Real Madrid vs Villarreal prediction
Spain - La Liga
Real Madrid Win
Market: Real Madrid Win · @ 1.43
Confidence
56%
Last updated: 11-10-2026
Real Madrid Form and Insights
Real Madrid hosts Villarreal at the Estadio Santiago Bernabéu for this La Liga fixture. The match will kick off at 20:00 (UK Time) on 10/10/2026.
Their performance in the La Liga so far:
5 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
Offensive and defensive statistics:
18 goals scored
2.57 average goals per match
8 goals conceded
1.14 average goals conceded per match
- 21/10/2026Real MadridRB LeipzigW4121/10/2026UEFA Champions LeagueReal Madrid
v.s
RB Leipzig4 - 1W - 18/10/2026Real MadridSevillaW4118/10/2026La LigaReal Madrid
v.s
Sevilla4 - 1W - 14/10/2026RomaReal MadridW3414/10/2026UEFA Champions LeagueRoma
v.s
Real Madrid3 - 4W - 10/10/2026Real MadridVillarrealW1010/10/2026La LigaReal Madrid
v.s
Villarreal1 - 0W - 20/09/2026Atlético MadridReal MadridL2120/09/2026La LigaAtlético Madrid
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Real Madrid2 - 1L
The Yellow Submarine Form and Insights
Villarreal has played 7 matches in the La Liga so far this season.
Here’s how the team comes into their match with Real Madrid:
2 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
Goals scored and conceded:
13 goals scored
1.86 average goals per match
12 goals conceded
1.71 average goals conceded per match
- 20/10/2026LiverpoolVillarrealL4320/10/2026UEFA Champions LeagueLiverpool
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Villarreal4 - 3L - 17/10/2026VillarrealElche CFD0017/10/2026La LigaVillarreal
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Elche CF0 - 0D - 13/10/2026VillarrealNapoliW3113/10/2026UEFA Champions LeagueVillarreal
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Napoli3 - 1W - 10/10/2026Real MadridVillarrealL1010/10/2026La LigaReal Madrid
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Villarreal1 - 0L - 20/09/2026VillarrealLevanteW3120/09/2026La LigaVillarreal
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Levante3 - 1W
Villarreal will have a sizeable following at the Bernabéu, having sold out their allocation of 850 away tickets after consecutive league wins over Málaga and Levante. Some travelling supporters may remember celebrating Samuel Chukwueze’s double in the 3-2 victory here in April 2023.
Repeating that result is a considerable ask, but the visitors arrive with renewed confidence and a crowd ready to make themselves heard if Madrid give them an opening.
Head-to-Head Statistics
We have seen the match between Real Madrid and Villarreal on the match calendar 35 times across all competitions in the last couple of years.
Real Madrid Club de Fútbol win - 44
Villarreal win - 25
Draw - 11
Real Madrid
Home
Villarreal
Away
Points & Results
- PPG2.141.14
- 71%Wins29%
- 71%First to Score43%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game2.571.86
- Conceded/game1.141.71
- xG2.151.99
- xGA1.431.35
Trends
- 71%Both Score86%
- 14%Clean Sheet0%
- 14%Failed to Score14%
Access all match stats for Real Madrid vs Villarreal
The last match was played on 24/01/2026 in the La Liga, and Real Madrid won the match. The match ended in 0–2.
In the table below, you can find the head-to-head results of the last few meetings.
[match-teams-h2h-widget home_id=84 away_id=76 date_unix=1791658800 title="Head-to-Head Results" title_tag="div" league_id=8]
Players to Watch
APWin’s team of experts has compiled a list of insights to help you place informed bets on player props and goal-scoring markets.
The Whites Top Players
Kylian Mbappé has scored 25 goals so far this season.
Arda Guler has given 9 assists this season.
The Yellow Submarine Top Players
Georges Mikautadze has scored 12 goals so far this season.
Nicolas Pépé has given 6 assists this season.
Betting Insights for Cards and Corners
If you prefer betting on over/under markets for corners and cards, you can use the section below to find the statistics for this Real Madrid vs Villarreal match.
Real Madrid Cards and Corners
2 average cards per match
1 average cards when playing at home
11 average corners per match
14 average corners when playing at home
Villarreal Cards and Corners
1.86 average cards per match
2.25 average cards when playing away
11 average corners per match
12.5 average corners when playing away
Match Details
Match date: 10/10/2026
Kick-off time: 20:00
Competition: La Liga
Game week: 8
Stadium: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
How APWin Makes Its Predictions
Our football predictions are written using a structured analysis of factors that impact match outcomes. We combine long-term performance with the latest team news and real-time market signals to write our predictions.
Here's what we take into account:
Historical match data
Home and away performance trends
Recent form, squad news, and team dynamics
Betting market odds and line movement analysis
Real Madrid Win
Market: Real Madrid Win · @ 1.43
Confidence
56%
Last updated: 11-10-2026
Likely Scores
| # | Score | Probability | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 - 1 | 10.42% | |
| 2 | 2 - 1 | 9.03% | |
| 3 | 1 - 2 | 7.11% | |
| 4 | 2 - 2 | 6.78% | |
| 5 | 2 - 0 | 6.02% | |
| 6 | 3 - 1 | 5.75% | |
| 7 | 1 - 0 | 5.36% | |
| 8 | 3 - 2 | 4.31% | |
| 9 | 0 - 0 | 4.25% | |
| 10 | 0 - 1 | 4.02% | |
| 11 | 3 - 0 | 3.83% | |
| 12 | 0 - 2 | 3.73% |

Amauri Barbosa
Content Manager
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Articles
Sports betting analyst with over 15 years of experience. At APWin, he writes football predictions, reviews bookmakers and explains the reasoning behind every bet.