Nevertheless, our betting tip is still Paraguay to win on the 1X2 market.

Our analysis of Paraguay leads us to believe that they are quite capable on their travels and can come up with the away win without much trouble, even against a tricky opponent like USA.

Further 2026 World Cup predictions

Browse all of our 2026 FIFA World Cup predictions and keep up with the sharpest analysis from start to finish of the tournament.

Match details: USA vs Paraguay

🆚 Fixture USA vs Paraguay

🏆 Tournament 2026 FIFA World Cup

📅 Date Saturday, 13/06/2026

🕐 Kick-off 02:00 UK time

🏟️ Venue SoFi Stadium

Bet responsibly

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Published on 9 June 2026, at 23:14 Last updated on 9 June 2026, at 23:17
Author: Amauri Barbosa

Sports betting analyst with over 15 years of experience. At APWin, he writes football predictions, reviews bookmakers and explains the reasoning behind every bet.