Toluca and Guadalajara face each other in an official match of the 2025/26 Liga MX season. The game takes place at Estadio Nemesio Díez on Saturday, 28/02/2026, at 23:00 (UK Time).
Our experts have prepared predictions for Diablos Rojos vs Chivas, based on a detailed statistical review of both teams. Our goal is to assist bettors in making profitable decisions, which is why we offer the best free prediction for today.
APWin predictions for Toluca vs Guadalajara
The top bookmakers have set the odds, and our team has analysed all relevant match data. See our expert match prediction below:
Under 2.5 Goals
APWin experts have analysed the main betting markets and selected high-value bets.
Los Auriazules preview
Toluca comes into the match having played 30 games in the Liga MX so far. They have recorded 18 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses, with an average of 2.07 points per game in the tournament.
In the 2025/26 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 18 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses.
Toluca's attack has scored 59 goals during this period. Out of this total, 59 goals were scored in the Liga MX, averaging 1.97 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.97.
The offence system of Toluca is led by José Paulo Bezerra Maciel Júnior as the top scorer of the season. The portuguese forward has scored 19 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Ernesto Alexis Vega Rojas, who has contributed with 10 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 26 goals with an average of 0.87 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 26 goals conceded in 30 matches, resulting in an average of 0.87.
Rojiblancos preview
On the other hand, Guadalajara comes into the match having played 26 games in the Liga MX so far. They have recorded 15 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, with an average of 1.85 points per game in the tournament.
In the 2025/26 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 15 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses.
Guadalajara's attack has scored 43 goals during this period. Out of this total, 43 goals were scored in the Liga MX, averaging 1.65 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.65.
The offence system of Guadalajara is led by Armando González Alba as the top scorer of the season. The mexican midfielder has scored 17 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Richard Ledezma, who has contributed with 6 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 31 goals with an average of 1.19 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 31 goals conceded in 26 matches, resulting in an average of 1.19.
Head to head: Toluca vs Guadalajara
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Toluca
Mexico - Liga MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W W D D D |
2.07 |
| Home | W D W W W |
2.27 |
| Away | W D D W L |
1.87 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 67% | 53% |
| Goals | 2.83 | 3.6 | 2.07 |
| Scored | 1.97 | 2.47 | 1.47 |
| Conceded | 0.87 | 1.13 | 0.6 |
| Both Teams to Score | 50% | 73% | 27% |
| Without Conceding | 40% | 27% | 53% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 7% | 47% |
| 1st to Score | 50% | 60% | 40% |
|
xG
|
1.81 | 2.01 | 1.57 |
|
xGA
|
1.08 | 1.1 | 1.05 |
Guadalajara
Mexico - Liga MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L W W W W |
1.85 |
| Home | W W W D W |
2 |
| Away | L W W W L |
1.69 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 58% | 62% | 54% |
| Goals | 2.85 | 3 | 2.69 |
| Scored | 1.65 | 1.85 | 1.46 |
| Conceded | 1.19 | 1.15 | 1.23 |
| Both Teams to Score | 54% | 54% | 54% |
| Without Conceding | 31% | 38% | 23% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 23% | 23% |
| 1st to Score | 50% | 62% | 54% |
|
xG
|
1.53 | 1.52 | 1.53 |
|
xGA
|
1.11 | 1.2 | 1.03 |
Access all match stats for Toluca vs Guadalajara
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