Sporting and Tondela face each other on Wednesday 04.29.2026, at 20:15 (UK Time), in a Liga Portugal 2025/26 match. The game will take place at Sporting's home ground, the Estádio José Alvalade.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Sporting Clube de Portugal and Clube Desportivo de Tondela, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Sporting vs Tondela
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
1st Half Under 2.5 Goals
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Sporting preview
Sporting heads into the match with the following record in the Liga Portugal: in 30 matches, Sporting Clube de Portugal secured 22 victories, 6 draws, and 2 losses, maintaining an average of 2.4 points per game.
Taking a broader look at The Lions's 2025/26 season, the team has achieved a total of 33 victories so far.
Sporting has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 110 goals, of which 75 were scored in the Liga Portugal, resulting in an average of 2.5 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Luis Suárez, who has found the back of the net 24 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Francisco Trincão has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 11 assists.
On the defensive side, Sporting has conceded 20 goals in the Liga Portugal (an average of 0.67 per game) and 42 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 0.86 per match in the 2025/26 campaign.
Tondela preview
Tondela comes into the game with 30 matches played so far in the Liga Portugal. They have secured 4 victories, 9 draws, and 17 losses, maintaining an average of 0.7 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 5 wins, 10 draws, and 17 losses.
Clube Desportivo de Tondela's attack has been highly effective, scoring 26 goals during this period. Of that total, 21 were netted in the Liga Portugal, with an average of 0.7 goals per game. The overall season average is 0.81.
The Gold-and-Greens's offensive system is led by Pedro Henryque Pereira dos Santos, the team's top scorer this season. The brazilian midfielder has found the back of the net 6 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Emmanuel Maviram. The defender has contributed with 2 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 50 goals with an average of 1.67 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 51 goals in 32 matches, averaging 1.59 per match.
Head to head: Sporting vs Tondela
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Sporting
Portugal - Liga Bwin
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D D L D W |
1.2 |
| Home | L L W W W |
1.8 |
| Away | D D D W W |
1.8 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 73% | 79% | 69% |
| Goals | 3.17 | 3.5 | 2.88 |
| Scored | 2.5 | 2.93 | 2.13 |
| Conceded | 0.67 | 0.57 | 0.75 |
| Both Teams to Score | 53% | 36% | 69% |
| Without Conceding | 47% | 64% | 31% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 1st to Score | 77% | 79% | 75% |
|
xG
|
2.03 | 2.24 | 1.85 |
|
xGA
|
0.98 | 0.87 | 1.08 |
Tondela
Portugal - Liga Bwin
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L L D L D |
0.4 |
| Home | L D D L D |
0.6 |
| Away | L L W D L |
0.8 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 13% | 6% | 21% |
| Goals | 2.37 | 2 | 2.79 |
| Scored | 0.7 | 0.69 | 0.71 |
| Conceded | 1.67 | 1.31 | 2.07 |
| Both Teams to Score | 33% | 38% | 29% |
| Without Conceding | 17% | 19% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 60% | 63% | 57% |
| 1st to Score | 77% | 19% | 43% |
|
xG
|
1.17 | 1.3 | 1.03 |
|
xGA
|
1.58 | 1.64 | 1.51 |
Access all match stats for Sporting vs Tondela
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Sports betting analyst with over 15 years of experience. At APWin, he writes football predictions, reviews bookmakers and explains the reasoning behind every bet.