São Paulo vs Ceará | Prediction | Brazil Serie A | 30/09
Brazil - Brazil Serie A
São Paulo and Ceará face each other on Tuesday 09.30.2025, at 00:00 (UK Time), in a Brazil Serie A 2025 match. The game will take place at São Paulo's home ground, the MorumBIS.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between São Paulo and Ceará, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for São Paulo vs Ceará
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
São Paulo Win
Market: São Paulo Win · @ 1.55
Last updated: 24-09-2025
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Our prediction is: Ceará win or draw
Our top tip for this match is to bet Ceará to win or draw on the Double Chance market.
While it is tough to go away from home and pick up a positive result like a win or a draw, we have seen through recent form and season statistics that Ceará has what it takes to accomplish that task. And the fact that Ceará only needs to avoid defeat makes it a more achievable result.
Our prediction is: Over 2.5 goals in the match
Expect a good number of goals in this match.
We predict the total to reach over 2.5 goals after closely examining the numbers of São Paulo and Ceará, who are among the better attacking sides in the league.
São Paulo preview
São Paulo heads into the match with the following record in the Brazil Serie A: in 24 matches, São Paulo secured 9 victories, 8 draws, and 7 losses, maintaining an average of 1.46 points per game.
Taking a broader look at São Paulo's 2025 season, the team has achieved a total of 21 victories so far.
São Paulo has been effective in the offense, scoring a total of 61 goals, of which 27 were scored in the Brazil Serie A, resulting in an average of 1.13 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is André Oliveira Silva, who has found the back of the net 5 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offense. Oscar dos Santos Emboaba Júnior has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 4 assists.
On the defensive side, São Paulo has conceded 24 goals in the Brazil Serie A (an average of 1 per game) and 48 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 0.96 per match in the 2025 campaign.
- 24/10/2026MirassolSão PauloD1124/10/2026Serie AMirassol
v.s
São Paulo1 - 1D - 18/10/2026São PauloVascoW1018/10/2026Serie ASão Paulo
v.s
Vasco1 - 0W - 11/10/2026São PauloVitóriaW2111/10/2026Serie ASão Paulo
v.s
Vitória2 - 1W - 08/10/2026CruzeiroSão PauloL2008/10/2026Serie ACruzeiro
v.s
São Paulo2 - 0L - 02/10/2026São PauloSantosL1202/10/2026Serie ASão Paulo
v.s
Santos1 - 2L
Ceará preview
Ceará comes into the game with 23 matches played so far in the Brazil Serie A. They have secured 7 victories, 7 draws, and 9 losses, maintaining an average of 1.22 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2025 season, the team has recorded 20 wins, 11 draws, and 14 losses.
Ceará's attack has been highly effective, scoring 56 goals during this period. Of that total, 22 were netted in the Brazil Serie A, with an average of 0.96 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.24.
Ceará's offensive system is led by Pedro Raul Garay da Silva, the team's top scorer this season. The brazilian forward has found the back of the net 7 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Lucas Andrés Mugni. The midfielder has contributed with 5 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 23 goals with an average of 1 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 40 goals in 45 matches, averaging 0.89 per match.
- 17/10/2026CearáJuventudeD2217/10/2026Serie BCeará
v.s
Juventude2 - 2D - 13/10/2026Botafogo-SPCearáL1013/10/2026Serie BBotafogo-SP
v.s
Ceará1 - 0L - 08/10/2026CearáCriciúmaW1008/10/2026Serie BCeará
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Criciúma1 - 0W - 03/10/2026AvaíCearáW0103/10/2026Serie BAvaí
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Ceará0 - 1W - 26/09/2026OperárioCearáD2226/09/2026Serie BOperário
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Ceará2 - 2D
Head to head: São Paulo vs Ceará
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
São Paulo
Home
Ceará
Away
Points & Results
- PPG1.461.22
- 38%Wins30%
- 46%First to Score48%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game1.130.96
- Conceded/game11
- xG1.331.27
- xGA1.331.37
Trends
- 46%Both Score43%
- 33%Clean Sheet30%
- 33%Failed to Score35%
Access all match stats for São Paulo vs Ceará
Where to watch São Paulo vs Ceará live?
Check out the live stream of São Paulo vs Ceará below and follow the match in real time.

Gustavo Porto
Sporting betting analyst
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Articles
Sports betting analyst with over ten years of experience in football analysis, match statistics and betting markets.