A crucial Group I showdown takes place at Toronto Stadium as Senegal faces Iraq in a match that could decide their World Cup fate. With France and Norway already confirmed as the group’s top two qualifiers, both Senegal and Iraq are left competing for third place and a possible lifeline into the Round of 32.
The new tournament structure keeps both teams in contention, but only a convincing victory will strengthen their chances of advancing as one of the best third-placed sides. That leaves this clash finely balanced, with Senegal and Iraq forced into an all-or-nothing battle to extend their 2026 campaign.
Read through our Senegal vs Iraq prediction before committing to a bet.
Senegal vs Iraq prediction for the 2026 World Cup
Our pre-match breakdown shows just how tricky it can be to dig out value in a World Cup tie of this calibre. You will find our top Senegal vs Iraq prediction below:
Under 2.5 Goals
Who are the favourites?
Based on the leading UK-licensed bookmakers, Senegal is tipped to come out on top, with 67% of the odds leaning towards their win.
Looking for more? Browse all the World Cup odds and dig into this and other ties from the planet's biggest football tournament.
Senegal vs Iraq: head-to-head
Senegal and Iraq share no recent head-to-head record, so this is effectively their first meeting in years.
Senegal at the 2026 World Cup
Senegal arrive having already played 1 match(es) at the 2026 World Cup. Here is the record for Seleção do Senegal:
At the World Cup:
0 win(s), 0 draw(s) and 1 loss(es)
0 point(s) per game on average
1 goals scored at the World Cup (1 per game)
3 goals conceded at the World Cup (3 per game)
Seleção do Senegal in 2026
9 win(s), 4 draw(s) and 3 loss(es) in all competitions
Leading scorer: Pape Matar Sarr with 5 goal(s)
Most assists: Habib Diallo with 3
Iraq at the 2026 World Cup
Iraq go into this tie with 1 match(es) already behind them at the 2026 World Cup.
Here is what Iraq National Team have managed so far:
At the World Cup
0 win(s), 0 draw(s) and 1 loss(es)
0 point(s) per game on average
1 goals scored at the World Cup (1 per game)
4 goals conceded at the World Cup (4 per game)
Iraq National Team in 2026
14 win(s), 6 draw(s) and 6 loss(es) in all competitions
Leading scorer: Aymen Hussein with 8 goal(s)
Most assists: Amir Al-Ammari with 4
Senegal vs Iraq statistics at the 2026 FIFA World Cup
Before you stake anything, look over the side-by-side comparison that sheds light on each nation's current form for this World Cup tie:
Senegal
International - World Cup
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L L D L W |
0.8 |
| Home | W W W W D |
2.6 |
| Away | L L D L W |
0.8 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 4.5 | 0 | 4.5 |
| Scored | 1.5 | 0 | 1.5 |
| Conceded | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% | 0% | 100% |
| Without Conceding | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 1st to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
0.72 | 0 | 1.22 |
|
xGA
|
1.02 | 0 | 1.52 |
Iraq
International - World Cup
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L L L D W |
0.8 |
| Home | L L W W W |
1.8 |
| Away | L D W D D |
1.2 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| Scored | 0.5 | 1 | 0 |
| Conceded | 3.5 | 4 | 3 |
| Both Teams to Score | 50% | 100% | 0% |
| Without Conceding | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 50% | 0% | 100% |
| 1st to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
0.72 | 0.96 | 0.48 |
|
xGA
|
1.83 | 1.39 | 2.26 |
Senegal vs Iraq probable lineups
See the likely starting elevens below for our Senegal vs Iraq prediction at the 2026 World Cup.
Senegal Predicted XI: Édouard Mendy, Formose Mendy, Kalidou Koulibaly, Abdou Diallo, Ismail Jakobs, Lamine Camara, Idrissa Gueye, Pape Matar Sarr, Ismaïla Sarr, Nicolas Jackson, Sadio Mané.
Iraq Predicted XI: Jalal Hassan, Hussein Ali, Rebin Sulaka, Saad Natiq, Merchas Doski, Osama Rashid, Amir Al-Ammari, Ibrahim Bayesh, Zidane Iqbal, Ali Jasim, Aymen Hussein.
The confirmed lineups will be available close to the kickoff time.
How to watch Senegal vs Iraq live in the UK
Find out below where you can catch Senegal vs Iraq live during the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
Just remember, kick-off is at 20:00 UK time.
For the full schedule, check our our World Cup live streaming page.
More betting tips for this match
Alongside the main tip given at the top of this article, here are some other strong bets for Senegal vs Iraq:
Further 2026 World Cup predictions
Browse all of our 2026 FIFA World Cup predictions and keep up with the sharpest analysis from start to finish of the tournament.
Match details: Senegal vs Iraq
🆚 Fixture Senegal vs Iraq
🏆 Tournament 2026 FIFA World Cup
📅 Date Friday, 26/06/2026
🕐 Kick-off 20:00 UK time
🏟️ Venue BMO Field, 170 Princes’ Boulevard
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Sports betting analyst with over ten years of experience in football analysis, match statistics and betting markets.