San Lorenzo and Independiente face each other on Saturday 05.02.2026, at 22:45 (UK Time), in a Primera División 2026 match. The game will take place at San Lorenzo's home ground, the Estadio Pedro Bidegain (El Nuevo Gasómetro).
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Club Atlético San Lorenzo de Almagro and Club Atlético Independiente, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for San Lorenzo vs Independiente
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
Under 2.5 Goals
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
San Lorenzo preview
San Lorenzo heads into the match with the following record in the Primera División: in 15 matches, Club Atlético San Lorenzo de Almagro secured 5 victories, 7 draws, and 3 losses, maintaining an average of 1.47 points per game.
Taking a broader look at The Cyclone's 2026 season, the team has achieved a total of 7 victories so far.
San Lorenzo has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 22 goals, of which 13 were scored in the Primera División, resulting in an average of 0.87 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Alexis Ricardo Cuello, who has found the back of the net 4 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Alexis Ricardo Cuello has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 3 assists.
On the defensive side, San Lorenzo has conceded 12 goals in the Primera División (an average of 0.8 per game) and 14 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 0.74 per match in the 2026 campaign.
Independiente preview
Independiente comes into the game with 15 matches played so far in the Primera División. They have secured 5 victories, 6 draws, and 4 losses, maintaining an average of 1.4 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2026 season, the team has recorded 6 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses.
Club Atlético Independiente's attack has been highly effective, scoring 26 goals during this period. Of that total, 22 were netted in the Primera División, with an average of 1.47 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.63.
The Red Devils's offensive system is led by Gabriel Ávalos, the team's top scorer this season. The paraguayan forward has found the back of the net 9 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Gabriel Ávalos. The forward has contributed with 5 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 19 goals with an average of 1.27 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 21 goals in 16 matches, averaging 1.31 per match.
Head to head: San Lorenzo vs Independiente
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
San Lorenzo
Argentina - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D W D W D |
1.8 |
| Home | D D W W W |
2.2 |
| Away | W D D D D |
1.4 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 33% | 43% | 25% |
| Goals | 1.67 | 2.57 | 0.88 |
| Scored | 0.87 | 1.29 | 0.5 |
| Conceded | 0.8 | 1.29 | 0.38 |
| Both Teams to Score | 33% | 43% | 25% |
| Without Conceding | 60% | 57% | 63% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 14% | 50% |
| 1st to Score | 33% | 43% | 25% |
|
xG
|
1.18 | 1.49 | 0.91 |
|
xGA
|
1.49 | 1.39 | 1.59 |
Independiente
Argentina - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L W D W W |
2 |
| Home | W W W L D |
2 |
| Away | L D L D L |
0.4 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 33% | 50% | 14% |
| Goals | 2.73 | 3 | 2.43 |
| Scored | 1.47 | 1.88 | 1 |
| Conceded | 1.27 | 1.13 | 1.43 |
| Both Teams to Score | 67% | 63% | 71% |
| Without Conceding | 27% | 38% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 7% | 0% | 14% |
| 1st to Score | 33% | 63% | 57% |
|
xG
|
1.5 | 1.64 | 1.34 |
|
xGA
|
1.15 | 0.98 | 1.34 |
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