The kick off for the match between Union Berlin and Mainz 05 will take place at 14:30 (UK time) - Saturday, 01/10 - at the Stadion An der Alten Försterei. This clash of the 2025/26 Bundesliga looks very promising!

Before placing your bets on this match, check out the full analysis including predictions for Union Berlin vs Mainz 05. We also highlight the most interesting odds and markets with a high chance of winning. Providing today’s best free tip to help you make informed and profitable betting decisions.

APWin predictions for Union Berlin vs Mainz 05

With odds already released by major bookmakers, our experts have crunched the numbers and dissected the key match data. Find our value-packed prediction for this encounter below:

APWin Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

After a thorough assessment of the primary betting markets, APWin analysts have identified bets with strong value potential.

👉 Our prediction is: Draw

There is a significant gap in class and quality between Union Berlin and Mainz 05, which is all too clear in their recent statistics and performances. But despite this disparity, our betting tip is to take the draw on the 1X2 market.

Mainz 05 has shown signs of promise in their past performances, enough to convince us that they can indeed take a point from their much stronger opponents in their upcoming matchup.

Union Berlin preview

Union Berlin has played 15 matches in the Bundesliga so far, with 6 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses. This results in an average of 1.4 points per match.

In the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 8 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses. Union Berlin's attack has scored 29 goals, 20 of them in the league, which gives an average of 1.33 goals per league match and 1.61 goals per match across the entire season.

Ilyas Ansah is the team’s top scorer with 5 goals, while Andrej Ilić leads the team in assists with 7. Defensively, Union Berlin has conceded 23 goals in the league (an average of 1.53) and 27 goals throughout the entire season (an average of 1.5 over 18 matches).

Mainz 05 preview

In 15 Bundesliga matches, Mainz 05 has recorded 1 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, with an average of 0.53 points per game.

In the 2025/26 season, the team has 7 wins in 25 matches. The team has scored 26 goals, 13 of them in the Bundesliga (an average of 0.87 goals per match), with Nadiem Amiri being the team's top scorer with 4 goals and Benedict Hollerbach providing 2 assists.

Defensively, Mainz 05 has conceded 26 goals in the league and 34 in the 2025/26 season overall, resulting in an average of 1.36 goals conceded per match.

Head to head: Union Berlin vs Mainz 05

Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.

Home Team

Union Berlin Team Logo

Union Berlin

Germany - Bundesliga

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall W W L L W

1.4

Home W L D D W

1.5

Away W L W L L

1.29

Away Team

Mainz 05 Team Logo

Mainz 05

Germany - Bundesliga

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall D D L L D

0.53

Home D L D D L

0.38

Away D L L L L

0.71

Access all match stats for Union Berlin vs Mainz 05

Where to watch Union Berlin vs Mainz 05 live?

Check out the live stream of Union Berlin vs Mainz 05 below and follow the match in real time.

Published on 9 January 2026, at 04:17 Last updated on 9 January 2026, at 04:17
Author: Amauri Barbosa

I’m a journalist and content creator with over 7 years of experience in sports betting. At APWin, I live football and betting markets, and outside the screen I’m also a marathon runner always chasing performance.