Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano prediction
Spain - La Liga
Under 4.5 Goals
Market: Under 4.5 Goals · @ 1.20
Confidence
78%
Last updated: 05-11-2026
Real Sociedad Form and Insights
Real Sociedad hosts Rayo Vallecano at the Reale Arena (Anoeta) for this La Liga fixture. The match will kick off at 15:15 (UK Time) on 08/11/2026.
Their performance in the La Liga so far:
- Wins: 6
- Draws: 1
- Losses: 4
Offensive and defensive statistics:
- Goals scored: 20
- Average goals per match: 1.82
- Goals conceded: 20
- Average goals conceded per match: 1.82
- 05/11/2026Real SociedadLyonD1105/11/2026UEFA Europa LeagueReal Sociedad
v.s
Lyon1 - 1D - 01/11/2026AthleticReal SociedadL2101/11/2026La LigaAthletic
v.s
Real Sociedad2 - 1L - 25/10/2026Real SociedadLevanteW2125/10/2026La LigaReal Sociedad
v.s
Levante2 - 1W - 22/10/2026LillestromReal SociedadW0622/10/2026UEFA Europa LeagueLillestrom
v.s
Real Sociedad0 - 6W - 18/10/2026MálagaReal SociedadW2518/10/2026La LigaMálaga
v.s
Real Sociedad2 - 5W
Rayo Vallecano Form and Insights
Rayo Vallecano has played 10 matches in the La Liga so far this season. Here's how the team comes into their match with Real Sociedad:
- Wins: 3
- Draws: 3
- Losses: 4
Goals scored and conceded:
- Goals scored: 15
- Average goals per match: 1.5
- Goals conceded: 20
- Average goals conceded per match: 2
- 31/10/2026Rayo VallecanoCelta de VigoW3031/10/2026La LigaRayo Vallecano
v.s
Celta de Vigo3 - 0W - 27/10/2026Recreativo de HuelvaRayo VallecanoW2327/10/2026Copa del ReyRecreativo de Huelva
v.s
Rayo Vallecano2 - 3W - 24/10/2026Rayo VallecanoElche CFL0324/10/2026La LigaRayo Vallecano
v.s
Elche CF0 - 3L - 19/10/2026GetafeRayo VallecanoD1119/10/2026La LigaGetafe
v.s
Rayo Vallecano1 - 1D - 19/09/2026OsasunaRayo VallecanoD1119/09/2026La LigaOsasuna
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Rayo Vallecano1 - 1D
Head-to-Head Statistics
Real Sociedad and Rayo Vallecano have met 27 times across all competitions.
- Real Sociedad wins: 10
- Rayo Vallecano wins: 7
- Draws: 10
Real Sociedad
Home
Rayo Vallecano
Away
Points & Results
- PPG1.731.20
- 55%Wins30%
- 55%First to Score60%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game1.821.50
- Conceded/game1.822
- xG1.581.60
- xGA1.721.67
Trends
- 73%Both Score80%
- 9%Clean Sheet10%
- 27%Failed to Score10%
Access all match stats for Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano The last match was played on 26/04/2026 in the La Liga and ended in a 3–3 draw. In the table below, you can find the head-to-head results of the last few meetings.
- 26/04/2026Rayo VallecanoReal SociedadD3326/04/2026La LigaRayo Vallecano
v.s
Real Sociedad3 - 3D - 05/10/2025Real SociedadRayo VallecanoL0105/10/2025La LigaReal Sociedad
v.s
Rayo Vallecano0 - 1L - 16/03/2025Rayo VallecanoReal SociedadD2216/03/2025La LigaRayo Vallecano
v.s
Real Sociedad2 - 2D - 16/01/2025Real SociedadRayo VallecanoW3116/01/2025Copa del ReyReal Sociedad
v.s
Rayo Vallecano3 - 1W - 18/08/2024Real SociedadRayo VallecanoL1218/08/2024La LigaReal Sociedad
v.s
Rayo Vallecano1 - 2L - 27/01/2024Real SociedadRayo VallecanoD0027/01/2024La LigaReal Sociedad
v.s
Rayo Vallecano0 - 0D
Players to Watch
The players most likely to decide the goal-scoring and player-prop markets in this match:
Real Sociedad Top Players
- Mikel Oyarzabal has scored 15 goals so far this season.
- Sergio Gómez has given 6 assists this season.
Rayo Vallecano Top Players
- Jorge De Frutos has scored 10 goals so far this season.
- Álvaro García has given 5 assists this season.
Betting Insights for Cards and Corners
If you prefer betting on over/under markets for corners and cards, you can use the section below to find the statistics for this Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano match.
Real Sociedad Cards and Corners
- Average cards per match: 2.45
- Average cards when playing at home: 2
- Average corners per match: 11.37
- Average corners when playing at home: 11.6
Rayo Vallecano Cards and Corners
- Average cards per match: 2.9
- Average cards when playing away: 2.2
- Average corners per match: 10.9
- Average corners when playing away: 11.4
Match Details
- Match date: 08/11/2026
- Kick-off time: 15:15
- Competition: La Liga
- Game week: 12
- Stadium: Reale Arena (Anoeta)
How APWin Makes Its Predictions
Our football predictions are written using a structured analysis of factors that impact match outcomes. We combine long-term performance with the latest team news and real-time market signals to write our predictions.
Here's what we take into account:
- Historical match data
- Home and away performance trends
- Recent form, squad news, and team dynamics
- Betting market odds and line movement analysis
Under 4.5 Goals
Market: Under 4.5 Goals · @ 1.20
Confidence
78%
Last updated: 05-11-2026
Likely Scores
| # | Score | Probability | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 - 1 | 12.32% | |
| 2 | 2 - 1 | 8.84% | |
| 3 | 1 - 2 | 7.91% | |
| 4 | 1 - 0 | 6.81% | |
| 5 | 2 - 0 | 6.26% | |
| 6 | 2 - 2 | 6.24% | |
| 7 | 0 - 0 | 6.14% | |
| 8 | 0 - 1 | 5.98% | |
| 9 | 0 - 2 | 5.01% | |
| 10 | 3 - 1 | 4.65% | |
| 11 | 1 - 3 | 3.73% | |
| 12 | 3 - 0 | 3.29% |

Amauri Barbosa
Content Manager
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Articles
Sports betting analyst with over 15 years of experience. At APWin, he writes football predictions, reviews bookmakers and explains the reasoning behind every bet.