The kick off for the match between Toluca and América will take place at 02:00 (UK time) - Sunday, 11/09 - at the Estadio Nemesio Díez. This clash of the 2025/26 Liga MX looks very promising!
Before placing your bets on this match, check out the full analysis including predictions for Toluca vs América. We also highlight the most interesting odds and markets with a high chance of winning. Providing today’s best free tip to help you make informed and profitable betting decisions.
APWin predictions for Toluca vs América
With odds already released by major bookmakers, our experts have crunched the numbers and dissected the key match data. Find our value-packed prediction for this encounter below:
Under 3.5 Goals
After a thorough assessment of the primary betting markets, APWin analysts have identified bets with strong value potential.
Toluca preview
Toluca has played 16 matches in the Liga MX so far, with 10 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses. This results in an average of 2.13 points per match.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 10 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses. Toluca's attack has scored 41 goals, 41 of them in the league, which gives an average of 2.56 goals per league match and 2.56 goals per match across the entire season.
José Paulo Bezerra Maciel Júnior is the team’s top scorer with 11 goals, while Ernesto Alexis Vega Rojas leads the team in assists with 10. Defensively, Toluca has conceded 18 goals in the league (an average of 1.13) and 18 goals throughout the entire season (an average of 1.13 over 16 matches).
América preview
In 16 Liga MX matches, América has recorded 10 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with an average of 2.13 points per game.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has 10 wins in 16 matches. The team has scored 33 goals, 33 of them in the Liga MX (an average of 2.06 goals per match), with Paul Brian Rodríguez Bravo being the team's top scorer with 7 goals and Paul Brian Rodríguez Bravo providing 4 assists.
Defensively, América has conceded 16 goals in the league and 16 in the 2025/26 season overall, resulting in an average of 1 goals conceded per match.
Head to head: Toluca vs América
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Home Team
Toluca
Mexico - Liga MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D D D W W |
2.13 |
| Home | D W W W W |
2.13 |
| Away | D D W W W |
2.13 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 63% | 63% | 63% |
| Goals | 3.69 | 4.63 | 2.75 |
| Scored | 2.56 | 3.13 | 2 |
| Conceded | 1.13 | 1.5 | 0.75 |
| Both Teams to Score | 63% | 88% | 38% |
| Without Conceding | 31% | 13% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 19% | 0% | 38% |
| 1st to Score | 56% | 63% | 50% |
|
xG
|
1.79 | 2.11 | 1.38 |
|
xGA
|
1.21 | 1.28 | 1.11 |
Away Team
América
Mexico - Liga MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W D W L W |
2.13 |
| Home | W W W W L |
2.63 |
| Away | D L W D W |
1.63 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 63% | 88% | 38% |
| Goals | 3.06 | 2.88 | 3.25 |
| Scored | 2.06 | 2.25 | 1.88 |
| Conceded | 1 | 0.63 | 1.38 |
| Both Teams to Score | 69% | 50% | 88% |
| Without Conceding | 31% | 50% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 1st to Score | 56% | 63% | 75% |
|
xG
|
1.84 | 2.21 | 1.46 |
|
xGA
|
1.02 | 0.83 | 1.22 |
Access all match stats for Toluca vs América
Where to watch Toluca vs América live?
Check out the live stream of Toluca vs América below and follow the match in real time.
