Real Madrid vs Villarreal prediction

Spain - La Liga

1 - 0

10 Oct 2026 15:00

Real Madrid Win

Market: Real Madrid Win · @ 1.43

1.43

Confidence

56%

Last updated: 11-10-2026

Real Madrid Form and Insights

Real Madrid hosts Villarreal at the Estadio Santiago Bernabéu for this La Liga fixture. The match will kick off at 20:00 (UK Time) on 10/10/2026.

Their performance in the La Liga so far:

  • 5 Wins

  • 0 Draws

  • 2 Losses

Offensive and defensive statistics:

  • 18 goals scored

  • 2.57 average goals per match

  • 8 goals conceded

  • 1.14 average goals conceded per match

The Yellow Submarine Form and Insights

Villarreal has played 7 matches in the La Liga so far this season.

Here’s how the team comes into their match with Real Madrid:

  • 2 Wins

  • 2 Draws

  • 3 Losses

Goals scored and conceded:

  • 13 goals scored

  • 1.86 average goals per match

  • 12 goals conceded

  • 1.71 average goals conceded per match

Villarreal will have a sizeable following at the Bernabéu, having sold out their allocation of 850 away tickets after consecutive league wins over Málaga and Levante. Some travelling supporters may remember celebrating Samuel Chukwueze’s double in the 3-2 victory here in April 2023.

Repeating that result is a considerable ask, but the visitors arrive with renewed confidence and a crowd ready to make themselves heard if Madrid give them an opening.

Head-to-Head Statistics

We have seen the match between Real Madrid and Villarreal on the match calendar 35 times across all competitions in the last couple of years.

  • Real Madrid Club de Fútbol win - 44

  • Villarreal win - 25

  • Draw - 11

Real Madrid

Home

LWWWL
VS

Villarreal

Away

WWLLL

Points & Results

  • 2.14
    PPG
    1.14
  • 71%
    Wins
    29%
  • 71%
    First to Score
    43%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 2.57
    Scored/game
    1.86
  • 1.14
    Conceded/game
    1.71
  • 2.15
    xG
    1.99
  • 1.43
    xGA
    1.35

Trends

  • 71%
    Both Score
    86%
  • 14%
    Clean Sheet
    0%
  • 14%
    Failed to Score
    14%

Access all match stats for Real Madrid vs Villarreal

The last match was played on 24/01/2026 in the La Liga, and Real Madrid won the match. The match ended in 0–2.

In the table below, you can find the head-to-head results of the last few meetings.

[match-teams-h2h-widget home_id=84 away_id=76 date_unix=1791658800 title="Head-to-Head Results" title_tag="div" league_id=8]

Players to Watch

APWin’s team of experts has compiled a list of insights to help you place informed bets on player props and goal-scoring markets.

The Whites Top Players

  • Kylian Mbappé has scored 25 goals so far this season.

  • Arda Guler has given 9 assists this season.

The Yellow Submarine Top Players

  • Georges Mikautadze has scored 12 goals so far this season.

  • Nicolas Pépé has given 6 assists this season.

Betting Insights for Cards and Corners

If you prefer betting on over/under markets for corners and cards, you can use the section below to find the statistics for this Real Madrid vs Villarreal match.

Real Madrid Cards and Corners

  • 2 average cards per match

  • 1 average cards when playing at home

  • 11 average corners per match

  • 14 average corners when playing at home

Villarreal Cards and Corners

  • 1.86 average cards per match

  • 2.25 average cards when playing away

  • 11 average corners per match

  • 12.5 average corners when playing away

Match Details

  • Match date: 10/10/2026

  • Kick-off time: 20:00

  • Competition: La Liga

  • Game week: 8

  • Stadium: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

How APWin Makes Its Predictions

Our football predictions are written using a structured analysis of factors that impact match outcomes. We combine long-term performance with the latest team news and real-time market signals to write our predictions.

Here's what we take into account:

  • Historical match data

  • Home and away performance trends

  • Recent form, squad news, and team dynamics

  • Betting market odds and line movement analysis

Real Madrid Win

Market: Real Madrid Win · @ 1.43

1.43

Confidence

56%

Last updated: 11-10-2026

Likely Scores

#ScoreProbability%
11 - 1
10.42%
22 - 1
9.03%
31 - 2
7.11%
42 - 2
6.78%
52 - 0
6.02%
63 - 1
5.75%
71 - 0
5.36%
83 - 2
4.31%
90 - 0
4.25%
100 - 1
4.02%
113 - 0
3.83%
120 - 2
3.73%
Published: 8 Oct 2026
Updated: 9 Oct 2026
Amauri Barbosa

Amauri Barbosa

Content Manager

204

Articles

Sports betting analyst with over 15 years of experience. At APWin, he writes football predictions, reviews bookmakers and explains the reasoning behind every bet.