The kick off for the match between Toluca and Atlas will take place at 01:00 (UK time) - Sunday, 03/15 - at the Estadio Nemesio Díez. This clash of the 2025/26 Liga MX looks very promising!
Before placing your bets on this match, check out the full analysis, including predictions for Deportivo Toluca Fútbol Club S.A. de C.V. vs Atlas Fútbol Club. We also highlight the most interesting odds and markets with a high chance of winning. Providing today’s best free tip to help you make informed and profitable betting decisions.
APWin predictions for Toluca vs Atlas
With odds already released by major bookmakers, our experts have crunched the numbers and dissected the key match data. Find our value-packed prediction for this encounter below:
Toluca Win
After a thorough assessment of the primary betting markets, APWin analysts have identified bets with strong value potential.
Toluca Preview
Toluca has played 33 matches in the Liga MX so far, with 21 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses. This results in an average of 2.15 points per match.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 21 wins, 9 draws, and 4 losses. Toluca's attack has scored 68 goals, 67 of them in the league, which gives an average of 2.03 goals per league match and 2 goals per match across the entire season.
José Paulo Bezerra Maciel Júnior is the team’s top scorer with 21 goals, while Ernesto Alexis Vega Rojas leads the team in assists with 10. Defensively, The Red Devils has conceded 29 goals in the league (an average of 0.88) and 30 goals throughout the entire season (an average of 0.88 over 34 matches).
Atlas preview
In 27 Liga MX matches, Atlas has recorded 9 wins, 6 draws, and 12 losses, with an average of 1.22 points per game.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has 9 wins in 28 matches. The team has scored 38 goals, 37 of them in the Liga MX (an average of 1.37 goals per match), with Uroš Đurđević being the team's top scorer with 10 goals and Diego Luis Gonzalez Alcaraz providing 6 assists.
Defensively, The Red-and-Blacks has conceded 50 goals in the league and 51 in the 2025/26 season overall, resulting in an average of 1.82 goals conceded per match.
Head to head: Toluca vs Atlas
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Toluca
Mexico - Liga MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W W W W W |
3 |
| Home | W W W D W |
2.6 |
| Away | W W D D W |
2.2 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 64% | 71% | 56% |
| Goals | 2.91 | 3.53 | 2.25 |
| Scored | 2.03 | 2.47 | 1.56 |
| Conceded | 0.88 | 1.06 | 0.69 |
| Both Teams to Score | 52% | 71% | 31% |
| Without Conceding | 39% | 29% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 6% | 44% |
| 1st to Score | 52% | 65% | 38% |
|
xG
|
1.82 | 1.96 | 1.64 |
|
xGA
|
1.07 | 1.07 | 1.07 |
Atlas
Mexico - Liga MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L W L W L |
1.2 |
| Home | L W W D W |
2 |
| Away | L L W L L |
0.6 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 33% | 50% | 15% |
| Goals | 3.22 | 3.36 | 3.08 |
| Scored | 1.37 | 1.79 | 0.92 |
| Conceded | 1.85 | 1.57 | 2.15 |
| Both Teams to Score | 59% | 64% | 54% |
| Without Conceding | 19% | 29% | 8% |
| Failed To Score | 26% | 14% | 38% |
| 1st to Score | 52% | 50% | 31% |
|
xG
|
1.11 | 1.28 | 0.93 |
|
xGA
|
1.59 | 1.59 | 1.6 |
Access all match stats for Toluca vs Atlas
Where to watch The Red Devils vs The Red-and-Blacks live?
Check out the live stream of Toluca vs Atlas below and follow the match in real time.
Sports betting analyst with over 15 years of experience. At APWin, he writes football predictions, reviews bookmakers and explains the reasoning behind every bet.