Truro City vs Merthyr Town | Prediction | FA Cup | 22/09
England - FA Cup
Truro City and Merthyr Town face each other on Tuesday 09.22.2026, at 19:45 (UK Time), in a FA Cup 2026/27 match. The game will take place at Truro City's home ground, the Plainmoor Ground.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Truro City and Merthyr Town, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Truro City vs Merthyr Town
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
Double Chance: Draw or Merthyr Town
Market: Double Chance: Draw or Merthyr Town · @ 2.09
Confidence
79%
Last updated: 21-09-2026
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Our prediction is: Truro City to win the 1st half
Truro City has been a strong home team overall this season, and the statistics point to them being particularly quick to pounce in the opening 45 minutes. Whether that aggressive mentality is due to the energy of the home crowd or an intentional plan on the part of the manager, it has proven to be very effective.
We foresee that plan paying off once again in their match against Merthyr Town, so our top tip is for Truro City to win the first half.
Truro City preview
Truro City heads into the match with the following record in the FA Cup: in 1 matches, Truro City secured 0 victories, 1 draws, and 0 losses, maintaining an average of 1 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Truro City's 2026/27 season, the team has achieved a total of 8 victories so far.
Truro City has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 44 goals, of which 1 were scored in the FA Cup, resulting in an average of 1 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Luke Jephcott, who has found the back of the net 7 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Connor Riley-Lowe has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 6 assists.
On the defensive side, Truro City has conceded 1 goals in the FA Cup (an average of 1 per game) and 74 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.54 per match in the 2026/27 campaign.
- 19 Sept 2026Merthyr TownTruro CityD1119 Sept 2026FA CupMerthyr Town
v.s
Truro City1 - 1D - 25 Apr 2026Aldershot TownTruro CityW0225 Apr 2026National LeagueAldershot Town
v.s
Truro City0 - 2W - 18 Apr 2026Truro CityCarlisle UnitedL0118 Apr 2026National LeagueTruro City
v.s
Carlisle United0 - 1L - 11 Apr 2026Boston UnitedTruro CityL1011 Apr 2026National LeagueBoston United
v.s
Truro City1 - 0L - 06 Apr 2026Truro CityForest Green RoversD1106 Apr 2026National LeagueTruro City
v.s
Forest Green Rovers1 - 1D
Merthyr Town preview
Merthyr Town comes into the game with 4 matches played so far in the FA Cup. They have secured 1 victories, 2 draws, and 1 losses, maintaining an average of 1.25 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2026/27 season, the team has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses.
Merthyr Town's attack has been highly effective, scoring 12 goals during this period. Of that total, 6 were netted in the FA Cup, with an average of 1.5 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.5.
Merthyr Town's offensive system is led by , the team's top scorer this season. The has found the back of the net 0 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, . The has contributed with 0 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 5 goals with an average of 1.25 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 8 goals in 8 matches, averaging 1 per match.
- 19 Sept 2026Merthyr TownTruro CityD1119 Sept 2026FA CupMerthyr Town
v.s
Truro City1 - 1D - 25 Aug 2026Haywards Heath TownMerthyr TownL2125 Aug 2026FA CupHaywards Heath Town
v.s
Merthyr Town2 - 1L - 22 Aug 2026Merthyr TownHaywards Heath TownD1122 Aug 2026FA CupMerthyr Town
v.s
Haywards Heath Town1 - 1D - 08 Aug 2026Merthyr TownPhoenix SportsW3108 Aug 2026FA CupMerthyr Town
v.s
Phoenix Sports3 - 1W - 27 Sept 2025Merthyr TownHampton & RichmondL0127 Sept 2025FA CupMerthyr Town
v.s
Hampton & Richmond0 - 1L
Head to head: Truro City vs Merthyr Town
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Truro City
Home
Merthyr Town
Away
Points & Results
- PPG11.25
- 0%Wins25%
- 0%First to Score50%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game11.50
- Conceded/game11.25
- xG1.630.25
- xGA0.251.63
Trends
- 100%Both Score100%
- 0%Clean Sheet0%
- 0%Failed to Score0%
Access all match stats for Truro City vs Merthyr Town
Where to watch Truro City vs Merthyr Town live?
Check out the live stream of Truro City vs Merthyr Town below and follow the match in real time.
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Truro City vs Merthyr Town
Likely Scores
| # | Score | Probability | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 - 0 | 0.15% | |
| 2 | 1 - 1 | 0.13% | |
| 3 | 0 - 0 | 0.12% | |
| 4 | 2 - 0 | 0.11% | |
| 5 | 2 - 1 | 0.09% | |
| 6 | 0 - 1 | 0.07% | |
| 7 | 3 - 0 | 0.05% | |
| 8 | 1 - 2 | 0.05% | |
| 9 | 3 - 1 | 0.04% | |
| 10 | 2 - 2 | 0.03% | |
| 11 | 0 - 2 | 0.03% | |
| 12 | 4 - 0 | 0.02% |