The kick off for the match between Tijuana and Toluca will take place at 04:00 (UK time) - Thursday, 10/23 - at the Estadio Caliente. This clash of the 2025/26 Liga MX looks very promising!
Before placing your bets on this match, check out the full analysis including predictions for Tijuana vs Toluca. We also highlight the most interesting odds and markets with a high chance of winning. Providing today’s best free tip to help you make informed and profitable betting decisions.
APWin predictions for Tijuana vs Toluca
With odds already released by major bookmakers, our experts have crunched the numbers and dissected the key match data. Find our value-packed prediction for this encounter below:
Toluca Win
After a thorough assessment of the primary betting markets, APWin analysts have identified bets with strong value potential.
Tijuana preview
Tijuana has played 13 matches in the Liga MX so far, with 5 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses. This results in an average of 1.54 points per match.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 5 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses. Tijuana's attack has scored 26 goals, 26 of them in the league, which gives an average of 2 goals per league match and 2 goals per match across the entire season.
Frank Boya is the team’s top scorer with 6 goals, while Ramiro Árciga Zárate leads the team in assists with 5. Defensively, Tijuana has conceded 17 goals in the league (an average of 1.31) and 17 goals throughout the entire season (an average of 1.31 over 13 matches).
Toluca preview
In 13 Liga MX matches, Toluca has recorded 10 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, with an average of 2.38 points per game.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has 10 wins in 13 matches. The team has scored 39 goals, 39 of them in the Liga MX (an average of 3 goals per match), with José Paulo Bezerra Maciel Júnior being the team's top scorer with 10 goals and Ernesto Alexis Vega Rojas providing 9 assists.
Defensively, Toluca has conceded 16 goals in the league and 16 in the 2025/26 season overall, resulting in an average of 1.23 goals conceded per match.
Head to head: Tijuana vs Toluca
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Tijuana
Mexico - Liga MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L D W L W |
1.54 |
| Home | D W W W D |
2.14 |
| Away | L L D W D |
0.83 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 38% | 57% | 17% |
| Goals | 3.31 | 3.29 | 3.33 |
| Scored | 2 | 2.43 | 1.5 |
| Conceded | 1.31 | 0.86 | 1.83 |
| Both Teams to Score | 54% | 43% | 67% |
| Without Conceding | 38% | 57% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 8% | 0% | 17% |
| 1st to Score | 77% | 100% | 50% |
|
xG
|
1.31 | 1.48 | 1.12 |
|
xGA
|
1.5 | 1.3 | 1.73 |
Toluca
Mexico - Liga MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W W W W W |
2.38 |
| Home | W W W W D |
2.29 |
| Away | W W W L W |
2.5 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 77% | 71% | 83% |
| Goals | 4.23 | 4.71 | 3.67 |
| Scored | 3 | 3.29 | 2.67 |
| Conceded | 1.23 | 1.43 | 1 |
| Both Teams to Score | 69% | 86% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 23% | 14% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 8% | 0% | 17% |
| 1st to Score | 77% | 57% | 67% |
|
xG
|
1.87 | 2.13 | 1.41 |
|
xGA
|
1.25 | 1.22 | 1.3 |
Access all match stats for Tijuana vs Toluca
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Journalist, a football lover and sports betting expert for over 7 years. In addition to being a bet world aficionado, Amauri also practices athletics, and as all good Brazilian, does not refuse a brew.