Toluca and Mazatlán face each other in an official match of the 2025/26 Liga MX season. The game takes place at Estadio Nemesio Díez on Sunday, 28/09/2025, at 02:00 (UK Time).
Our experts have prepared predictions for Toluca vs Mazatlán, based on detailed statistical review of both teams. Our goal is to assist bettors in making profitable decisions, which is why we offer the best free prediction for today.
APWin predictions for Toluca vs Mazatlán
The top bookmakers have set the odds, and our team has analyzed all relevant match data. See our expert match prediction below:
Under 4.5 Goals
APWin experts have analyzed the main betting markets and selected high-value bets.
Toluca preview
Toluca comes into the match having played 10 games in the Liga MX so far. They have recorded 7 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, with an average of 2.2 points per game in the tournament.
In the 2025/26 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 7 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses.
Toluca's attack has scored 28 goals during this period. Out of this total, 28 goals were scored in the Liga MX, averaging 2.8 goals per match. The season's average stands at 2.8.
The offense system of Toluca is led by José Paulo Bezerra Maciel Júnior as the top scorer of the season. The portuguese forward has scored 6 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Ernesto Alexis Vega Rojas, who has contributed with 8 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 13 goals with an average of 1.3 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 13 goals conceded in 10 matches, resulting in an average of 1.3.
Mazatlán preview
On the other hand, Mazatlán comes into the match having played 10 games in the Liga MX so far. They have recorded 1 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, with an average of 0.8 points per game in the tournament.
In the 2025/26 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 1 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses.
Mazatlán's attack has scored 12 goals during this period. Out of this total, 12 goals were scored in the Liga MX, averaging 1.2 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.2.
The offense system of Mazatlán is led by Nicolás Benedetti Roa as the top scorer of the season. The colombian midfielder has scored 2 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Lucas Gabriel Merolla, who has contributed with 2 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 17 goals with an average of 1.7 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 17 goals conceded in 10 matches, resulting in an average of 1.7.
Head to head: Toluca vs Mazatlán
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Home Team
Toluca
Mexico - Liga MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W W W W L |
2.2 |
| Home | W W D L W |
2 |
| Away | W W L W W |
2.4 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Goals | 4.1 | 5 | 3.2 |
| Scored | 2.8 | 3.2 | 2.4 |
| Conceded | 1.3 | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| Both Teams to Score | 70% | 100% | 40% |
| Without Conceding | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| 1st to Score | 50% | 40% | 60% |
|
xG
|
1.9 | 2.29 | 1.41 |
|
xGA
|
1.25 | 1.21 | 1.3 |
Away Team
Mazatlán
Mexico - Liga MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D D L L D |
0.8 |
| Home | D L D D W |
1.2 |
| Away | D L L L D |
0.4 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Goals | 2.9 | 3.6 | 2.2 |
| Scored | 1.2 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Conceded | 1.7 | 2 | 1.4 |
| Both Teams to Score | 70% | 100% | 40% |
| Without Conceding | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 0% | 60% |
| 1st to Score | 50% | 60% | 20% |
|
xG
|
1.16 | 1.31 | 1.04 |
|
xGA
|
1.74 | 1.76 | 1.72 |
Access all match stats for Toluca vs Mazatlán
Where to watch Toluca vs Mazatlán live?
Check out the live stream of Toluca vs Mazatlán below and follow the match in real time.
