Real Madrid and Bayern München face each other on Tuesday 04.07.2026, at 20:00 (UK Time), in a UEFA Champions League 2025/26 match. The game will take place at Real Madrid's home ground, the Estadio Santiago Bernabéu.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Real Madrid Club de Fútbol and Fußball-Club Bayern München e. V., grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Real Madrid vs Bayern München
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
1st Half Under 2.5 Goals
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Real Madrid preview
Real Madrid heads into the match with the following record in the UEFA Champions League: in 12 matches, Real Madrid Club de Fútbol secured 9 victories, 0 draws, and 3 losses, maintaining an average of 2.25 points per game.
Taking a broader look at The Whites's 2025/26 season, the team has achieved a total of 33 victories so far.
Real Madrid has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 102 goals, of which 29 were scored in the UEFA Champions League, resulting in an average of 2.42 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Kylian Mbappé, who has found the back of the net 23 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Arda Guler has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 8 assists.
On the defensive side, Real Madrid has conceded 14 goals in the UEFA Champions League (an average of 1.17 per game) and 51 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.11 per match in the 2025/26 campaign.
Bayern München preview
Bayern München comes into the game with 10 matches played so far in the UEFA Champions League. They have secured 9 victories, 0 draws, and 1 losses, maintaining an average of 2.7 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 37 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses.
Fußball-Club Bayern München e. V.'s attack has been highly effective, scoring 146 goals during this period. Of that total, 32 were netted in the UEFA Champions League, with an average of 3.2 goals per game. The overall season average is 3.4.
The Bavarians's offensive system is led by Harry Kane, the team's top scorer this season. The english forward has found the back of the net 31 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Michael Olise. The midfielder has contributed with 18 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 10 goals with an average of 1 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 43 goals in 43 matches, averaging 1 per match.
Head to head: Real Madrid vs Bayern München
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Real Madrid
Europe - UEFA Champions League
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L W W W W |
2.4 |
| Home | W W W L W |
2.4 |
| Away | L W W L W |
1.8 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 75% | 83% | 67% |
| Goals | 3.58 | 3.33 | 3.83 |
| Scored | 2.42 | 2.5 | 2.33 |
| Conceded | 1.17 | 0.83 | 1.5 |
| Both Teams to Score | 58% | 67% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 8% | 0% | 17% |
| 1st to Score | 75% | 67% | 83% |
|
xG
|
1.96 | 2.12 | 1.8 |
|
xGA
|
1.73 | 1.55 | 1.91 |
Bayern München
Europe - UEFA Champions League
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W W W D W |
2.6 |
| Home | W W W W W |
3 |
| Away | W D W W W |
2.6 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 100% | 80% |
| Goals | 4.2 | 3.8 | 4.6 |
| Scored | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.2 |
| Conceded | 1 | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Both Teams to Score | 80% | 60% | 100% |
| Without Conceding | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 1st to Score | 75% | 80% | 100% |
|
xG
|
2.22 | 2.42 | 2.02 |
|
xGA
|
1.23 | 0.86 | 1.59 |
Access all match stats for Real Madrid vs Bayern München
Where to watch Real Madrid vs Bayern München live?
Check out the live stream of Real Madrid vs Bayern München below and follow the match in real time.
I’m a journalist and content creator with over 7 years of experience in sports betting. At APWin, I live football and betting markets, and outside the screen I’m also a marathon runner always chasing performance.