Tepatitlán and Venados face each other on Saturday 03.21.2026, at 01:00 (UK Time), in a Liga de Expansão MX 2025/26 match. The game will take place at Tepatitlán's home ground, the Estadio Gregorio "Tepa" Gómez.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Tepa and Venados, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Tepatitlán vs Venados
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
2nd Half Over 0.5 Goals
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Tepatitlán preview
Tepatitlán heads into the match with the following record in the Liga de Expansão MX: in 28 matches, Tepa secured 10 victories, 10 draws, and 8 losses, maintaining an average of 1.43 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Alteños's 2025/26 season, the team has achieved a total of 10 victories so far.
Tepatitlán has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 37 goals, of which 37 were scored in the Liga de Expansão MX, resulting in an average of 1.32 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Leonardo Sámano Salgado, who has found the back of the net 7 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Josué Gómez Del Rosal has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 4 assists.
On the defensive side, Tepatitlán has conceded 26 goals in the Liga de Expansão MX (an average of 0.93 per game) and 26 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 0.93 per match in the 2025/26 campaign.
Venados preview
Venados comes into the game with 23 matches played so far in the Liga de Expansão MX. They have secured 7 victories, 5 draws, and 11 losses, maintaining an average of 1.13 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 7 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses.
Venados's attack has been highly effective, scoring 45 goals during this period. Of that total, 45 were netted in the Liga de Expansão MX, with an average of 1.96 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.96.
Venados's offensive system is led by Juan José Calero Sierra, the team's top scorer this season. The colombian forward has found the back of the net 18 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Waldo Madrid. The forward has contributed with 7 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 48 goals with an average of 2.09 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 48 goals in 23 matches, averaging 2.09 per match.
Head to head: Tepatitlán vs Venados
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Tepatitlán
Mexico - Ascenso MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L W L W D |
1.43 |
| Home | W W W W D |
1.71 |
| Away | L L D D W |
1.14 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 36% | 50% | 21% |
| Goals | 2.25 | 2.36 | 2.14 |
| Scored | 1.32 | 1.5 | 1.14 |
| Conceded | 0.93 | 0.86 | 1 |
| Both Teams to Score | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 32% | 36% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 32% | 21% | 43% |
| 1st to Score | 39% | 43% | 36% |
|
xG
|
1.64 | 1.74 | 1.54 |
|
xGA
|
1.32 | 1.21 | 1.43 |
Venados
Mexico - Ascenso MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L L L W D |
1.13 |
| Home | L W D D W |
1.67 |
| Away | L L L L L |
0.55 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 42% | 18% |
| Goals | 4.04 | 4.33 | 3.73 |
| Scored | 1.96 | 2.5 | 1.36 |
| Conceded | 2.09 | 1.83 | 2.36 |
| Both Teams to Score | 61% | 75% | 45% |
| Without Conceding | 9% | 17% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 8% | 55% |
| 1st to Score | 39% | 67% | 27% |
|
xG
|
1.47 | 1.68 | 1.25 |
|
xGA
|
1.67 | 1.55 | 1.79 |
Access all match stats for Tepatitlán vs Venados
Where to watch Tepatitlán vs Venados live?
Check out the live stream of Tepatitlán vs Venados below and follow the match in real time.
I am a journalist with ten years of experience in sports content, SEO, and digital marketing, focused on building and optimizing products for the iGaming industry. My background includes work as a sports TV reporter, producing news stories, writing for major digital portals, and delivering live broadcasts, as well as strategic roles in SEO, growth, and community management across WhatsApp and social media platforms. Throughout my career, I have combined editorial expertise, data-driven analysis, and performance-oriented strategies to drive audience growth and engagement.