São Bernardo vs Comercial-SP | Prediction | Copa Paulista | 05/09
Brazil - Copa Paulista
The kick off for the match between São Bernardo and Comercial-SP will take place at 19:00 (UK time) - Saturday, 09/05 - at the Estádio Municipal Primeiro de Maio. This clash of the 2026 Copa Paulista looks very promising!
Before placing your bets on this match, check out the full analysis, including predictions for Esporte Clube São Bernardo vs Comercial Futebol Clube (Ribeirão Preto). We also highlight the most interesting odds and markets with a high chance of winning. Providing today’s best free tip to help you make informed and profitable betting decisions.
APWin predictions for São Bernardo vs Comercial-SP
With odds already released by major bookmakers, our experts have crunched the numbers and dissected the key match data. Find our value-packed prediction for this encounter below:
Double Chance: São Bernardo or Draw
Market: Double Chance: São Bernardo or Draw · @ 3.69
Confidence
76%
Last updated: 05-09-2026
After a thorough assessment of the primary betting markets, APWin analysts have identified bets with strong value potential.
Our prediction is: São Bernardo win or draw
The home team is usually a safe bet in the Double Chance market, and that is no different in the upcoming match. Our top tip is to bet a São Bernardo win or draw against Comercial-SP.
Our analysis of São Bernardo points to them being the superior side, which is why they have a strong chance to win the match outright. And with the added benefit of needing only a draw at home against Comercial-SP, their chances of cashing in the 1X Double Chance bet grow even stronger.
Our prediction is: Over 2.5 goals in the match
We strongly suggest taking the total to go over 2.5 goals in this matchup between São Bernardo and Comercial-SP.
With the high quality of attacking talent on display coupled with the questionable defence of both teams, this bet has a great chance of hitting.
São Bernardo Preview
São Bernardo has played 7 matches in the Copa Paulista so far, with 3 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses. This results in an average of 1.29 points per match.
In the 2026 season, the team has recorded 10 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses. São Bernardo's attack has scored 36 goals, 12 of them in the league, which gives an average of 1.71 goals per league match and 1.5 goals per match across the entire season.
is the team’s top scorer with 0 goals, while leads the team in assists with 0. Defensively, Tiger of the ABC has conceded 10 goals in the league (an average of 1.43) and 27 goals throughout the entire season (an average of 1.13 over 24 matches).
- 05/09/2026São BernardoComercial-SPW2005/09/2026Copa PaulistaSão Bernardo
v.s
Comercial-SP2 - 0W - 31/08/2026Comercial-SPSão BernardoL2031/08/2026Copa PaulistaComercial-SP
v.s
São Bernardo2 - 0L - 22/08/2026Santo AndréSão BernardoL1022/08/2026Copa PaulistaSanto André
v.s
São Bernardo1 - 0L - 15/08/2026São BernardoSão José-SPL2315/08/2026Copa PaulistaSão Bernardo
v.s
São José-SP2 - 3L - 09/08/2026São BernardoSão CaetanoW2009/08/2026Copa PaulistaSão Bernardo
v.s
São Caetano2 - 0W
Comercial-SP preview
In 7 Copa Paulista matches, Comercial-SP has recorded 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, with an average of 1.43 points per game.
In the 2026 season, the team has 9 wins in 22 matches. The team has scored 27 goals, 10 of them in the Copa Paulista (an average of 1.43 goals per match), with being the team's top scorer with 0 goals and providing 0 assists.
Defensively, Lion of the North has conceded 7 goals in the league and 23 in the 2026 season overall, resulting in an average of 1.05 goals conceded per match.
- 19/09/2026São José-SPComercial-SPL3019/09/2026Copa PaulistaSão José-SP
v.s
Comercial-SP3 - 0L - 13/09/2026Comercial-SPSão José-SPD0013/09/2026Copa PaulistaComercial-SP
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São José-SP0 - 0D - 05/09/2026São BernardoComercial-SPL2005/09/2026Copa PaulistaSão Bernardo
v.s
Comercial-SP2 - 0L - 31/08/2026Comercial-SPSão BernardoW2031/08/2026Copa PaulistaComercial-SP
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São Bernardo2 - 0W - 22/08/2026NoroesteComercial-SPL4322/08/2026Copa PaulistaNoroeste
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Comercial-SP4 - 3L
Head to head: São Bernardo vs Comercial-SP
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
São Bernardo
Home
Comercial-SP
Away
Points & Results
- PPG1.291.43
- 43%Wins43%
- 43%First to Score57%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game1.711.43
- Conceded/game1.431
- xG1.371.30
- xGA1.051.63
Trends
- 57%Both Score29%
- 14%Clean Sheet43%
- 29%Failed to Score29%
Access all match stats for São Bernardo vs Comercial-SP
Where to watch Tiger of the ABC vs Lion of the North live?
Check out the live stream of São Bernardo vs Comercial-SP below and follow the match in real time.
Watch this match
São Bernardo vs Comercial-SP

Gustavo Porto
Sporting betting analyst
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Articles
Sports betting analyst with over ten years of experience in football analysis, match statistics and betting markets.